WRF(Weather Research and Forecasting)等物理驱动预测方法被证实能够获取有效的风速预测结果。本研究面向WRF预测方法对初始条件的敏感性,构建多目标集成模型MOEnWRF(Multi-Objective Ensemble WRF),优化WRF的预测精度。该方法主要包...WRF(Weather Research and Forecasting)等物理驱动预测方法被证实能够获取有效的风速预测结果。本研究面向WRF预测方法对初始条件的敏感性,构建多目标集成模型MOEnWRF(Multi-Objective Ensemble WRF),优化WRF的预测精度。该方法主要包括两个步骤,首先构建描述预测精度与稳定性的评价指标体系,采用多目标灰狼优化算法(MOGWO,Multi-Objective Grey Wolf Optimizer)实现对模型精度以及稳定性的同时优化,获得集成权重的帕累托解集。然后,采用组合距离评估法(CODAS,COmbinative Distance-based ASsessment)评估帕累托解集的有效性,从解集中选择出最优解,并应用于集成WRF模型。经过4个站点的实际验证,得到所提方法能够有效提升WRF的预测精度,并优于单目标优化集成方法。展开更多
A novel floating breakwater-windbreak structure(floating forest)has been designed for the protection of vulnerable coastal areas from extreme wind and wave loadings during storm conditions.The modular arch-shaped conc...A novel floating breakwater-windbreak structure(floating forest)has been designed for the protection of vulnerable coastal areas from extreme wind and wave loadings during storm conditions.The modular arch-shaped concrete structure is positioned perpendicularly to the direction of the prevailing wave and wind.The structure below the water surface acts as a porous breakwater with wave scattering capability.An array of tubular columns on the sloping deck of the breakwater act as an artificial forest-type windbreak.A feasibility study involving hydrodynamic and aerodynamic analyses has been performed,focusing on its capability in reducing wave heights and wind speeds in the lee side.The study shows that the proposed 1 km long floating forest is able to shelter a lee area that stretches up to 600 m,with 40%–60%wave energy reduction and 10%–80%peak wind speed reduction.展开更多
文摘WRF(Weather Research and Forecasting)等物理驱动预测方法被证实能够获取有效的风速预测结果。本研究面向WRF预测方法对初始条件的敏感性,构建多目标集成模型MOEnWRF(Multi-Objective Ensemble WRF),优化WRF的预测精度。该方法主要包括两个步骤,首先构建描述预测精度与稳定性的评价指标体系,采用多目标灰狼优化算法(MOGWO,Multi-Objective Grey Wolf Optimizer)实现对模型精度以及稳定性的同时优化,获得集成权重的帕累托解集。然后,采用组合距离评估法(CODAS,COmbinative Distance-based ASsessment)评估帕累托解集的有效性,从解集中选择出最优解,并应用于集成WRF模型。经过4个站点的实际验证,得到所提方法能够有效提升WRF的预测精度,并优于单目标优化集成方法。
基金This work was supported by ARC Discovery Project Grant DP170104546.
文摘A novel floating breakwater-windbreak structure(floating forest)has been designed for the protection of vulnerable coastal areas from extreme wind and wave loadings during storm conditions.The modular arch-shaped concrete structure is positioned perpendicularly to the direction of the prevailing wave and wind.The structure below the water surface acts as a porous breakwater with wave scattering capability.An array of tubular columns on the sloping deck of the breakwater act as an artificial forest-type windbreak.A feasibility study involving hydrodynamic and aerodynamic analyses has been performed,focusing on its capability in reducing wave heights and wind speeds in the lee side.The study shows that the proposed 1 km long floating forest is able to shelter a lee area that stretches up to 600 m,with 40%–60%wave energy reduction and 10%–80%peak wind speed reduction.
