中国对日本贸易隐含碳排放余额的测算

China’s Measurement of Implied Carbon Emissions from Japan’s Trade

本文基于投入产出模型从生产侧、消费侧及余额碳排放两个方面计算中国在2003年、2005年、2009年、2010年和2011年的碳排放。结果如下:从整体来看,三个方面测算的隐含碳都呈现出上升的趋势,余额呈现出正值,说明中国对于日本来说是净出口国。第十五行业(电气、天然气、水供应业)、第七行业(焦炭、精炼石油及核燃料业)、第十行业(其他非金属、矿物制造业)及第二行业(采掘业)在这三方面的计算数值比较大,其他一些行业数值相对较小。

Based on the input-output model, China’s carbon emissions in 2003, 2005, 2009, 2010 and 2011 were calculated from the aspects of production side, consumption side and balance carbon emis-sions. The results are as follows: On the whole, the hidden carbon in three aspects shows a rising trend, the balance shows a positive value, indicating that China is a net exporter for Japan. The fifth industry (electrical, natural gas, water supply industry), the seventh industry (coke, refined oil and nuclear fuel industry), the tenth industry (other non-metallic, mineral manufacturing) and the second industry (extractive industry), whose calculation of the value is relatively large, and some other industry values are relatively small.