基于熵权法的房地产金融风险预警体系构建

Construction of Real Estate Financial Risk Early-Warning System Based on Entropy Weight Method

房地产业是我国国民经济的支柱,随着“房住不炒”的政策落实与产业转型关键期的到来,房地产金融风险的预警与防范成为了亟待研究的方向。本文分析了房地产金融风险的传导机制,并基于熵权法,从不同角度的10个指标构建了房地产金融风险预警体系。最后进行了实证分析,结合研究结果提出了相应的政策建议。

The real estate industry is the pillar of China’s national economy. With the implementation of the policy of “no speculation on housing” and the arrival of the critical period of industrial transfor-mation, the early warning and prevention of real estate financial risks have become an urgent re-search direction. This paper analyzes the transmission mechanism of real estate financial risk, and based on entropy weight method, constructs a real estate financial risk early warning system from 10 indicators from different aspects. In the end, empirical analysis is carried out and corresponding policy suggestions are put forward based on the research results.