中国数字经济发展对出口贸易的影响研究

Study on the Influence of China’s Digital Economy Development on Export Trade

本文首先分析了数据经济对我国出口贸易影响的理论机制,然后选取2011~2021年我国30个省份的面板数据作为样本建立回归模型,对数字经济发展水平对我国出口贸易的影响进行了实证分析。实证结果显示:数字经济发展理论上对出口贸易可以起到积极促进作用;我国各省份对外开放程度不同,贸易开放度不一致;数字经济发展、地区开放程度、政府财政支持力度,各省市人口数量都对出口贸易具有显著的正向促进作用,提升数字经济发展水平有助于赋能出口贸易。最后根据以上研究结论,提出了加快数字经济发展,拉动我国出口贸易增长的政策建议。

This paper first analyzes the theoretical mechanism of the impact of the data economy on China’s export trade, and then selects the panel data of 30 provinces in China from 2011~2021 as samples to establish a regression model to empirically analyze the impact of the level of development of the digital economy on China’s export trade. The empirical results show that: digital economy development can theoretically play a positive role in promoting export trade;each province in China has different degree of opening to the outside world, and the degree of trade openness is inconsistent;digital economy development, regional openness, government financial support, and population size of each province and city all have significant positive promotion effects on export trade, and improving the level of digital economy development helps to empower export trade. Finally, based on the above research findings, policy recommendations are proposed to accelerate the development of digital economy and boost the growth of China’s export trade.