Modeling the dynamic performance of transportation infrastructure using panel data model in state-space specifications

In this study,different modeling approaches used in panel data for performance forecast of transportation infrastructure are firstly reviewed,and the panel data models(PDMs)are highlighted for longitudinal data sets.The state-space specification of PDMs are proposed as a framework to formulate dynamic performance models for transportation facilities and panel data sets are used for estimation.The models could simultaneously capture the heterogeneity and update forecast through inspections.PDMs are applied to tackle the cross-section heterogeneity of longitudinal data,and PDMs in state-space forms are used to achieve the goal of updating performance forecast with new coming data.To illustrate the methodology,three classes of dynamic PDMs are presented in four examples to compare with two classes of static PDMs for a group of composite pavement sections in an airport in east China.Estimation results obtained by ordinary least square(OLS)estimator and system generalized method of moments(SGMM)are compared for two dynamic instances.The results show that the average root mean square errors of dynamic specifications are all significantly lower than those of static counterparts as prediction continues over time.There is no significant difference of prediction accuracy between state-space model and curve shifting model over a short time.In addition,SGMM does not obtain higher prediction accuracy than OLS in this case.Finally,it is recommended to specify the inspection intervals as several constants with integer multiples.

New innovations in pavement materials and engineering:A review on pavement engineering research 2021

Sustainable and resilient pavement infrastructure is critical for current economic and environmental challenges.In the past 10 years,the pavement infrastructure strongly supports the rapid development of the global social economy.New theories,new methods,new technologies and new materials related to pavement engineering are emerging.Deterioration of pavement infrastructure is a typical multi-physics problem.Because of actual coupled behaviors of traffic and environmental conditions,predictions of pavement service life become more and more complicated and require a deep knowledge of pavement material analysis.In order to summarize the current and determine the future research of pavement engineering,Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering(English Edition)has launched a review paper on the topic of"New innovations in pavement materials and engineering:A review on pavement engineering research 2021".Based on the joint-effort of 43 scholars from 24 well-known universities in highway engineering,this review paper systematically analyzes the research status and future development direction of 5 major fields of pavement engineering in the world.The content includes asphalt binder performance and modeling,mixture performance and modeling of pavement materials,multi-scale mechanics,green and sustainable pavement,and intelligent pavement.Overall,this review paper is able to provide references and insights for researchers and engineers in the field of pavement engineering.