中国经济区域GDP特征结构分析与建模

Analysis and Modeling of the Characteristic Structure of China’s Economic Regional GDP

本文借用GDP增速这一指标研究了中国各区域经济的发展以及受疫情影响的程度。从2013年第三季度至2020年第四季度的六大经济区GDP增速及国家GDP增速的数据出发,建立了ARIMA模型,并由此对中国各区域的经济增速情况进行了分析,有助于掌握疫情防控背景下不同地区的经济恢复情况。

This paper uses the index of GDP growth rate to study the economic development of each region and the extent affected by the epidemic. The ARIMA model was established based on the data of the GDP growth rate of the six major economic zones and the national GDP growth rate from the third quar-ter of 2013 to the fourth quarter of 2020 to analyze the economic growth rate of various regions in China, and understand the economic recovery of different regions under the background of epi-demic prevention and control.