The deep-water area of the northern South China Sea, which has active and complicated tectonics, is rich in natural gas and gas hydrate. While the tectonic characteristics is different obviously between the east and t...The deep-water area of the northern South China Sea, which has active and complicated tectonics, is rich in natural gas and gas hydrate. While the tectonic characteristics is different obviously between the east and the west because of the special tectonic position and tectonic evolution process. In terms of submarine geomorphology, the eastern shelf-slope structure in Pearl River Mouth Basin is characterized by having wide sub-basins and narrow intervening highs, whereas the western （Qiongdongnan Basin） structure is characterized by narrow sub- basins and wide uplift. As to the structural features, the deep-water sags in the east are all structurally half- grabens, controlled by a series of south-dipping normal faults. While the west sags are mainly characterised by graben structures with faulting in both the south and north. With regards to the tectonic evolution, the east began neotectonic activity when the post-rifting stage had completed at the end of the Middle Miocene. In the Baiyun Sag, tectonic activity became strong and was characterised by rapid subsidence and obvious faulting. Whereas in the west, neotectonic activity began at the end of the Late Miocene with rapid deposition and weak fault activity.展开更多
分析了深圳市近年来发生的地面塌陷事故数据,发现深圳市地面塌陷最主要的致灾因素是地下管网破损和地下施工不当,且管网破损地面塌陷数与施工不当地面塌陷数之间存在明显的相关性。选取了常见的几类边缘分布类型对管网破损地面塌陷数和...分析了深圳市近年来发生的地面塌陷事故数据,发现深圳市地面塌陷最主要的致灾因素是地下管网破损和地下施工不当,且管网破损地面塌陷数与施工不当地面塌陷数之间存在明显的相关性。选取了常见的几类边缘分布类型对管网破损地面塌陷数和施工不当地面塌陷数的分布规律进行拟合,其最优边缘分布类型分别为威布尔分布和截尾极值Ⅰ型分布。利用赤池信息准则(Akaike information criterion,AIC)和贝叶斯信息准则(Bayesian information criterion,BIC)确定了描述管网破损地面塌陷数和施工不当地面塌陷数之间相关性的最优Copula函数是Gaussian Copula函数,并以此建立了深圳市地面塌陷致灾因素的联合概率分布模型,进行了联合概率分析。研究表明:管网破损和施工不当这2个致灾因素同时出现得越频繁,造成地面塌陷的概率越大。展开更多
基金The National Basic Research Program(973 Program)of China under contract No.2009CB219401Science and Technology Program of Guangzhou under contract No.201505041038084+2 种基金the Open Fund of State Key Laboratory of Oil and Gas Reservoir Geology and Exploitation(Southwest Petroleum University)under contract No.PLN1401the Key Laboratory of Gas Hydrate,Ministry of Land and Resources under contract No.SHW(2014)-DX-01the State Key Laboratory Breeding Base of Nuclear Resources and Environment,East China Institute of Technology under contract No.NRE1302
文摘The deep-water area of the northern South China Sea, which has active and complicated tectonics, is rich in natural gas and gas hydrate. While the tectonic characteristics is different obviously between the east and the west because of the special tectonic position and tectonic evolution process. In terms of submarine geomorphology, the eastern shelf-slope structure in Pearl River Mouth Basin is characterized by having wide sub-basins and narrow intervening highs, whereas the western （Qiongdongnan Basin） structure is characterized by narrow sub- basins and wide uplift. As to the structural features, the deep-water sags in the east are all structurally half- grabens, controlled by a series of south-dipping normal faults. While the west sags are mainly characterised by graben structures with faulting in both the south and north. With regards to the tectonic evolution, the east began neotectonic activity when the post-rifting stage had completed at the end of the Middle Miocene. In the Baiyun Sag, tectonic activity became strong and was characterised by rapid subsidence and obvious faulting. Whereas in the west, neotectonic activity began at the end of the Late Miocene with rapid deposition and weak fault activity.
文摘分析了深圳市近年来发生的地面塌陷事故数据,发现深圳市地面塌陷最主要的致灾因素是地下管网破损和地下施工不当,且管网破损地面塌陷数与施工不当地面塌陷数之间存在明显的相关性。选取了常见的几类边缘分布类型对管网破损地面塌陷数和施工不当地面塌陷数的分布规律进行拟合,其最优边缘分布类型分别为威布尔分布和截尾极值Ⅰ型分布。利用赤池信息准则(Akaike information criterion,AIC)和贝叶斯信息准则(Bayesian information criterion,BIC)确定了描述管网破损地面塌陷数和施工不当地面塌陷数之间相关性的最优Copula函数是Gaussian Copula函数,并以此建立了深圳市地面塌陷致灾因素的联合概率分布模型,进行了联合概率分析。研究表明:管网破损和施工不当这2个致灾因素同时出现得越频繁,造成地面塌陷的概率越大。
