相对社会经济地位对生育意愿的影响——基于伊斯特林假说

The Influence of Relative Socio-Economic Status on Fertility Intention—Based on Easterlin Hypothesis

文章利用2018年中国CGSS数据运用二元logistics回归探讨了伊斯特林假说在中国是否具有现实意义。研究结果表明,相对社会经济地位无论在主观还是客观程度上都对生育意愿存在显著影响,当前的社会经济地位与童年时期家庭的社会经济地位相比,提升越高,其生育意愿越强。主观相对社会经济地位对生育意愿的影响在性别上没有显著差异,学历、家庭总收入、健康、政治面貌等因素与生育意愿相关。

Based on the data of China’s CGSS in 2018, the paper used binary logistics regression to explore whether Easterlin hypothesis has practical significance in China. The results show that relative socio-economic status has a significant impact on fertility intention in both subjective and objective degrees. The higher the current socio-economic status is compared with the family’s in childhood, the stronger the fertility intention is. There is no significant difference in the influence of subjective relative socio-economic status on fertility intention. Educational background, total family income, health, political status and other factors are related to fertility intention.