期刊文献+
共找到11篇文章
< 1 >
每页显示 20 50 100
1984-2014年影响中国热带气旋的经济损失标准化及其变化特征 被引量:17
1
作者 温姗姗 翟建青 +3 位作者 thomas fischer 苏布达 姜彤 王艳君 《热带气象学报》 CSCD 北大核心 2017年第4期478-487,共10页
根据1984—2014年中国热带气旋损失数据和社会经济统计资料,采用居民消费者物价指数方法(consumer price index,CPI)、常规标准化方法 (conventional normalization method,CNM)和替代标准化方法(Alternative Normalization Method,ANM... 根据1984—2014年中国热带气旋损失数据和社会经济统计资料,采用居民消费者物价指数方法(consumer price index,CPI)、常规标准化方法 (conventional normalization method,CNM)和替代标准化方法(Alternative Normalization Method,ANM)对影响中国的气旋的直接经济损失进行标准化处理,对比研究了原始的和CPI、CNM、ANM等三种标准化的灾害损失时空特征。研究结果表明:(1)原始损失值有利于与同年其他灾种损失进行对比以及数据的逐年延长更新,而标准化后的损失值有利于长时间序列的时空比较研究,其中,CPI方法计算简单,易于推广,可用于中国灾害损失的数据处理与分析汇总,而在人口和财富快速增长的地区,CNM和ANM方法有利于体现人口和财富对损失的影响,在长时间序列的时空比较研究方面更具优势;(2)1984—2014年,共有243个影响气旋影响中国大陆的22个省(区、市),气旋频数多年来没有显著变化趋势,但未登陆的影响气旋和台风(TY)强度及以上等级的影响气旋频数多年来皆呈明显增加趋势;(3)1984—2014年影响气旋所造成的直接经济损失在原始的和经CPI标准化后的序列中均呈显著增加趋势,而经CNM和ANM标准化后的序列则无明显趋势,原始序列中最高损失年是2013年,CPI、CNM和ANM标准化后损失序列在1996年达到最高值后经历了由高到低的突变,原始的以及三种标准化后的损失序列均存在2~3年的周期振荡,浙江、广东和福建省始终是直接经济损失最高的三个省份;(4)在对中国大陆造成最高直接经济损失的十个影响气旋中,1996年的"赫伯"(Herb)始终位居首位,而其他影响气旋的排序位次因标准化与否以及标准化方法的不同而有明显差异。 展开更多
关键词 影响热带气旋 变化特征 经济损失标准化 CPI CNM ANM
下载PDF
1961—2010年松花江流域实际蒸散发时空变化及影响要素分析 被引量:21
2
作者 温姗姗 姜彤 +3 位作者 李修仓 王腾飞 王艳君 thomas fischer 《气候变化研究进展》 CSCD 北大核心 2014年第2期79-86,共8页
采用1961—2010年松花江流域60个气象站逐日资料,基于平流-干旱模型(AA模型)计算并分析了流域实际蒸散发时空变化特征,采用相关分析方法研究了影响实际蒸散发变化的主要气象要素。结果表明,1961—2010年,松花江流域年均实际蒸散发为420.... 采用1961—2010年松花江流域60个气象站逐日资料,基于平流-干旱模型(AA模型)计算并分析了流域实际蒸散发时空变化特征,采用相关分析方法研究了影响实际蒸散发变化的主要气象要素。结果表明,1961—2010年,松花江流域年均实际蒸散发为420.8 mn,总体呈现增加趋势,增加速率为4.9 mm/10a,呈"减-增-减-增"年代际波动变化。季节上,春、冬两季实际蒸散发增加趋势较明显,夏、秋两季则呈现与年实际蒸散发类似的年代际波动。春、夏、秋三季和年实际蒸散发的空间分布特征基本一致,高值主要出现在流域南部,低值区主要分布在流域西部。冬季绝大部分区域的实际蒸散发呈现微弱上升趋势。1961-2010年,松花江流域年和四季的平均气温、最高气温和最低气温都呈上升趋势,其中平均气温和最低气温上升显著,日照时数和风速大都呈现显著下降趋势。相关分析结果表明,松花江流域实际蒸散发的时空变化是各气象要素共同影响的结果,而且各气象要素在不同时期对实际蒸散发的影响是有差异的。总体上看,松花江流域实际蒸散发的增加主要是由平均气温,特别是最低气温的增加引起,特别在春、冬季体现得较为明显。夏、秋季节,影响实际蒸散发的要素包括气温日较差、实际水汽压、平均风速及降水量等气象要素,但夏、秋季节这些要素的多年变化趋势不明显,导致夏、秋实际蒸散发的总体变化趋势并不明显。 展开更多
关键词 实际蒸散发 平流-干旱模型(AA模型) 松花江流域 影响要素
下载PDF
Coexpression of receptor-tyrosine-kinases in gastric adenocarcinoma-a rationale for a molecular targeting strategy? 被引量:4
3
作者 Daniel Drescher Markus Moehler +14 位作者 Ines Gockel Kirsten Frerichs Annett Müller Friedrich Dünschede thomas Borschitz Stefan Biesterfeld Martin Holtmann thomas Wehler Andreas Teufel Kerstin Herzer thomas fischer Martin R Berger Theodor Junginger Peter R Galle Carl C Schimanski 《World Journal of Gastroenterology》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2007年第26期3605-3609,共5页
AIM: To define the (co-)expression pattern of target receptor-tyrosine-kinases (RTK) in human gastric adenocarcinoma. METHODS: The (co-)expression pattern of VEGFR1-3, PDGFR(α/β and EGFR1 was analyzed by RT... AIM: To define the (co-)expression pattern of target receptor-tyrosine-kinases (RTK) in human gastric adenocarcinoma. METHODS: The (co-)expression pattern of VEGFR1-3, PDGFR(α/β and EGFR1 was analyzed by RT-PCR in 51 human gastric adenocarcinomas. In addition, IHC staining was applied for confirmation of expression and analysis of RTK localisation. RESULTS: The majority of samples revealed a VEGFR1 (98%), VEGFR2 (80%), VEGFR3 (67%), PDGFRα (82%) and PDGFRβ (82%) expression, whereas only 62% exhibited an EGFR1 expression. 78% of cancers expressed at least four out of six RTKs. While VEGFR1-3 and PDGFRα revealed a predominantly cytoplasmatic staining in tumor cells, accompanied by an additional nuclear staining for VEGFR3, EGFR1 was almost exclusively detected on the membrane of tumor cells. PDGFRβ was restricted to stromal pericytes, which also depicted a PDGFRα expression. CONCLUSION: Our results reveal a high rate ofreceptor-tyrosine-kinases coexpression in gastric adenocarcinoma and might therefore encourage an application of multiple-target RTK-inhibitors within a combination therapy. 展开更多
关键词 VEGFR EGFR PDGFR Cancer Adeno-carcinoma Gastric STOMACH
下载PDF
Trends in Monthly Temperature and Precipitation Extremes in the Zhujiang River Basin,South China(1961-2007) 被引量:6
4
作者 thomas fischer Marco Gemmer +1 位作者 Lliu Liu Buda Su 《Advances in Climate Change Research》 SCIE 2010年第2期63-70,共8页
Monthly temperature and precipitation time-series for the Zhujiang River Basin are analyzed in order to identify changes in climate extremes. Daily temperature and precipitation data from 1961 to 2007 of 192 meteorolo... Monthly temperature and precipitation time-series for the Zhujiang River Basin are analyzed in order to identify changes in climate extremes. Daily temperature and precipitation data from 1961 to 2007 of 192 meteorological stations are used. Two temperature indicators (monthly mean and monthly maximum mean) and three precipitation indicators (monthly total, monthly maximum consecutive 5-day precipitation, and monthly dry days) are analyzed. Tendencies in all five indicators can be observed. Many stations show significant positive trends (above the 90% confidence level) for monthly mean temperatures and monthly maximum mean temperatures. For all months, a significant increase in temperature from 1961 to 2007 can be observed in the entire basin with the coastal area in particular. Positive trends of precipitation extremes can be observed from January to March. Negative trends are detected from September to November. The number of dry days in October increased significantly at 40% of all meteorological stations. Stations with changes of monthly precipitation extremes are scattered over the Zhujiang River Basin. An aggregation of heat waves and droughts can be detected which is accompanied by significant increases of temperature extremes and the negative tendencies in precipitation extremes. The detection of tendencies in climate station density. extremes essentially relies on a good data quality and high 展开更多
关键词 temperature PRECIPITATION EXTREMES Zhujiang River Basin China
下载PDF
Environmental Information Systems:Paving the Path for Digitally Facilitated Water Management(Water 4.0) 被引量:1
5
作者 Olaf Kolditz Karsten Rink +5 位作者 Erik Nixdorf thomas fischer Lars Bilke Dmitri Naumov Zhenliang Liao Tianxiang Yue 《Engineering》 SCIE EI 2019年第5期828-832,共5页
1.Introduction The availability of reliable information describing our natural and anthropogenic environment—and its changes in particular—is crucial for understanding the complexity of structures and processes with... 1.Introduction The availability of reliable information describing our natural and anthropogenic environment—and its changes in particular—is crucial for understanding the complexity of structures and processes within environmental systems.Modern remote sensing and monitoring methods provide an increasing amount of environmental data that can be used for a variety of management purposes[1,2]. 展开更多
关键词 systems. COMPLEXITY AVAILABILITY
下载PDF
Long-Term Release of Iron-Cyanide Complexes from the Soils of a Manufactured Gas Plant Site
6
作者 Magdalena Sut thomas fischer +1 位作者 Frank Repmann thomas Raab 《Journal of Environmental Protection》 2013年第11期8-19,共12页
Iron-cyanide (Fe-CN) complexes have been detected at Manufactured Gas Plant sites (MGP) worldwide. The risk of groundwater contamination depends mainly on the dissolution of ferric ferrocyanide. In order to design eff... Iron-cyanide (Fe-CN) complexes have been detected at Manufactured Gas Plant sites (MGP) worldwide. The risk of groundwater contamination depends mainly on the dissolution of ferric ferrocyanide. In order to design effective remediation strategies, it is relevant to understand the contaminant’s fate and transport in soil, and to quantify and mathematically model a release rate. The release of iron-cyanide complexes from four contaminated soils, originating from the former MGP in Cottbus, has been studied by using a column experiment. Results indicated that long-term cyanide (CN) release is governed by two phases: one readily dissolved and one strongly fixed. Different isotherm and kinetic equations were used to investigate the driving mechanisms for the ferric ferrocyanide release. Applying the isotherm equations assumed an approach by which two phases were separate in time, whereas the multiple first order equation considered simultaneous occurrence of both cyanide pools. Results indicated varying CN release rates according to the phase and soil. According to isotherm and kinetic models, the long-term iron cyanide release from the MGP soils is a complex phenomenon driven by various mechanisms parallely involving desorption, diffusion and transport processes. Phase I (rapid release) is presumably mainly constrained by the transport process of readily dissolved iron-cyanide complexes combined with desorption of CN bound to reactive heterogeneous surfaces that are in direct contact with the aqueous phase (outer-sphere complexation). Phase II (limited rate) is presumably driven by the diffusion controlled processes involving dissolution of precipitated ferric ferrocyanide from the mineral or inner-sphere complexation of ferricyanides. CN release rates in phase I and II were mainly influenced by the pH, organic matter (OM) and the total CN content. The cyanide release rates increased with increasing pH, decreased with low initial CN concentration and were retarded by the increase in OM content. 展开更多
关键词 Prussian BLUE Elovich EQUATION FREUNDLICH EQUATION PARABOLIC Diffusion EQUATION Multiple First Order EQUATION
下载PDF
一花独放不是春 简述德国汽车市场现状
7
作者 thomas fischer 《汽车驾驶员》 2013年第7期84-84,共1页
德国不只是哲学家及诗人的国度,同时也是盛产统计数据的国家。我们会对近乎一切事物进行统计、记录,当然也包括消费者的购车行为。正如绝大多数的成熟市场,在德国,二手车的交易量远胜新车交易量。
关键词 德国汽车 市场现状 统计数据 交易量 哲学家 消费者 二手车 购车
下载PDF
契约精神 简述德国的汽车质保制度
8
作者 thomas fischer 《汽车驾驶员》 2013年第8期118-118,共1页
理论上讲,在德国,新车购买者的权益得到了很好的保护。因为根据欧盟法律,汽车制造商至少应提供两年的质保周期。这是成文的法律,它的存在意味着:一旦新车在两年内出现任何故障或缺陷,汽车制造商必须及时对车辆进行检修。通常情况... 理论上讲,在德国,新车购买者的权益得到了很好的保护。因为根据欧盟法律,汽车制造商至少应提供两年的质保周期。这是成文的法律,它的存在意味着:一旦新车在两年内出现任何故障或缺陷,汽车制造商必须及时对车辆进行检修。通常情况下,维修费用无需消费者承担。 展开更多
关键词 汽车制造商 德国 精神 维修费用 购买者 消费者 新车 法律
下载PDF
体外循环手术中的肝素耐药患者的管理:5种抗凝方案的评价
9
作者 Andreas Koster thomas fischer Marcus Gruendel 《国外医学(临床生物化学与检验学分册)》 2005年第5期287-287,共1页
关键词 体外循环 手术中 肝素耐药患者 管理 抗凝方案 评价
下载PDF
Effects of the urban landscape on heatwave-mortality associations in Hong Kong: comparison of different heatwave definitions
10
作者 Jinglu Song Yi Lu +1 位作者 thomas fischer Kejia Hu 《Frontiers of Environmental Science & Engineering》 SCIE EI CSCD 2024年第1期145-156,共12页
Despite increased attention given to potential modifiers of temperature-mortality associations, evidence for variations between different urban landscape characteristics remains limited. It is in this context that in ... Despite increased attention given to potential modifiers of temperature-mortality associations, evidence for variations between different urban landscape characteristics remains limited. It is in this context that in this paper effect modifications of multiple urban landscape characteristics are explored under different heatwave definitions for different age groups and gender in Hong Kong, China. Daily meteorological data and heatwave-related mortality counts from 2008 to 2017 were collected from the Hong Kong Census and Statistics Department, China. A case-only design was adopted, combined with logistic regression models to examine the modification effects of five urban landscape characteristics under six heatwave definitions. Stratified analyses were conducted to investigate age- and gender-specific effect modifications. It is found that individuals living in greener areas experienced lower levels of mortality during or immediately after heatwaves. In contrast, a higher building density and nighttime land surface temperature (LST) were associated with a higher heatwave-related mortality risk. Pronounced effect modifications of these urban landscape characteristics were observed under hotter and longer heatwaves, and in older adults (age ≥ 65 years) and males. The findings provide a scientific basis for policymakers and practitioners when considering measures for coping with hotter, longer, and more frequent heatwaves in the context of global climate change. 展开更多
关键词 Urban landscape HEATWAVE MORTALITY Effect modification Intra-urban differences Health risk reduction
原文传递
Circular causality and indeterminism in machines for design
11
作者 thomas fischer 《Frontiers of Architectural Research》 CSCD 2014年第4期368-375,共8页
Presenting a hard-to-predict typography-varying system predicated on Nazi-era cryptography, the Enigma cipher machine, this paper illustrates conditions under which unrepeatable phenomena can arise, even from straight... Presenting a hard-to-predict typography-varying system predicated on Nazi-era cryptography, the Enigma cipher machine, this paper illustrates conditions under which unrepeatable phenomena can arise, even from straight-forward mechanisms. Such conditions arise where systems are observed from outside of boundaries that arise through their observation, and where such systems refer to themselves in a circular fashion. It argues that the Enigma cipher machine is isomorphous with Heinz yon Foersters portrayals of non-triviality in his non-trivial machine (NTM), but not with surprising human behaviour, and it demonstrates that the NTM does not account for spontaneity as it is observed in humans in general. 展开更多
关键词 System boundaries DESIGN PREDICTABILITY ENIGMA
原文传递
上一页 1 下一页 到第
使用帮助 返回顶部