四川省农业经济韧性时空差异及其影响因素

Spatial and Temporal Differences and Influencing Factors of Agricultural Economic Resilience in Sichuan Province

文章利用综合指标法、泰尔指数对2011~2021年四川省农业经济韧性进行了系统性测算和时空差异分析,并运用地理探测器模型分析其影响因素。结果表明:四川省农业经济韧性呈平稳增长趋势,成都市及成都平原经济区的农业经济韧性值一直高于四川省全省;四川省农业经济韧性空间差异主要来源于区域间的差异;农业经济规模、政府支持力度、科技创新能力通过与其它影响因子交互作用影响农业经济韧性。最后,针对上述结果为提高四川省农业经济韧性提出相应对策。Using the comprehensive index method and Theil index, this paper systematically calculates the agricultural economic resilience in Sichuan Province, and analyzes its spatio and temporal differences from 2011 to 2021. And the influencing factors are analyzed by using the geographical detector model. The results show that: the agricultural economic resilience of Sichuan province shows a steady growth trend, and the agricultural economic resilience of Chengdu and Chengdu Plain Economic Zone is always higher than that of Sichuan province. The spatial differences of agricultural economic resilience in Sichuan province are mainly derived from regional differences. The scale of agricultural economy, the intensity of government support and the ability of scientific and technological innovation affect the resilience of agricultural economy through interaction with other influencing factors. Finally, according to the above results, the corresponding countermeasures are put forward to improve the resilience of agricultural economy of Sichuan Province.