基于因子分析和灰色预测理论的新疆综合经济实力评价

Evaluation of Xinjiang’s Comprehensive Economic Strength Based on Factor Analysis and Grey Prediction Theory

基于因子分析方法研究了新疆各地(州、市)的综合经济实力问题,并选取了反映新疆15个地区城市综合经济实力的11项指标进行了综合分析。最后运用了灰色预测理论,对新疆2017年至2021年综合经济实力进行预测。研究结果表明各个城市的经济发展存在差异和不平衡,乌鲁木齐具有较强的经济发展优势,经济排名第一,而克孜勒苏柯尔克孜自治州最弱。

Based on factor analysis method, thispaper studies the comprehensive economic strength of all regions (states andcities) in Xinjiang, and selects 11 indicators reflecting the comprehensive economicstrength of 15 cities (states and cities) in Xinjiang to make a comprehensiveanalysis. Finally, the grey prediction theory is used to forecast thecomprehensive economic strength of Xinjiang from 2017 to 2021. The results showthat there are differences and imbalances in the economic development of eachcity. Urumqi has a strong economic development advantage, ranking first in theeconomy, while Kirgiz Autonomous Prefecture is the weakest.