Nomogram established using risk factors of early gastric cancer for predicting the lymph node metastasis

BACKGROUND For the prognosis of patients with early gastric cancer(EGC),lymph node metastasis(LNM)plays a crucial role.A thorough and precise evaluation of the patient for LNM is now required.AIM To determine the factors influencing LNM and to construct a prediction model of LNM for EGC patients.METHODS Clinical information and pathology data of 2217 EGC patients downloaded from the Surveillance,Epidemiology,and End Results database were collected and analyzed.Based on a 7:3 ratio,1550 people were categorized into training sets and 667 people were assigned to testing sets,randomly.Based on the factors influencing LNM determined by the training sets,the nomogram was drawn and verified.RESULTS Based on multivariate analysis,age at diagnosis,histology type,grade,T-stage,and size were risk factors of LNM for EGC.Besides,nomogram was drawn to predict the risk of LNM for EGC patients.Among the categorical variables,the effect of grade(well,moderate,and poor)was the most significant prognosis factor.For training sets and testing sets,respectively,area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve of nomograms were 0.751[95%confidence interval(CI):0.721-0.782]and 0.786(95%CI:0.742-0.830).In addition,the calibration curves showed that the prediction model of LNM had good consistency.CONCLUSION Age at diagnosis,histology type,grade,T-stage,and tumor size were independent variables for LNM in EGC.Based on the above risk factors,prediction model may offer some guiding implications for the choice of subsequent therapeutic approaches for EGC.

Advantage of log odds of positive lymph nodes in prognostic evaluation of patients with early-onset colon cancer

BACKGROUND Colon cancer(CC)is one of the most common cancers of the digestive tract,the third most common cancer worldwide,and the second most common cause of cancer-related deaths.Previous studies have demonstrated a higher risk of lymph node metastasis(LNM)in young patients with CC.It might be reasonable to treat patients with early-onset locally advanced CC with extended lymph node dissection.However,few studies have focused on early-onset CC(ECC)patients with LNM.At present,the methods of predicting and evaluating the prognosis of ECC patients with LNM are controversial.From the data of patients with CC obtained from the Surveillance,Epidemiology,and End Results(SEER)database,data of young patients with ECC(≤50 years old)was screened.Patients with unknown data were excluded from the study,while the remaining patients were included.The patients were randomly divided into a training group(train)and a testing group(test)in the ratio of 7:3,while building the model.The model was constructed by the training group and verified by the testing group.Using multiple Cox regression models to compare the prediction efficiency of LNM indicators,nomograms were built based on the best model selected for overall survival(OS)and cause-specific survival(CSS).In the two groups,the performance of the nomogram was evaluated by constructing a calibration plot,time-dependent area under the curve(AUC),and decision curve analysis.Finally,the patients were grouped based on the risk score predicted by the prognosis model,and the survival curve was constructed after comparing the survival status of the high and low-risk groups.RESULTS Records of 26922 ECC patients were screened from the SEER database.N classification,positive lymph nodes(PLN),lymph node ratio(LNR)and log odds of PLN(LODDS)were considered to be independent predictors of OS and CSS.In addition,independent risk factors for OS included gender,race,marital status,primary site,histology,grade,T,and M classification,while the independent prognostic factors for CSS included race,marital status,primary site,grade,T,and M classification.The prediction model including LODDS is composed of minimal Akaike information criterion,maximal concordance indexes,and AUCs.Factors including gender,race,marital status,primary site,histology,grade,T,M classification,and LODDS were integrated into the OS nomogram,while race,marital status,primary site,grade,T,M classification,and LODDS were included into the CSS nomogram.The nomogram representing both cohorts had been successfully verified in terms of prediction accuracy and clinical practicability.CONCLUSION LODDS is superior to N-stage,PLN,and LNR of ECC.The nomogram containing LODDS might be helpful in tumor evaluation and clinical decision-making,since it provides an appropriate prediction of ECC.

Efficacy and outcome of extensive intraoperative peritoneal lavage plus surgery vs surgery alone with advanced gastric cancer patients

BACKGROUND Gastric cancer(GC)is one of the most common malignant tumors.After resection,one of the major problems is its peritoneal dissemination and recurrence.Some free cancer cells may still exist after resection.In addition,the surgery itself may lead to the dissemination of tumor cells.Therefore,it is necessary to remove residual tumor cells.Recently,some researchers found that extensive intraoperative peritoneal lavage(EIPL)plus intraperitoneal chemotherapy can improve the prognosis of patients and eradicate peritoneal free cancer for GC patients.However,few studies explored the safety and long-term outcome of EIPL after curative gastrectomy.AIM To evaluate the efficacy and long-term outcome of advanced GC patients treated with EIPL.METHODS According to the inclusion and exclusion criteria,a total of 150 patients with advanced GC were enrolled in this study.The patients were randomly allocated to two groups.All patients received laparotomy.For the non-EIPL group,peritoneal lavage was washed using no more than 3 L of warm saline.In the EIPL group,patients received 10 L or more of saline(1 L at a time)before the closure of the abdomen.The surviving rate analysis was compared by the Kaplan-Meier method.The prognostic factors were carried out using the Cox appropriate hazard pattern.RESULTS The basic information in the EIPL group and the non-EIPL group had no significant difference.The median follow-up time was 30 mo(range:0-45 mo).The 1-and 3-year overall survival(OS)rates were 71.0%and 26.5%,respectively.The symptoms of ileus and abdominal abscess appeared more frequently in the non-EIPL group(P<0.05).For the OS of patients,the EIPL,Borrmann classification,tumor size,N stage,T stage and vascular invasion were significant indicators.Then multivariate analysis revealed that EIPL,tumor size,vascular invasion,N stage and T stage were independent prognostic factors.The prognosis of the EIPL group was better than the non-EIPL group(P<0.001).The 3-year survival rate of the EIPL group(38.4%)was higher than the non-EIPL group(21.7%).For the recurrence-free survival(RFS)of patients,the risk factor of RFS included EIPL,N stage,vascular invasion,type of surgery,tumor location,Borrmann classification,and tumor size.EIPL and tumor size were independent risk factors.The RFS curve of the EIPL group was better than the non-EIPL group(P=0.004),and the recurrence rate of the EIPL group(24.7%)was lower than the non-EIPL group(46.4%).The overall recurrence rate and peritoneum recurrence rate in the EIPL group was lower than the non-EIPL group(P<0.05).CONCLUSION EIPL can reduce the possibility of perioperative complications including ileus and abdominal abscess.In addition,the overall survival curve and RFS curve were better in the EIPL group.