中国工业经济韧性发展水平、区域差异及动态演进

The Resilience Development Level, Regional Differences and Dynamic Evolution of China’s Industrial Economy

基于适应性韧性理论,从抵抗与恢复能力和适应性发展能力两个维度选取子指标构建了中国工业经济韧性评价指标体系,采用熵权法、Dagum基尼指数、自然间断点分级、局部莫兰指数等方法,测度分析了中国工业经济韧性的发展水平、区域差异及动态演进特征。研究发现,2015~2021年中国工业经济韧性发展水平呈逐年增长态势;中国工业经济韧性发展存在较为明显的东中西区域分化问题,东部地区的工业经济韧性水平处于领先地位,区域间差异是造成中国工业经济韧性发展差异的主要来源;省际工业经济韧性发展水平分化较为明显且呈较为显著的空间相关性。

Based on the theory of adaptive resilience, the evaluation index system of industrial economic resilience is constructed by selecting sub-indicators from the two dimensions of resistance and recovery ability and adaptive development ability. The entropy weight method, Dagum Gini index, natural discontinuity point classification, local Moran index and other methods are used to measure and analyze the development level, regional differences and dynamic evolution characteristics of China’s industrial economic resilience. The study found that the level of resilience development of China’s industrial economy will grow steadily year by year from 2015 to 2021;there are obvious regional differentiation problems in the development of China’s industrial economic resilience. The level of industrial economic resilience in the eastern region is in a leading position, and regional differences are the main sources of differences in the development of China’s industrial economic resilience. The differentiation of provincial industrial economic resilience development level is obvious and has a significant spatial correlation.