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An Effective Prediction Method for Supporting Decision Making in Real Estate Area Selection
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作者 Haoying Jin Song Yang mingzhi zhao 《Journal of Computer and Communications》 2024年第7期105-119,共15页
Real estate has been a dominant industry in many countries. One problem for real estate companies is determining the most valuable area before starting a new project. Previous studies on this issue mainly focused on m... Real estate has been a dominant industry in many countries. One problem for real estate companies is determining the most valuable area before starting a new project. Previous studies on this issue mainly focused on market needs and economic prospects, ignoring the impact of natural disasters. We observe that natural disasters are important for real estate area selection because they will introduce considerable losses to real estate enterprises. Following this observation, we first develop a self-defined new indicator named Average Loss Ratio to predict the losses caused by natural disasters in an area. Then, we adopt the existing ARIMA model to predict the Average Loss Ratio of an area. After that, we propose to integrate the TOPSIS model and the Grey Prediction Model to rank the recommendation levels for candidate areas, thereby assisting real estate companies in their decision-making process. We conduct experiments on real datasets to validate our proposal, and the results suggest the effectiveness of the proposed method. 展开更多
关键词 Real Estate Natural Disaster Decision Making Prediction Model
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基于内嵌物理信息深度学习模型的增材制造工艺参数及熔池尺寸预测 被引量:3
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作者 赵明志 韦辉亮 +3 位作者 茅仪铭 张长东 刘婷婷 廖文和 《Engineering》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2023年第4期181-195,M0008,共16页
熔池特征对激光粉末床熔融(LPBF)的打印质量有显著影响,打印参数和熔池尺寸的定量预测对LPBF中复杂过程的智能控制至关重要。然而由于高度非线性,打印参数和熔池尺寸的双向预测一直极具挑战。为了解决此问题,本工作融合典型实验、机理... 熔池特征对激光粉末床熔融(LPBF)的打印质量有显著影响,打印参数和熔池尺寸的定量预测对LPBF中复杂过程的智能控制至关重要。然而由于高度非线性,打印参数和熔池尺寸的双向预测一直极具挑战。为了解决此问题,本工作融合典型实验、机理模型和深度学习研究激光PBF过程中关键参数和熔池特性的正向和逆向预测。实验提供基础数据,机理模型显著增强数据集,多层感知器(MLP)深度学习模型则根据实验和机理模型构建的数据集预测熔池尺寸和工艺参数。结果表明可以实现熔池尺寸和工艺参数的双向预测,最高预测准确率接近99.9%,平均预测准确率超过90.0%。此外,MLP模型的预测准确率与数据集的特征密切相关,即数据集的可学习性对预测准确率有至关重要的影响。通过机理模型增强数据集后的最高预测精度为97.3%,而仅使用实验数据集时的最高预测精度只有68.3%。MLP模型的预测准确率在很大程度上取决于数据集的质量。研究结果表明使用MLP进行复杂相关性的双向预测对于激光PBF是可行的,本工作为选定智能增材制造的工艺条件和结果提供了一个新颖而有用的框架。 展开更多
关键词 Additive manufacturing Molten pool MODEL Deep learning LEARNABILITY
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Feasibility Analysis of Constructing Solar Power Plant by Combining Large Scale Wind Farm
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作者 mingzhi zhao Yanling Zhang +1 位作者 Shijin Song Xiaoming Zhang 《Energy and Power Engineering》 2013年第4期89-91,共3页
Hybrid utilization of renewable energy is one of effective method which can solve the problem that unstable of renewable energy so as not to substitute traditional fossil energy. As the typical renewable energy, solar... Hybrid utilization of renewable energy is one of effective method which can solve the problem that unstable of renewable energy so as not to substitute traditional fossil energy. As the typical renewable energy, solar energy and wind energy are in the van of renewable energy utilization. With the large scale utilization of solar and wind energy in the world, constructing large scale solar power plant in the large scale wind farm can make the most of ground resource combining the wind energy with solar energy. Feasibility of constructing large scale solar power plant in the large scale wind farm was analyzed in this paper, and come to a conclusion that constructing large scale solar power plant in the large scale wind farm can not also achieved the goal of mutual support of resource advantages and economizing money but also improved significantly the seasonal mismatch by combining solar with wind. 展开更多
关键词 Hybrid UTILIZATION SOLAR Power Plant WIND FARM
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