我国生育意愿研究热点与发展趋势——基于CiteSpace可视化分析

Research Hotspots and Development Trends of Fertility Intention—Based on CiteSpace Visual Analysis

根据近年来我国出生人口数、出生率和生育率各项数据表明我国已进入少子化的低生育时代,且出生人口数量持续走低,我国面临严峻的人口挑战。学术届常以生育意愿来预测未来生育水平,本文通过运用CiteSpace计量软件,检索中国知网2000年~2021年以“生育意愿”为主题的CSSCI期刊,对发文作者、研究机构以及关键词进行可视化,得到研究作者之间合作关系较弱;研究机构多集中于高校与人口研究中心;关键词主要围绕生育意愿、生育政策、生育水平和生育行为等研究热点展开。预计未来生育意愿发文量将持续上升,研究内容包括生育意愿的测算、生育政策评价、影响因素分析与生育友好型社会的构建等。

According to the data on the number of births, birth rates and fertility rates in China in recent years, it is shown that it has entered the era of low births with fewer births, and the number of births continues to decline, and China is facing severe demographic challenges. Academic circles often use fertility willingness to predict the future fertility level, this paper through the use of CiteSpace measurement software, retrieved CNKI 2000~2021 with the theme of “fertility willingness” CSSCI journals, the authors, research institutions and keywords visualized, the cooperation between the research authors is weak;research institutions are mostly concentrated in universities and population research centers;keywords are mainly around fertility intentions, fertility policies, fertility levels and fertility behavior and other research hotspots. It is expected that the number of fertility intention articles will continue to rise in the future, and the research content includes the calculation of fertility intention, the evaluation of fertility policy, the analysis of influencing factors and the construction of a fertility-friendly society.