绿色金融试验区与地区出口贸易隐含碳研究——以浙江省为例

A Study on the Implied Carbon of Green Fi-nance Pilot Zone and Regional Export Trade—Taking Zhejiang Province as an Example

我国作为贸易大国,出口贸易活动所产生的碳排放是我国实现“双碳”目标亟需解决的问题。以浙江省为研究对象,基于2012~2019年浙江省投入产出数据和碳排放数据计算26个省份的出口贸易隐含碳排放量;进一步利用合成控制法分析绿色金融政策对于浙江省出口贸易隐含碳的政策效果,并对结果进行稳健性检验。结果表明:浙江省地区单位面积出口贸易隐含碳排放量位于全国前列,而合成单元较好拟合了浙江省在绿色金融政策实施之前的发展趋势,且绿色金融试验区设立能够显著抑制浙江省地区出口贸易隐含碳排放量。

As a major trading country, China’s carbon emissions from export trade activities are an urgent issue that needs to be addressed in order to achieve the “dual carbon” goal. Taking Zhejiang Prov-ince as the research object, based on input-output data and carbon emission data from 2012 to 2019, the implied carbon emissions of export trade in 26 provinces were calculated;Further use the composite control method to analyze the policy effect of green finance policies on the hidden carbon in Zhejiang Province’s export trade, and conduct a robustness test on the results. The results indicate that the hidden carbon emissions per unit area of export trade in Zhejiang Province are among the top in the country, and the synthetic unit well fits the development trend of Zhejiang Province before the implementation of green finance policies. Moreover, the establishment of green finance pilot zones can significantly suppress the hidden carbon emissions of export trade in Zhejiang Province.