基于聚类分析和因子分析对RCEP沿线国家经济发展水平的综合评价

Comprehensive Evaluation of Economic Development Level of RCEP Countries—Based on Cluster Analysis and Factor Analysis

2020年年末,谈判已久的RCEP正式被十五国签署,对于其成员国而言,RCEP的签署会加快其经济的发展进程。本文首先通过聚类分析,将RCEP成员国按经济发展情况分为了两个类别。再通过主成分因子分析,将影响经济发展的7个变量浓缩为三个互相独立的因子,并通过综合因子得分对RCEP成员国的经济发展状况进行排名。对于中国而言,应抓住RCEP的机会加大“一带一路”在东南亚国家的建设,加大对其投资。

By the end of 2020, the long-negotiated RCEP was officially signed by 15 countries. As for the members of RCEP, the signing of RCEP will accelerate their economic development process. Firstly, through cluster analysis, the RCEP member countries are divided into two categories according to their economic development. Then, through principal component factor analysis, the seven variables affecting economic development are condensed into three independent factors, and the economic development status of RCEP member countries is ranked by comprehensive factor score. For China, it should seize the opportunity of RCEP to increase the construction of the Belt and Road initiative in Southeast Asian countries and increase investment in them.