Over-limit risk assessment method of integrated energy system considering source-load correlation

In an integrated energy system,source-load multiple uncertainties and correlations lead to an over-limit risk in operating state,including voltage,temperature,and pressure over-limit.Therefore,efficient probabilistic energy flow calculation methods and risk assessment theories applicable to integrated energy systems are crucial.This study proposed a probabilistic energy flow calculation method based on polynomial chaos expansion for an electric-heat-gas integrated energy system.The method accurately and efficiently calculated the over-limit probability of the system state variables,considering the coupling conditions of electricity,heat,and gas,as well as uncertainties and correlations in renewable energy unit outputs and multiple types of loads.To further evaluate and quantify the impact of uncertainty factors on the over-limit risk,a global sensitivity analysis method for the integrated energy system based on the analysis of covariance theory is proposed.This method considered the source-load correlation and aimed to identify the key uncertainty factors that influence stable operation.Simulation results demonstrated that the proposed method achieved accuracy to that of the Monte Carlo method while significantly reducing calculation time.It effectively quantified the over-limit risk under the presence of multiple source-load uncertainties.

General Interpolation Formulae for Barycentric Blending Interpolation

General interpolation formulae for barycentric interpolation and barycen- tric rational Hermite interpolation are established by introducing multiple parameters, which include many kinds of barycentric interpolation and barycentric rational Her- mite interpolation. We discussed the interpolation theorem, dual interpolation and special cases. Numerical example is given to show the effectiveness of the method.

¹³C-¹⁸O Bonds in Precipitated Calcite and Aragonite: An <i>ab Initio</i>Study

The 13C-18O bonds in carbonates are potential single-phase geo-thermometers. However, their theoretical distributions (noted as Δ47s) in CO2 degassed from calcite and aragonite with phosphoric acid are unclear. Thus, the isotope reactions of 13C-18O bonds on the growing surfaces of calcite (0001) and aragonite (001) planes were investigated using ab initio techniques. It was found that these reactions determined 13C-18O clumped isotope signatures in bulk calcite and aragonite minerals with novel Δ47 polynomials: and for temperatures ranging from 260 to 1500 K. These theoretical results were in good agreement with the experimental data. In addition, the influence of phosphoric acid on these polynomials was at the level of 0.01‰.

Application of Virtopsy in the Police Activities in China

This review summarizes the mode of application of virtual anatomy technology in the construction of a police system.Local public security organizations have explored the application modes of virtual anatomy construction,such as the multiparty co-construction mode,cooperation mode,and individual construction mode,and reviewed(l)the understanding of public security and application process of virtual anatomy;(2)the problems faced in the construction and application processes,such as those associated with support ofhuman resources,equipment supplies and financial expenditure,the limitations of the technology itself legal issues with application,shrinkage of the identification business,and appraiser-related problems;and(3)the prospect of application of virtopsy in public security systems.