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Causality Analysis on Export and Economic Growth Nexus in Ghana

Causality Analysis on Export and Economic Growth Nexus in Ghana
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摘要 The study examined the causal relationship between export and economic growth based on monthly data for the period 2010 to 2019. Composite Index Economic Activity (CIEA) was used as a proxy for real GDP (economic growth). </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">Time series</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> econometric techniques were employed to explore long-run and </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">short run</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> relationships as well as the causality between them.</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">  </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">The results revealed the existence of long-run relationships;evidence of bi-directional causality and a rapid adjustment to equilibrium between real GDP and exports. Recommendations </span></span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">are</span><span style="font-family:""> <span style="font-family:Verdana;">that,</span> <span style="font-family:Verdana;">policy makers</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> should focus on implementing </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">export oriented</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> policies and promote economic growth to achieve sustainable development. The study examined the causal relationship between export and economic growth based on monthly data for the period 2010 to 2019. Composite Index Economic Activity (CIEA) was used as a proxy for real GDP (economic growth). </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">Time series</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> econometric techniques were employed to explore long-run and </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">short run</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> relationships as well as the causality between them.</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">  </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">The results revealed the existence of long-run relationships;evidence of bi-directional causality and a rapid adjustment to equilibrium between real GDP and exports. Recommendations </span></span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">are</span><span style="font-family:""> <span style="font-family:Verdana;">that,</span> <span style="font-family:Verdana;">policy makers</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> should focus on implementing </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">export oriented</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> policies and promote economic growth to achieve sustainable development.
作者 Alice Constance Mensah Ebenezer Okyere Alice Constance Mensah;Ebenezer Okyere(Mathematics and Statistics Department, Accra Technical University, Accra, Ghana;Ebenezer Okyere, Research and Policy, Banking Supervision Department, Bank of Ghana, Accra, Ghana)
出处 《Open Journal of Statistics》 2020年第5期872-888,共17页 统计学期刊(英文)
关键词 EXPORT Economic Growth CIEA Econometric Techniques GDP Export Economic Growth CIEA Econometric Techniques GDP
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