中国能源效率影响因素分析——基于省级面板数据的实证分析

Analysis of Influencing Factors of Energy Efficiency in China—An Empirical Analysis Based on Provincial Panel Data

随着经济社会的快速发展,我国的能源消费也呈现出较快的增长态势。降低能源消费强度、提升能源利用效率已成为保障国家能源安全、推动生态环境质量改善、促进温室气体减排的重要举措。本文通过我国30个省市2000~2018年的面板数据对影响我国能源效率的因素进行探究,研究结果表明,产业结构、能源消费结构、技术水平、经济发展水平都能显著影响能源效率。具体表现为:一是第二产业增加值占GDP比重的下降、能源消费中煤炭消费量占比的下降能够显著降低能源强度,提升能源效率;二是技术进步和提升居民消费水平均能显著降低能源强度,提升能源利用效率。

With the rapid development of the economy and society, energy consumption in our country has shown a rapid growth trend. Reducing energy consumption intensity and improving energy effi-ciency have become important measures to ensure national energy security, promote the im-provement of ecological and environmental quality, and promote the emission reduction of greenhouse gases. In this paper, the panel data of 30 provinces and cities from 2000 to 2018 were used to explore the influencing factors of China’s energy efficiency. The research results show that industrial structure, energy consumption structure, technology level and economic development level can all significantly affect energy efficiency. The specific performance is as follows: first, the decrease of the proportion of the added value of the secondary industry in GDP and the decrease of the proportion of coal consumption in energy consumption can significantly reduce energy intensity and improve energy efficiency;Second, technological progress and improvement of household consumption level can significantly reduce energy intensity and improve energy efficiency.