Inflammation-related nomogram for predicting survival of patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma received conversion therapy

BACKGROUND The efficacy of conversion therapy for patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC)is a common clinical concern.AIM To analyse the prognostic factors of overall survival(OS)in patients with unresectable HCC who received conversion therapy.METHODS One hundred and fifty patients who met the inclusion criteria were enrolled and divided into a training cohort(n=120)and a validation cohort(n=30).Using the independent risk factors in the training cohort,a nomogram model was constructed to predict OS for patients treated with transarterial chemoembolization following hepatic resection.The nomogram was internally validated with the bootstrapping method.The predictive performance of nomogram was assessed by Harrell’s concordance index(C-index),calibration plot and timedependent receiver operating characteristic curves and compared with six other conventional HCC staging systems.RESULTS Multivariate Cox analysis identified that albumin,blood urea nitrogen,gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase to platelet ratio,platelet to lymphocyte ratio,macrovascular invasion and tumour number were the six independent prognostic factors correlated with OS in nomogram model.The C-index in the training cohort and validation cohort were 0.752 and 0.807 for predicting OS,which were higher than those of the six conventional HCC staging systems(0.563 to 0.715 for the training cohort and 0.458 to 0.571 for the validation cohort).The calibration plots showed good consistency between the nomogram prediction of OS and the actual observations of OS.Decision curve analyses indicated satisfactory clinical utility.With a total nomogram score of 196,patients were accurately classified into low-risk and high-risk groups.Furthermore,we have deployed the model into online calculators that can be accessed for free at https://ctmodelforunresectablehcc.shinyapps.io/DynNomapp/.CONCLUSION The nomogram achieved optimal individualized prognostication of OS in HCC patients who received conversion therapy,which could be a useful clinical tool to help guide postoperative personalized interventions and prognosis judgement.

Cutting balloon treatment of anastomotic biliary stenosis after liver transplantation: Report of two cases

Biliary stenosis is a common complication after liver transplantation,and has an incidence rate ranging from4.7%to 12.5%based on our previous study.Three types of biliary stenosis(anastomotic stenosis,nonanastomotic peripheral stenosis and non-anastomotic central hilar stenosis)have been identified.We report the outcome of two patients with anastomotic stricture after liver transplantation who underwent successfulcutting balloon treatment.Case 1 was a 40-year-old male transplanted due to subacute fulminant hepatitis C.Case 2 was a 57-year-old male transplanted due to hepatitis B virus-related end-stage cirrhosis associated with hepatocellular carcinoma.Both patients had similar clinical scenarios:refractory anastomotic stenosis after orthotopic liver transplantation and failure of balloon dilation of the common bile duct to alleviate biliary stricture.

Role of interventional therapy in hepatic artery stenosis and non-anastomosis bile duct stricture after orthotopic liver transplantation

AIM： To analyze the clinical manifestations and the effectiveness of therapy in patients with orthotopic liver bansplantation （OLT）-associated hepatic artery stenosis （HAS） and non-anastomosis bile duct stricture.METHODS： Nine cases were diagnosed as HAS and non-anastomosis bile duct stricture. Percutaneous transluminal angioplasty （PTA） was performed in four HAS cases, and expectant treatment in other five HAS cases, percutaneous transhepatic bile drainage, balloon dilation, stent placement were performed in all nine cases.RESULTS： Diffuse intra- and extra-bile duct stricture was observed in nine cases, which was associated with bile mud siltation and biliary infection. Obstruction of the bile duct was improved obviously or removed. Life span/ follow-up period was 13-30 mo after PTA of four HAS cases, 6-23 mo without PTA of other five cases.CONCLUSION： Progressive, non-anastomosis, and diffuse bile duct stricture are the characteristic manifestations of HAS and non-anastomosis bile duct stricture after OLT. These are often associated with bile mud siltation, biliary infection, and ultimate liver failure. Interventional therapy is significantly beneficial.