回归分析是统计分析中常用的方法之一。传统的回归模型不具备全域分析能力,而变量场之间的关系多采用SVD(Singular Value Decomposition)进行分析,与传统的回归分析有所脱节。更为广义的线性回归模型是传统线性回归模型的延拓,在标量情...回归分析是统计分析中常用的方法之一。传统的回归模型不具备全域分析能力,而变量场之间的关系多采用SVD(Singular Value Decomposition)进行分析,与传统的回归分析有所脱节。更为广义的线性回归模型是传统线性回归模型的延拓,在标量情况下,该模型可转化为传统线性回归模型。该模型的基本特征包含乘法不可互易性、等价于传统线性回归(因子项为标量时)、可分析性、延拓性、降维特征及容错性等。该模型解决了传统的线性回归模型不具备全域分析能力及模型表达能力受限于模型维数的现实问题。本文采用了NCEP(National Centers for Environmental Prediction)降水、高度场、风场月平均资料及国家气候中心西太平洋副热带高压指数资料,利用该模型和传统回归方案进行对比分析,分析结果表明,该模型具有一定的实用参考价值。展开更多
A review is presented about the development and application of climate ocean models and oceanatmosphere coupled models developed in China as well as a review of climate variability and climate change studies performed...A review is presented about the development and application of climate ocean models and oceanatmosphere coupled models developed in China as well as a review of climate variability and climate change studies performed with these models. While the history of model development is briefly reviewed, emphasis has been put on the achievements made in the last five years. Advances in model development are described along with a summary on scientific issues addressed by using these models. The focus of the review is the climate ocean models and the associated coupled models, including both global and regional models, developed at the Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences. The progress of either coupled model development made by other institutions or climate modeling using internationally developed models also is reviewed.展开更多
The observed characteristics of lower atmospheric ducts over the South China Sea(SCS) were analyzed based on Global Position Systerm(GPS) radiosonde data collected four times daily during autumn open cruises from 2006...The observed characteristics of lower atmospheric ducts over the South China Sea(SCS) were analyzed based on Global Position Systerm(GPS) radiosonde data collected four times daily during autumn open cruises from 2006 to 2012.Duct occurrence,thickness,and strength over the SCS were about 40%,150-m thick,and 8 M units,respectively,which were larger than during the summer monsoon period.Most ducts occurred at heights <1 500 m and these ducts easily trap electromagnetic wave clusters with wavelengths <2 m.Diurnal variation of the SCS ducts appeared evident.They occurred more often at midnight at higher altitudes(about 1 100 m),with a thickest layer of about 145 m and less frequently during the evening at lower altitudes(about 800 m),with a thinnest layer of about 125 m.Moreover,ducts during the daytime at a mean height of about 900 m,with the greatest strength of about 10 M units.Furthermore,all duct variables observed over the SCS in autumn decreased from north to south.These findings are useful not only in the design of radar and communication systems,but also for evaluating possible effects of anomalous propagation on meteorological radar and military applications.展开更多
The Eulerian？Lagrangian method（ELM） has been used by many ocean models as the solution of the advection equation,but the numerical error caused by interpolation imposes restriction on its accuracy.In the present st...The Eulerian？Lagrangian method（ELM） has been used by many ocean models as the solution of the advection equation,but the numerical error caused by interpolation imposes restriction on its accuracy.In the present study,hybrid N-order Lagrangian interpolation ELM（Li ELM） is put forward in which the N-order Lagrangian interpolation is used at first,then the lower order Lagrangian interpolation is applied in the points where the interpolation results are abnormally higher or lower.The calculation results of a step-shaped salinity advection model are analyzed,which show that higher order（N=3？8） Li ELM can reduce the mean numerical error of salinity calculation,but the numerical oscillation error is still significant.Even number order Li ELM makes larger numerical oscillation error than its adjacent odd number order Li ELM.Hybrid N-order Li ELM can remove numerical oscillation,and it significantly reduces the mean numerical error when N is even and the current is in fixed direction,while it makes less effect on mean numerical error when N is odd or the current direction changes periodically.Hybrid odd number order Li ELM makes less mean numerical error than its adjacent even number order Li ELM when the current is in the fixed direction,while the mean numerical error decreases as N increases when the current direction changes periodically,so odd number of N may be better for application.Among various types of Hybrid N-order Li ELM,the scheme reducing N-order directly to 1st-order may be the optimal for synthetic selection of accuracy and computational efficiency.展开更多
Based on the Princeton Ocean Model （POM）, the seasonal thermohaline feature and the ocean circulation in the Gulf of Thailand （GOT）, situated between 6°N to 14°N latitude and 99°E to 105°E long...Based on the Princeton Ocean Model （POM）, the seasonal thermohaline feature and the ocean circulation in the Gulf of Thailand （GOT）, situated between 6°N to 14°N latitude and 99°E to 105°E longitude, were studied numerically with 37 × 97 orthogonal curvilinear grid and 10 vertical sigma levels conforming to a realistic bottom topography. A spin-up phase of the first model run was executed using wind stress calculated from climatological monthly mean wind, restoring-type surface heat and salt, and climatological monthly mean fresh water flux data. In this paper, the temperature and salinity fields taken from Levitus94 data sets and the calculated temperature and salinity from the model run for 12-month mean and for each season are presented where the winter, summer, rainy, and end of the rainy seasons of Thailand are represented by the months January, April, July, and October, respectively. The simulated circulations are also described. The results show that the temperature in the GoT is warmer than the temperature of the other parts connected to the South China Sea （SCS）. At any depth of inflow from SCS into the GoT, the salinity is high, but in the outflow from the GoT at the surface, the salinity is low. The strong circulations are clockwise during summer and the rainy seasons of Thailand, which are the East Asian monsoon periods, northeasterly and southwesterly during summer. They occur near Pattani and Narathiwat provinces during summer and in the central GoT during the rainy seasons. Sensitivity experiments were designed to investigate the effects of wind forcing and open boundary conditions. Wind forcing is shown to be the important factor for generating the circulation in the GoT. The lateral velocity at the open boundaries is of considerable importance to current circulation for the rainy and end of the rainy seasons, with insignificant effect for the winter and summer seasons of Thailand.展开更多
Most studies of the synthetic aperture radar remote sensing of ocean internal waves are based on the solitary wave solutions of the Korteweg-de Vries （KdV） equation, and the dissipative term in the KdV equation is n...Most studies of the synthetic aperture radar remote sensing of ocean internal waves are based on the solitary wave solutions of the Korteweg-de Vries （KdV） equation, and the dissipative term in the KdV equation is not taken into account. However, the dissipative term is very important, both in the synthetic aperture radar images and in ocean models. In this paper, the traveling-wave structure to characterize the ocean internal wave phenomenon is modeled, the results of numerical experiments are advanced, and a theoretical hypothesis of the traveling wave to retrieve the ocean internal wave parameters in the synthetic aperture radar images is introduced.展开更多
文摘回归分析是统计分析中常用的方法之一。传统的回归模型不具备全域分析能力,而变量场之间的关系多采用SVD(Singular Value Decomposition)进行分析,与传统的回归分析有所脱节。更为广义的线性回归模型是传统线性回归模型的延拓,在标量情况下,该模型可转化为传统线性回归模型。该模型的基本特征包含乘法不可互易性、等价于传统线性回归(因子项为标量时)、可分析性、延拓性、降维特征及容错性等。该模型解决了传统的线性回归模型不具备全域分析能力及模型表达能力受限于模型维数的现实问题。本文采用了NCEP(National Centers for Environmental Prediction)降水、高度场、风场月平均资料及国家气候中心西太平洋副热带高压指数资料,利用该模型和传统回归方案进行对比分析,分析结果表明,该模型具有一定的实用参考价值。
基金This work was jointly supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China （Grant Nos. 40523001, 40221503, 40675050）Major State Basic Research Development Program of China under Grant Nos. 2005CB321703, 2006CB403603the International Partnership Creative Group entitled ＂The Climate System Model Development and Application Studies＂.
文摘A review is presented about the development and application of climate ocean models and oceanatmosphere coupled models developed in China as well as a review of climate variability and climate change studies performed with these models. While the history of model development is briefly reviewed, emphasis has been put on the achievements made in the last five years. Advances in model development are described along with a summary on scientific issues addressed by using these models. The focus of the review is the climate ocean models and the associated coupled models, including both global and regional models, developed at the Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences. The progress of either coupled model development made by other institutions or climate modeling using internationally developed models also is reviewed.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.41106011,41176027)the National Basic Research Program of China(973 Program)(No.2011CB403504)
文摘The observed characteristics of lower atmospheric ducts over the South China Sea(SCS) were analyzed based on Global Position Systerm(GPS) radiosonde data collected four times daily during autumn open cruises from 2006 to 2012.Duct occurrence,thickness,and strength over the SCS were about 40%,150-m thick,and 8 M units,respectively,which were larger than during the summer monsoon period.Most ducts occurred at heights <1 500 m and these ducts easily trap electromagnetic wave clusters with wavelengths <2 m.Diurnal variation of the SCS ducts appeared evident.They occurred more often at midnight at higher altitudes(about 1 100 m),with a thickest layer of about 145 m and less frequently during the evening at lower altitudes(about 800 m),with a thinnest layer of about 125 m.Moreover,ducts during the daytime at a mean height of about 900 m,with the greatest strength of about 10 M units.Furthermore,all duct variables observed over the SCS in autumn decreased from north to south.These findings are useful not only in the design of radar and communication systems,but also for evaluating possible effects of anomalous propagation on meteorological radar and military applications.
基金financially supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.40906044 and 41076048)the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities Project(Grant No.2011B05714)
文摘The Eulerian？Lagrangian method（ELM） has been used by many ocean models as the solution of the advection equation,but the numerical error caused by interpolation imposes restriction on its accuracy.In the present study,hybrid N-order Lagrangian interpolation ELM（Li ELM） is put forward in which the N-order Lagrangian interpolation is used at first,then the lower order Lagrangian interpolation is applied in the points where the interpolation results are abnormally higher or lower.The calculation results of a step-shaped salinity advection model are analyzed,which show that higher order（N=3？8） Li ELM can reduce the mean numerical error of salinity calculation,but the numerical oscillation error is still significant.Even number order Li ELM makes larger numerical oscillation error than its adjacent odd number order Li ELM.Hybrid N-order Li ELM can remove numerical oscillation,and it significantly reduces the mean numerical error when N is even and the current is in fixed direction,while it makes less effect on mean numerical error when N is odd or the current direction changes periodically.Hybrid odd number order Li ELM makes less mean numerical error than its adjacent even number order Li ELM when the current is in the fixed direction,while the mean numerical error decreases as N increases when the current direction changes periodically,so odd number of N may be better for application.Among various types of Hybrid N-order Li ELM,the scheme reducing N-order directly to 1st-order may be the optimal for synthetic selection of accuracy and computational efficiency.
文摘Based on the Princeton Ocean Model （POM）, the seasonal thermohaline feature and the ocean circulation in the Gulf of Thailand （GOT）, situated between 6°N to 14°N latitude and 99°E to 105°E longitude, were studied numerically with 37 × 97 orthogonal curvilinear grid and 10 vertical sigma levels conforming to a realistic bottom topography. A spin-up phase of the first model run was executed using wind stress calculated from climatological monthly mean wind, restoring-type surface heat and salt, and climatological monthly mean fresh water flux data. In this paper, the temperature and salinity fields taken from Levitus94 data sets and the calculated temperature and salinity from the model run for 12-month mean and for each season are presented where the winter, summer, rainy, and end of the rainy seasons of Thailand are represented by the months January, April, July, and October, respectively. The simulated circulations are also described. The results show that the temperature in the GoT is warmer than the temperature of the other parts connected to the South China Sea （SCS）. At any depth of inflow from SCS into the GoT, the salinity is high, but in the outflow from the GoT at the surface, the salinity is low. The strong circulations are clockwise during summer and the rainy seasons of Thailand, which are the East Asian monsoon periods, northeasterly and southwesterly during summer. They occur near Pattani and Narathiwat provinces during summer and in the central GoT during the rainy seasons. Sensitivity experiments were designed to investigate the effects of wind forcing and open boundary conditions. Wind forcing is shown to be the important factor for generating the circulation in the GoT. The lateral velocity at the open boundaries is of considerable importance to current circulation for the rainy and end of the rainy seasons, with insignificant effect for the winter and summer seasons of Thailand.
基金Project supported by the High Resolution Earth Observation Major Special Project of Youth Innovation Foundation of China(Grant No.GFZX04060103-3-12)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.41175025)
文摘Most studies of the synthetic aperture radar remote sensing of ocean internal waves are based on the solitary wave solutions of the Korteweg-de Vries （KdV） equation, and the dissipative term in the KdV equation is not taken into account. However, the dissipative term is very important, both in the synthetic aperture radar images and in ocean models. In this paper, the traveling-wave structure to characterize the ocean internal wave phenomenon is modeled, the results of numerical experiments are advanced, and a theoretical hypothesis of the traveling wave to retrieve the ocean internal wave parameters in the synthetic aperture radar images is introduced.
