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Economic Analyses of Regional Impacts with Adaptation to Climate Change for the Paris Agreement

Economic Analyses of Regional Impacts with Adaptation to Climate Change for the Paris Agreement
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摘要 This study measures regional impacts of adaptation to climate change for the Paris Agreement under the Shared Socio-Economic Pathways and Representative Concentration Pathways scenarios. We develop a global economic model with adaptation to climate change. Simulated results indicate that: 1) Asian and African adaptation costs exceed more than one percent of GDP in the year 2100 under the business as usual scenario;2) adaptation costs under the 2.0°C target are higher in Asia and Africa than other regions;and 3) adaptation costs amount to one percent of GDP in Japan, EU and Latin America under the 1.5°C target scenario by adaptation. This study measures regional impacts of adaptation to climate change for the Paris Agreement under the Shared Socio-Economic Pathways and Representative Concentration Pathways scenarios. We develop a global economic model with adaptation to climate change. Simulated results indicate that: 1) Asian and African adaptation costs exceed more than one percent of GDP in the year 2100 under the business as usual scenario;2) adaptation costs under the 2.0°C target are higher in Asia and Africa than other regions;and 3) adaptation costs amount to one percent of GDP in Japan, EU and Latin America under the 1.5°C target scenario by adaptation.
出处 《American Journal of Climate Change》 2018年第3期452-462,共11页 美国气候变化期刊(英文)
关键词 Adaptation CLIMATE Change SSP RCP IAMs CGE Models Adaptation Climate Change SSP RCP IAMs CGE Models
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