教育结构、就业结构、产业结构耦合协调的时空演化和格局特征

The Space-Time Evolution and Pattern Characteristics of the Coupling and Coordination of Education Structure, Employment Structure and Industrial Structure

本文基于文献梳理,从理论上分析了教育结构、就业结构以及产业结构之间的关联性,构建了教育结构、就业结构与产业结构三者之间的耦合协调度模型,并选用2003~2020年31省(市、区)面板数据,通过测算各省耦合协调度,进行时序分析和空间比较。研究发现:(1) 教育结构与产业结构耦和协调度在时序上呈现上升的趋势,但省份之间的差距在增大,且存在极化现象。在格局上,呈现出东高西低的态势;(2) 教育结构与就业结构耦合协调度在时序上亦呈现出上升趋势,但省份之间的协调水平差距先增大后减小;(3) 就业结构与产业结构耦合协调度随着时间的推移,逐渐增大,西部地区耦合协调度上升趋势明显;(4) 教育结构、就业结构、产业结构三者的耦合协调度呈上升趋势,省份之间的差距先增大后逐渐缩小,耦合协调水平较高的省份分布在东部地区,西部地区省份大多还处于不协调阶段。

Based on the literature review, this paper theoretically analyzes the correlation between the education structure, employment structure and industrial structure, constructs the coupling co-ordination degree model between the education structure, employment structure and industrial structure, and selects the panel data of 31 provinces (cities, districts) from 2003 to 2020, calculates the coupling coordination of each province, and carries out time series analysis and spatial comparison. The research found that: (1) the coupling and coordination degree of education structure and industrial structure showed an upward trend in time sequence, but the gap between provinces was increasing, and there was polarization phenomenon. In the pattern, it shows a trend of high in the east and low in the west;(2) the coupling coordination degree of education structure and employment structure also shows an upward trend in time sequence, but the coordination level gap between provinces first increases and then decreases;(3) the coupling coordination degree of employment structure and industrial structure gradually increases with the passage of time, and the coupling coordination degree in the western region has an obvious upward trend;(4) the coupling coordination degree of education structure, em-ployment structure and industrial structure is on the rise, and the gap between provinces increases at first and then decreases gradually. The provinces with high coupling coordination level are distributed in the eastern region, while most of the western provinces are still in the uncoordinated stage.