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Risk Decision Analysis of Logistics Purchasing Based on Mathematical Expectation 被引量:1

Risk Decision Analysis of Logistics Purchasing Based on Mathematical Expectation
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摘要 The mathematical expectation value method is a commonly used method in risk decision-making. This paper studies the problem of how to arrange the purchase plan in order to get the maximum expected profit;considering the applicable principles of mathematical expectation, the decision method for getting the optimal decision scheme is given. Finally, we do simulation and stability analysis on an example and obtain the reasonable result. This result shows that mathematical expectation value method is effective in solving the problem of risk decision. The mathematical expectation value method is a commonly used method in risk decision-making. This paper studies the problem of how to arrange the purchase plan in order to get the maximum expected profit;considering the applicable principles of mathematical expectation, the decision method for getting the optimal decision scheme is given. Finally, we do simulation and stability analysis on an example and obtain the reasonable result. This result shows that mathematical expectation value method is effective in solving the problem of risk decision.
作者 Fengying Wang Zhixin Liang Fengying Wang;Zhixin Liang(School of Information, Beijing Wuzi University, Beijing, China)
机构地区 School of Information
出处 《Open Journal of Modelling and Simulation》 2016年第2期41-45,共5页 建模与仿真(英文)
关键词 Mathematical Expectation Logistics Purchasing Risk Decision STABILITY Mathematical Expectation Logistics Purchasing Risk Decision Stability
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