FDI对我国城市雾霾天气污染影响作用的空间参数计量研究——以珠江三角洲地区为例

Econometric Research on Spatial Parameters of FDI’s Impact on My Country’s Urban Haze Weather Pollution—Taking the Pearl River Delta Region as an Example

本文通过合理运用空间计量的方法,探讨研究出了对2015年底~2021年期间珠三角地区FDI投资和污染物排放污染的空间相关性问题,以及FDI的资金流动对未来我国珠三角地区雾霾污染控制政策的空间相关影响。通过对空间数据进行综合统计分析研究,我们可发现珠三角地区FDI污染间和雾霾污染间均存在较为显著水平的空间自相关性,并且由此说明我国FDI与雾霾污染间在特定时间地理区域和分布结构形态意义上,均逐渐地形成发展出具有明显的不同区域特点,FDI污染物高值聚集区也往往可能是雾霾污染间中的一个低值聚集区,FDI中的一个低值聚集区一般也是指雾霾污染的某一个较高中值聚集区。在分析此理论基础前提上,进一步合理地分析运用空间计量的经济模型方法和大量实证的分析结果,检验证实了:外商直接投资对目前中国珠三角流域地区的区域雾霾污染条件改善产生了综合经济效益影响,外商投资也有利于在短期内大幅改善在我国珠三角地区流域上的区域雾霭与流域霾雾污染情况,表明了“污染天堂”的假说对当前中国的珠三角地区不代表实际的存在。

Through the rational use of spatial econometrics, this paper discusses the spatial correlation be-tween FDI investment and pollutant emission pollution in the Pearl River Delta region from the end of 2015 to 2021, and the spatial correlation impact of FDI capital flow on the future smog pollution control policy in China’s Pearl River Delta region. Through the comprehensive statistical analysis and research of spatial data, we can find that there is a significant level of spatial autocorrelation between FDI and haze pollution in the Pearl River Delta region, and thus it shows that China’s FDI and haze pollution have been formed in a specific time geographical area, and gradually formed and developed different regional characteristics, FDI high-value accumulation area may often be a low-value accumulation area between smog pollution, and a low-value accumulation area in FDI generally refers to a higher median accumulation area of haze pollution. Based on the analysis of this theoretical basis, further reasonable analysis of the economic model using spatial econometrics and a large number of empirical analysis results, the test confirms that foreign direct investment has a comprehensive economic impact on the improvement of regional haze pollution conditions in the current Pearl River Delta region of China, and foreign investment is also conducive to greatly improving the regional haze and river basin haze pollution in the Pearl River Delta region of China in the short term, indicating that the “pollution paradise hypothesis does not actually exist in the current Pearl River Delta region of China.”