基于Logistic模型无障碍设施需求意愿的影响因素分析

Analysis of Influencing Factors of Demand Willingness for Barrier-Free Facilities Based on Logistic Model

残疾人是特殊困难群体,对无障碍设施的改进和优化体现了对残障人士的态度,也是实现“十四五规划”和2035远景目标的重要一步。上海作为国际化超大城市,也是较早发展残疾人无障碍设施建设的城市之一。基于此,以上海为例,并运用有序多分类Logistic模型分析超大城市残疾人无障碍设施需求意愿及其影响因素。研究结果显示,残疾人个体生理因素对无障碍设施需求意愿并无显著影响,建成环境因素对需求意愿的影响最为显著,其中低位服务设施高度建设、无障碍电梯扶手设置和残疾人专用停车位的完善对残障人士来说更加迫切。因此,提升残疾人无障碍设施需求意愿及使用率,应从无障碍设施自身完善程度和适用性出发,致力于建成超一流的无障碍超大城市。

Disabled people are a group with special difficulties. The improvement and optimization of barrier-free facilities reflects the attitude towards disabled people, and is also an important step to achieve the “14th Five-Year Plan” and the 2035 vision. As an international mega city, Shanghai is also one of the earliest cities to develop barrier-free facilities for the disabled. Based on this, taking Shanghai as an example, an ordered multi-class logistic model is used to analyze the willingness of disabled persons to demand barrier-free facilities in megacities and their influencing factors. The research results show that the individual physiological factors of the disabled have no significant impact on the willingness to demand for barrier-free facilities, and the built environment factors have the most significant impact on the willingness to demand. Perfection is even more urgent for people with disabilities. Therefore, in order to increase the demand and utilization rate of barrier-free facilities for the disabled, we should start from the perfection and applicability of barrier-free facilities, and strive to build a super-first-class barrier-free mega city.