由于动车组车轮受加工装配及工况载荷等不确定因素的影响,车轮退化过程复杂,存在显著的个体差异及多个性能退化特征量,且多个退化特征量间相互耦合,仅考虑单个性能特征量难以全面反映其退化过程。因此,以轮缘和轮径作为车轮退化特征量,...由于动车组车轮受加工装配及工况载荷等不确定因素的影响,车轮退化过程复杂,存在显著的个体差异及多个性能退化特征量,且多个退化特征量间相互耦合,仅考虑单个性能特征量难以全面反映其退化过程。因此,以轮缘和轮径作为车轮退化特征量,通过随机化尺度参数表征车轮个体差异,采用Gamma过程和Copula函数建立二元相关退化模型,并根据赤池信息准则(Akaike Information Criterion, AIC)筛选Copula函数,得到可靠度解析式。基于某型动车组车轮实测磨耗数据,对车轮进行可靠性分析,同时通过车辆动力学模型进行仿真验证。结果显示:考虑二元相关时的可靠性结果比仅考虑一元退化更贴近车辆实际运行情况;根据动力学仿真结果体现了考虑个体差异的必要性,表明所提模型能够更准确地表征车轮退化过程,可为可靠性分析以及维修决策优化提供理论支撑。展开更多
The prediction of continental tight sandstone gas sweet spots is an obstacle during tight sandstone gas exploration. In this work, the classic physical fluid charging experimental equipment is improved, the combinatio...The prediction of continental tight sandstone gas sweet spots is an obstacle during tight sandstone gas exploration. In this work, the classic physical fluid charging experimental equipment is improved, the combination of the gas migration and accumulation process with the pore network numerical simulation method is investigated, and application of the permeability/porosity ratio is proposed to predict the gas saturation and sweet spots of continental formations. The results show that (1) as the charging pressure increases, the permeability of the reservoir increases because more narrow pore throats are displaced in the percolation process;and (2) based on pore network numerical simulation and theoretical analysis, the natural gas migration and accumulation mechanisms are revealed. The gas saturation of tight sandstone rock is controlled by the gas charging pressure and dynamic percolation characteristics. (3) The ratio of permeability/porosity and fluid charging pressure is proposed to predict the gas saturation of the formation. The ratio is verified in a pilot and proven to be applicable and practical. This work highlights the tight sandstone gas migration and accumulation mechanisms and narrows the gap among microscale physical experiments, numerical simulation research, and field applications.展开更多
文摘由于动车组车轮受加工装配及工况载荷等不确定因素的影响,车轮退化过程复杂,存在显著的个体差异及多个性能退化特征量,且多个退化特征量间相互耦合,仅考虑单个性能特征量难以全面反映其退化过程。因此,以轮缘和轮径作为车轮退化特征量,通过随机化尺度参数表征车轮个体差异,采用Gamma过程和Copula函数建立二元相关退化模型,并根据赤池信息准则(Akaike Information Criterion, AIC)筛选Copula函数,得到可靠度解析式。基于某型动车组车轮实测磨耗数据,对车轮进行可靠性分析,同时通过车辆动力学模型进行仿真验证。结果显示:考虑二元相关时的可靠性结果比仅考虑一元退化更贴近车辆实际运行情况;根据动力学仿真结果体现了考虑个体差异的必要性,表明所提模型能够更准确地表征车轮退化过程,可为可靠性分析以及维修决策优化提供理论支撑。
基金supported by CNPC Scientific Research and Technology Development Project“Whole petroleum system theory and unconventional hydrocarbon accumulation mechanism”(2021DJ0101).
文摘The prediction of continental tight sandstone gas sweet spots is an obstacle during tight sandstone gas exploration. In this work, the classic physical fluid charging experimental equipment is improved, the combination of the gas migration and accumulation process with the pore network numerical simulation method is investigated, and application of the permeability/porosity ratio is proposed to predict the gas saturation and sweet spots of continental formations. The results show that (1) as the charging pressure increases, the permeability of the reservoir increases because more narrow pore throats are displaced in the percolation process;and (2) based on pore network numerical simulation and theoretical analysis, the natural gas migration and accumulation mechanisms are revealed. The gas saturation of tight sandstone rock is controlled by the gas charging pressure and dynamic percolation characteristics. (3) The ratio of permeability/porosity and fluid charging pressure is proposed to predict the gas saturation of the formation. The ratio is verified in a pilot and proven to be applicable and practical. This work highlights the tight sandstone gas migration and accumulation mechanisms and narrows the gap among microscale physical experiments, numerical simulation research, and field applications.
