A new production component method for natural gas development planning

Based on an analysis of the limitations of conventional production component methods for natural gas development planning,this study proposes a new one that uses life cycle models for the trend fitting and prediction of production.In this new method,the annual production of old and new wells is predicted by year first and then is summed up to yield the production for the planning period.It shows that the changes in the production of old wells in old blocks can be fitted and predicted using the vapor pressure model(VPM),with precision of 80%e95%,which is 6.6%e13.2%higher than that of other life cycle models.Furthermore,a new production prediction process and method for new wells have been established based on this life cycle model to predict the production of medium-to-shallow gas reservoirs in western Sichuan Basin,with predication error of production rate in 2021 and 2022 being 6%and 3%respectively.The new method can be used to guide the medium-and long-term planning or annual scheme preparation for gas development.It is also applicable to planning for large single gas blocks that require continuous infill drilling and adjustment to improve gas recovery.

Production forecasting methods for different types of gas reservoirs

Hydrocarbon production in oil and gas fields generally progresses through stages of production ramp-up,plateau(peak),and decline during field development,with the whole process primarily modeled and forecasted using lifecycle models.SINOPEC's conventional gas reservoirs are dominated by carbonates,low-permeability tight sandstone,condensate,volcanic rocks,and medium-to-high-permeability sandstone.This study identifies the optimal production forecasting models by comparing the fitting coefficients of different models and calculating the relative errors in technically recoverable reserves.To improve forecast precision,it suggests substituting exponential smoothing method-derived predictions for anomalous data caused by subjective influences like market dynamics and maintenance activities.The preferred models for carbonate gas reservoir production forecasts are the generalized Weng's,Beta,Class-I generalized mathematical,and Hu-Chen models.The Vapor pressure and Beta models are optimal for forecasting the annual productivity of wells(APW)from gas-bearing low-permeability tight sandstone reservoirs.The Wang-Li,Beta,and Yu QT tb models are apt for moderate-to-small-reserves,single low-permeability tight sandstone gas reservoirs.The Rayleigh,Hu-Chen,and generalized Weng's models are suitable for condensate gas reservoirs.For medium-to-high-permeability sandstone gas reservoirs,the lognormal,generalized gamma,and Beta models are recommended.

Catheter ablation for atrial fibrillation is associated with reduced risk of mortality in the elderly:a prospective cohort study and propensity score analysis

Background It is unclear whether catheter ablation(CA)for atrial fibrillation(AF)affects the long-term prognosis in the elderly.This study aims to evaluate the relationship between CA and long-term outcomes in elderly patients with AF.Methods Patients more than 75 years old with non-valvular AF were prospectively enrolled between August 2011 and December 2017 in the Chinese Atrial Fibrillation Registry Study.Participants who underwent CA at baseline were propensity score matched(1:1)with those who did not receive CA.The outcome events included all-cause mortality,cardiovascular mortality,stroke/transient ischemic attack(TIA),and cardiovascular hospitalization.Results Overall,this cohort included 571 ablated patients and 571 non-ablated patients with similar characteristics on 18 dimensions.During a mean follow-up of 39.75±19.98 months(minimum six months),24 patients died in the ablation group,compared with 60 deaths in the non-ablation group[hazard ratio(HR)=0.49,95%confidence interval(CI):0.30-0.79,P=0.0024].Besides,6 ablated and 29 non-ablated subjects died of cardiovascular disease(HR=0.25,95%CI:0.11-0.61,P=0.0022).A total of 27 ablated and 40 non-ablated patients suffered stroke/TIA(HR=0.79,95%CI:0.48-1.28,P=0.3431).In addition,140 ablated and 194 non-ablated participants suffered cardiovascular hospitalization(HR=0.84,95%CI:0.67-1.04,P=0.1084).Subgroup analyses according to gender,type of AF,time since onset of AF,and anticoagulants exposure in initiation did not show significant heterogeneity.Conclusions In elderly patients with AF,CA may be associated with a lower incidence of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality.

Progress of electrochemical CO_(2)reduction reactions over polyoxometalate-based materials

Electrochemical CO_(2)reduction to value-added fuels and chemicals is recognized as a promising strategy to alleviate energy shortages and global warming owing to its high efficiency and economic feasibility.Recently,understanding the activity origin,selectivity regulation,and reaction mechanisms of CO_(2)reduction reactions(CO_(2)RRs)has become the focus of efficient electrocatalyst design.Polyoxometalates(POMs),a unique class of nanosized metal-oxo clusters,are promising candidates for the development of efficient CO_(2)RR electrocatalysts and,owing to their well-defined structure,remarkable electron/proton storage and transfer ability,and capacities for adsorption and activation of CO_(2),are ideal models for investigating the activity origin and reaction mechanisms of CO_(2)RR electrocatalysts.In this review,we focus on the activity origin and mechanism of CO_(2)RRs and survey recent advances that were achieved by employing POMs in electrocatalytic CO_(2)RRs.We highlight the significant roles of POMs in the electrocatalytic CO_(2)RR process and the main factors influencing selectivity regulation and catalytic CO_(2)RR performance,including the electrolyte,electron-transfer process,and surface characteristics.Finally,we offer a perspective of the advantages and future challenges of POM-based materials in electrocatalytic CO_(2)reduction that could inform new advancements in this promising research field.

Electroacupuncture induces acute changes in cerebral cortical mi RNA profile, improves cerebral blood flow and alleviates neurological deficits in a rat model of stroke

Electroacupuncture has been shown to improve cerebral blood flow in animal models of stroke. However, it is unclear whether electroacupuncture alters mi RNA expression in the cortex. In this study, we examined changes in the cerebral cortical mi RNA profile, cerebral blood flow and neurological function induced by electroacupuncture in a rat model of stroke. Electroacupuncture was performed at Renzhong（GV26） and Neiguan（PC6）, with a frequency of 2 Hz, continuous wave, current intensity of 3.0 m A, and stimulation time of 1 minute. Electroacupuncture increased cerebral blood flow and alleviated neurological impairment in the rats. mi RNA microarray profiling revealed that the vascular endothelial growth factor signaling pathway, which links cell proliferation with stroke, was most significantly affected by electroacupuncture. Electroacupuncture induced changes in expression of rno-mi R-206-3p, rno-mi R-3473, rno-mi R-6216 and rno-mi R-494-3p, and these changes were confirmed by quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction. Our findings suggest that changes in cell proliferation-associated mi RNA expression induced by electroacupuncture might be associated with the improved cerebral blood supply and functional recovery following stroke.

Observational results of MUSER during 2014–2019

The solar radio signal that can be received by the ground-based telescopes covers a wide frequency range,allowing us to monitor the complex physical processes occurred from the solar surface to the vast interplanetary space.MingantU SpEctral Radioheliograph(MUSER),as the latest generation of solar dedicated radio spectral-imaging instrument in the centimeter-decimeter wavelengths,has accumulated a large number of observational data since its commissioning observation in 2014.This paper presents the main observational results identified by MUSER from 2014 to 2019,including the quiet Sun and 94 solar radio burst events.We find that there are 81 events accompanied with Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellites(GOES)soft X-ray(SXR)flares,among which the smallest flare class is B1.0.There are 13 events without accompanying any recorded flares,among which the smallest SXR intensity during the radio burst period is equivalent to level-A.The main characteristics of all radio burst events are presented,which shows the powerful ability of MUSER to capture the valuable information of the solar non-thermal processes and the importance for space weather.This work also provides a database for further in-depth research.

Overexpression of Myocardin-related transcription factor-A attenuated middle cerebral artery occlusion/reperfusion-induced apoptosis via the Mcl-1/Cyt C/cleaved caspase 3 pathway

To investigate the effect of Myocardin related transcription factor A(MRTF-A)on apoptosis induced by ischemic/reperfusion(I/R),middle cerebral artery occlusion/reperfusion(MCAO/R)in rats were applied to mimic I/R.The neurological deficit score,cerebral infarct size,cortical neuron apoptosis and cleaved caspase 3 level were evaluated to determine the effect and the level of apoptosis by TTC straining,terminal deoxynucleotidyl transferase dUTP nick end labeling(TUNEL)straining,Western blot and immunofuorescence staining.The myeloid cell leukemia-1(Mcl-1)expression,release of cytochrome C(Cyt C)and its colocalization with apoptotic pro-tease activating factor-1(Apaf-1)were analyzed by quantitative real-time PCR(qRT-PCR),Western blot,and immunofuorescence staining.The results showed that MRTF-A over-expression could decrease the neurological deficit score and reduce cerebral infarct size(P<0.01 versus Sham).In the MRTF-A-I/R group,TUNEL-positive cells and apoptosis ratio(%)(51.61±6.17%)were significantly decreased compared to the Neg-I/R group(76.45±8.77%)at 24 h reperfusion.Meanwhile,the cleaved caspase 3 expression revealed a similar trend while the expression of Mcl-1 was the opposite.Moreover,MRTF-A overexpression significantly enhanced Mcl-1 fAuorescence intensity,which up-regulated the mRNA and protein level(P<0.05or P<0.01 versus Neg-I/R).Furthermore,MRTF-A overexpression markedly inhibited the release of Cyt C,and decreased the colocalization with Apaf-1 in the cytoplasm(P<0.05 or P<0.01.versus Neg-I/R).All the data indicated that MRTF-A overexpression could improve the neu-rological function against cerebral I/R-induced apoptosis since underlying mechanism might be involved in the Mc-1/Cyt C/cleaved caspase 3 signaling pathway.

Effects of different anesthesia depth on the level of plasma cortisol during operation and the score of postoperative MMSE in elderly patients with radical operation for gastric carcinoma

Objective:To observe the effects of different anesthesia depths on the level of plasma cortisol during operation and the score of postoperative MMSE in elderly patients underwent radical gastrectomy.Methods: A total of eighty seven elderly patients undergoing radical gastrectomy were enrolled in this study. Continuous infusion of propofol and remifentanil for anesthesia and maintenance of propofol were divided into two groups: BIS-I (BIS: 45-55) and BIS-II (BIS: 55-65) by adusting the doses of propofol. The data were recorded as following, thewhole dosage of propofol, the time of extubation and the score of VAS. The level of plasma cortisol was finished at the time of incision and tracheal intubation. MMSE scores were recorded on the day before operation and follow-up at 3 and 7 d postoperatively. Record the patient's operation to discharge time, postoperative complications.Results: The concentration of cortisol in BIS-I group was higher than that in BIS-II group. There was no significant difference in extubation time, extubation VAS score and MMSE score after operation.Conclusion:There were no significant differences in the BIS values between 45 and 65 for the elderly patients undergoing upper abdominal surgery, and there were no significant differences in the patients' postoperative stress, wake, extubation, early postoperative pain scores and postoperative cognitive function. BIS values in 45-55 compared to 55-65 patients with low plasma cortisol levels may be associated with better control of stress levels, to maintain the BIS value between 45-55 anesthesia depths is more reasonable.

Lipopolysaccharide-induced Trigeminal Ganglion Nerve Fiber Damage is Associated with Autophagy Inhibition

Objective This study aimed to determine whether lipopolysaccharide(LPS)induces the loss of corneal nerve fibers in cultured trigeminal ganglion(TG)cells,and the underlying mechanism of LPS-induced TG neurite damage.Methods TG neurons were isolated from C57BL/6 mice,and the cell viability and purity were maintained for up to 7 days.Then,they were treated with LPS(1µg/mL)or the autophagy regulator(autophibib and rapamycin)alone or in combination for 48 h,and the length of neurites in TG cells was examined by the immunofluorescence staining of the neuron-specific proteinβ3-tubulin.Afterwards,the molecular mechanisms by which LPS induces TG neuron damage were explored.Results The immunofluorescence staining revealed that the average length of neurites in TG cells significantly decreased after LPS treatment.Importantly,LPS induced the impairment of autophagic flux in TG cells,which was evidenced by the increase in the accumulation of LC3 and p62 proteins.The pharmacological inhibition of autophagy by autophinib dramatically reduced the length of TG neurites.However,the rapamycin-induced activation of autophagy significantly lessened the effect of LPS on the degeneration of TG neurites.Conclusion LPS-induced autophagy inhibition contributes to the loss of TG neurites.

Nuclear receptors modulate inflammasomes in the pathophysiology and treatment of major depressive disorder

Major depressive disorder(MDD)is highly prevalent and is a significant cause of mortality and morbidity worldwide.Currently,conventional pharmacological treatments for MDD produce temporary remission in<50%of patients;therefore,there is an urgent need for a wider spectrum of novel antidepressants to target newly discovered underlying disease mechanisms.Accumulated evidence has shown that immune inflammation,particularly inflammasome activity,plays an important role in the pathophysiology of MDD.In this review,we summarize the evidence on nuclear receptors(NRs),such as glucocorticoid receptor,mineralocorticoid receptor,estrogen receptor,aryl hydrocarbon receptor,and peroxisome proliferator-activated receptor,in modulating the inflammasome activity and depression-associated behaviors.This review provides evidence from an endocrine perspective to understand the role of activated NRs in the pathophysiology of MDD,and to provide insight for the discovery of antidepressants with novel mechanisms for this devastating disorder.

Characteristics of corneal aberration in patients with bilateral keratoconus and unilateral corneal Vogt’s striae

AIM:To assess the corneal high-order aberration(HOA)and its correlation with corneal morphological parameters in patients with bilateral keratoconus(KCN)and unilateral Vogt’s striae.METHODS:A total of 168 eyes of 84 patients with KCN,whose corneas had definite signs of unilateral Vogt’s striae,were enrolled.Corneal HOA and morphological parameters were measured using Pentacam HR.RESULTS:The corneal morphological parameters between KCN eyes with and without Vogt’s striae were evidently different(P<0.001).The 3rd coma 90°,4th spherical aberration,5th coma 90°,root-mean-square(RMS)(total),and RMS(HOA)in the front,back surfaces and total cornea in KCN eyes with Vogt’s striae were significantly higher than those in KCN eyes without Vogt’s striae(P<0.001).In KCN eyes with Vogt’s striae,the 3rd coma 90°and 4th spherical aberration in the front surface and total cornea were negatively correlated with flat keratometry value(K1),steep keratometry value(K2),mean keratometry value(Km),maximum keratometry value(Kmax),anterior corneal elevation(ACE),and posterior corneal elevation(PCE;P<0.05).The 3rd coma 90°,4th spherical aberration in back surface and RMS(total),RMS(HOA)in the front,back surfaces,total cornea were positively correlated with K1,K2,Km,Kmax,ACE,and PCE(P<0.05).CONCLUSION:Corneal HOA especially vertical coma and spherical aberration may increase when Vogt’s striae appeared in KCN eyes.The scale of increase is significantly related with changes in corneal shapes.

内镜黏膜下剥离术治疗消化道早期癌及癌前病变长期疗效的单中心回顾性队列分析

目的研究内镜黏膜下剥离术(ESD)治疗消化道早癌或癌前病变的长期疗效以及术后复发的影响因素。方法收集73例患者的临床及随访资料。采用Kaplan-Meier法,Log-rank和Breslow检验,以及Cox风险比例模型进行统计学分析。结果胃和结直肠ESD术后中位无复发生存时间(DFS)大于该研究最长随访时间(65个月),食管中位生存时间为44.5个月;与胃和结直肠相比,食管ESD术后DFS明显减少(χ~2=12.61,P=0.000;χ~2=7.09,P=0.008);病灶异型程度(浸润深度)和病灶面积影响ESD术后DFS(P=0.027,OR=2.38,95%CI:1.10~5.12;P=0.074,OR=0.90,95%CI:0.80~1.01)。结论 ESD术是切除消化道早期癌和癌前病变并维持长期不复发的有效内镜下手术方法 ;异型程度(浸润深度)是影响ESD术后DFS的独立危险因素;病灶面积在影响ESD术后的DFS方面具有临床意义。

维持性血液透析患者血清骨硬化蛋白与颈动脉内膜中层厚度的关系

目的了解维持性血液透析患者骨硬化蛋白水平与动脉硬化间的关系。方法收集75例维持性血液透析患者每周第1次血液透析前的血液标本,检测血清全段甲状旁腺激素(iPTH)、骨硬化蛋白水平,同时B超测定颈动脉内膜中层厚度(IMT),所有患者以血清骨硬化蛋白平均值152.34 pmol/L为界,分为低骨硬化蛋白组及高骨硬化蛋白组,比较两组患者颈动脉IMT及相关指标,对颈动脉IMT与骨硬化蛋白水平及相关因素间进行相关性分析、回归分析。结果与高骨硬化蛋白组比较,低骨硬化蛋白组患者颈动脉IMT、血清iPTH及碱性磷酸酶(ALP)水平均升高(P <0.05),颈动脉IMT与骨硬化蛋白呈负相关(r=-0.738,P=0.000),与iPTH呈正相关(r=0.382,P=0.001)。骨硬化蛋白与iPTH及ALP水平呈负相关(r=-0.420和-0.285,P=0.000和0.013)。Logistic回归分析显示,血清骨硬化蛋白水平是颈动脉IMT的影响因素[O^R=0.92,(95%CI:0.88,0.97)]。结论在维持性血液透析患者中,颈动脉IMT与血清骨硬化蛋白水平呈负相关,较低的骨硬化蛋白水平提示患者动脉硬化较重。

利用空间位阻和氢溢流协同作用促进5-羟甲基糠醛选择性加氢制备5-甲基糠醛

化学工业生产中,用氢气为还原剂,通过选择性加氢可以制备多种重要化学品。5-羟甲基糠醛是重要的生物质基平台化合物,而5-甲基糠醛是用途广泛的化学品。由5-羟甲基糠醛加氢得到5-甲基糠醛是一条非常理想的路径,但是选择性活化C―OH非常困难。本文设计并制备了Pt@PVP/Nb_(2)O_(5)(PVP:聚乙烯吡咯烷酮)催化剂,该催化体系巧妙地结合了位阻效应、氢溢流和催化剂界面的电子效应,系统研究了该催化剂对5-羟甲基糠醛选择性加氢制备5-甲基糠醛催化性能,在最优条件下,5-甲基糠醛的选择性可达92%。利用密度泛函理论计算研究了5-羟甲基糠醛选择性加氢制备5-甲基糠醛反应路径。

化学化工虚拟仿真实验教学平台的建设与应用

虚拟仿真教学是近年来一种新型教学模式,是一种融合多学科、多区域、多层次的实验教学方法,以天津大学化学化工虚拟仿真实验平台建设为例,介绍化学化工安全知识、理论知识、实验内容的有机融合,虚拟仿真资源的具体内容及虚拟仿真实验平台的特色。提供了一种虚拟仿真资源与传统教学资源高效结合的新模式,推动了化学化工类实验教学的发展。

加压氢化反应虚拟仿真实验的建设与应用

为扩大加压氢化这一实用技术在本科教学中的应用,使学生能够熟练使用氢气这种易燃易爆气体,提出并建设了加压氢化反应的虚拟仿真实验。基于三位诺贝尔奖获得者在氢化反应领域的相关工作,开展加压氢化反应的虚拟仿真实验。该实验建设包括仿真软件资源、学习共享平台、移动端学习资源、流程建设、评价体系建设,充分发挥虚拟仿真技术在化学化工领域中的作用,为一些难以在教学中开展的化学化工实验课程开辟了新的道路。

跨上皮角膜胶原交联手术治疗进展期圆锥角膜的疗效

目的:分析跨上皮角膜胶原交联手术治疗进展期圆锥角膜后1a的疗效并讨论其临床意义。方法:收集2017-01/2018-12于我院进行快速跨上皮角膜胶原交联手术的进展期圆锥角膜患者45例48眼,术后随访1a,分析手术前后视力、角膜最薄点厚度、角膜内皮细胞计数、角膜交联线深度、角膜前表面曲率Km值及角膜生物力学参数等变化情况。结果:与术前比较,本组患者术后裸眼视力明显改善(P<0.05),但最佳矫正视力、角膜最薄点厚度和角膜内皮细胞计数均无明显变化(P>0.05),术后6mo,1a角膜前表面曲率Km值(48.54±2.57、48.77±2.29D)均显著下降,角膜生物力学参数第1次压平宽度(1.52±0.21、1.57±0.22mm)均显著降低(P<0.05),第2次压平速度绝对值(0.82±0.09、0.82±0.18m/s)均显著增加(P<0.05)。结论:快速跨上皮角膜胶原交联手术治疗进展期圆锥角膜对裸眼视力有明显改善,术后角膜生物力学也有改善,但最佳矫正视力改善不明显。

An Accurate and Extensible Machine Learning Classifier for Flow-Level Traffic Classification

Machine Learning(ML) techniques have been widely applied in recent traffic classification.However, the problems of both discriminator bias and class imbalance decrease the accuracies of ML based traffic classifier. In this paper, we propose an accurate and extensible traffic classifier. Specifically, to address the discriminator bias issue, our classifier is built by making an optimal cascade of binary sub-classifiers, where each binary sub-classifier is trained independently with the discriminators used for identifying application specific traffic. Moreover, to balance a training dataset,we apply SMOTE algorithm in generating artificial training samples for minority classes.We evaluate our classifier on two datasets collected from different network border routers.Compared with the previous multi-class traffic classifiers built in one-time training process,our classifier achieves much higher F-Measure and AUC for each application.

Prevalence of Metabolic Syndrome and Risk Factors Among Chinese Adults:Results from a Population-Based Study—Beijing,China,2017–2018

Summary What is already known about this topic?Metabolic syndrome(MetS)is one of the most easily available health indicative markers for cardiovascular diseases,and it has become a major public health problem worldwide due to increasing urbanization and aging populations.The prevalence of MetS increased dramatically in China,however,there are no records of MetS defined by the 2017 Chinese Diabetes Society for Beijing by far.What is added by this report?In this study,the data of 24,412 participants aged 18–74 years from a large population-based study in Beijing was collected.The overall prevalence of MetS among Beijing residents was 24.5%.The prevalence was 35.2%in males and 15.4%in females.What are the implications for public health practice?Effective public health strategies should target males,people with older age,lower education,higher body mass index,smokers,those who drink alcohol,those who are unemployed or retired,and those who live in rural areas on MetS prevention and control.

Microfluidic chips for the endothelial biomechanics and mechanobiology of the vascular system

Endothelial cells arranged on the vessel lumen are constantly stimulated by blood flow,blood pressure and pressureinduced cyclic stretch.These stimuli are sensed through mechanical sensory structures and converted into a series of functional responses through mechanotransduction pathways.The process will eventually affect vascular health.Therefore,there has been an urgent need to establish in vitro endothelial biomechanics and mechanobiology of models,which reproduce three-dimensional structure vascular system.In recent years,the rapid development in microfluidic technology makes it possible to replicate the key structural and functionally biomechanical characteristics of vessels.Here,we summarized the progress of microfluidic chips used for the investigation of endothelial biomechanics and mechanobiology of the vascular system.Firstly,we elucidated the contribution of shear stress and circumferential stress,to vascular physiology.Then,we reviewed some applications using microfluidic technology in angiogenesis and vasculogenesis,endothelial permeability and mechanotransduction,as well as the blood-brain barrier under these physical forces.Finally,we discussed the future obstacles in terms of the development and application of microfluidic vascular chips.