This study investigates the application of the two-parameter Weibull distribution in modeling state holding times within HIV/AIDS progression dynamics. By comparing the performance of the Weibull-based Accelerated Fai...This study investigates the application of the two-parameter Weibull distribution in modeling state holding times within HIV/AIDS progression dynamics. By comparing the performance of the Weibull-based Accelerated Failure Time (AFT) model, Cox Proportional Hazards model, and Survival model, we assess the effectiveness of these models in capturing survival rates across varying gender, age groups, and treatment categories. Simulated data was used to fit the models, with model identification criteria (AIC, BIC, and R2) applied for evaluation. Results indicate that the AFT model is particularly sensitive to interaction terms, showing significant effects for older age groups (50 - 60 years) and treatment interaction, while the Cox model provides a more stable fit across all age groups. The Survival model displayed variability, with its performance diminishing when interaction terms were introduced, particularly in older age groups. Overall, while the AFT model captures the complexities of interactions in the data, the Cox model’s stability suggests it may be better suited for general analyses without strong interaction effects. The findings highlight the importance of model selection in survival analysis, especially in complex disease progression scenarios like HIV/AIDS.展开更多
This paper suggests a new modified version of the traditional Weibull distribution by adding a new shape parameter utilising the modified alpha power transformed technique.We refer to the new model as modified alpha p...This paper suggests a new modified version of the traditional Weibull distribution by adding a new shape parameter utilising the modified alpha power transformed technique.We refer to the new model as modified alpha power transformed Weibull distribution.The attractiveness and significance of the new distribution lie in its power to model monotone and non-monotone failure rate functions,which are quite familiar in environmental investigations.Its hazard rate function can be decreasing,increasing,bathtub and upside-down then bathtub shaped.Diverse structural properties of the proposed model are acquired including quantile function,moments,entropies,order statistics,residual life and reversed failure rate function.The parameters of the distribution were estimated using the maximum likelihood function.The maximum likelihood method is employed to estimate the model parameters and the approximate confidence intervals are also computed.Via a simulation study,the performance of the point and interval estimates are compared using different criteria.Employing real lifetime data sets,we verify that the offered model furnishes a better fit than some other lifetime models including Weibull,gamma and alpha powerWeibull models.展开更多
The objective of this article is to provide a novel extension of the conventional inverse Weibull distribution that adds an extra shape parameter to increase its flexibility.This addition is beneficial in a variety of...The objective of this article is to provide a novel extension of the conventional inverse Weibull distribution that adds an extra shape parameter to increase its flexibility.This addition is beneficial in a variety of fields,including reliability,economics,engineering,biomedical science,biological research,environmental studies,and finance.For modeling real data,several expanded classes of distributions have been established.The modified alpha power transformed approach is used to implement the new model.The datamatches the new inverseWeibull distribution better than the inverse Weibull distribution and several other competing models.It appears to be a distribution designed to support decreasing or unimodal shaped distributions based on its parameters.Precise expressions for quantiles,moments,incomplete moments,moment generating function,characteristic generating function,and entropy expression are among the determined attributes of the new distribution.The point and interval estimates are studied using the maximum likelihood method.Simulation research is conducted to illustrate the correctness of the theoretical results.Three applications to medical and engineering data are utilized to illustrate the model’s flexibility.展开更多
Aim To quantitatively study three characteristics of the Weibull distribution. Methods Theoritical analysis of the three characteristics of parameters of the Weibull distribution was done and mathematics software wa...Aim To quantitatively study three characteristics of the Weibull distribution. Methods Theoritical analysis of the three characteristics of parameters of the Weibull distribution was done and mathematics software was used to make some chart analysis. Results 17 equations and 7 figures were made. Conclusion Under the standard form, the class of the Weibull probable density founction(pdf) curves appear double peak shape. Under the standard form, the maximum value point curve of the Weibull pdf takes line t =0 and t=1 as asymptotes. When β = 3 30-3 40, the Weibull distribution is the most similar to the normal distribution.展开更多
In this paper, we introduce a class of Lindley and Weibull distributions (LW) that are useful for modeling lifetime data with a comprehensive mathematical treatment. The new class of generated distributions includes s...In this paper, we introduce a class of Lindley and Weibull distributions (LW) that are useful for modeling lifetime data with a comprehensive mathematical treatment. The new class of generated distributions includes some well-known distributions, such as exponential, gamma, Weibull, Lindley, inverse gamma, inverse Weibull, inverse Lindley, and others. We provide closed-form expressions for the density, cumulative distribution, survival function, hazard rate function, moments, moments generating function, quantile, and stochastic orderings. Moreover, we discuss maximum likelihood estimation and the algorithm for computing the parameters estimates. Some sub models are discussed as an illustration with real data sets to show the flexibility of this class.展开更多
An isothermal operation is implemented by employing a thermogravimetric analyzer (TGA) for simulating the thermal decomposition behavior of 58μm pine sawdust in air atmosphere.An independent parallel reaction model i...An isothermal operation is implemented by employing a thermogravimetric analyzer (TGA) for simulating the thermal decomposition behavior of 58μm pine sawdust in air atmosphere.An independent parallel reaction model is adopted in this study to describe the thermal decomposition mechanism.The Weibull distribution function is used to record and analyze the weight loss during isothermal decomposition at different temperatures(500,600,700,and 800°C).The total weight loss of the pine sawdust is assumed as a linear combination of individual weight loss from three components,including the char and two volatile matters.The plot of the thermal decomposition rate curve leads to kinetic parameters such as the reaction rate constants and the reaction order.The results show that the Weibull distribution function successfully represents decomposition curves of three components,and fits the experimental data very well.Therefore,this study provides a simple way to evaluate the decomposition rate of biomass combustion in a real combustor.展开更多
In this paper, we consider the construction of the approximate profile-</span><span style="font-family:""> </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">likelihood confiden...In this paper, we consider the construction of the approximate profile-</span><span style="font-family:""> </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">likelihood confidence intervals for parameters of the 2-parameter Weibull distribution based on small type-2 censored samples. In previous research works, the traditional Wald method has been used to construct approximate confidence intervals for the 2-parameter Weibull distribution</span><span style="font-family:""> </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">under type-2 censoring scheme. However, the Wald technique is based on normality assumption and thus may not produce accurate interval estimates for small samples. The profile-likelihood and Wald confidence intervals are constructed for the shape and scale parameters of the 2-parameter Weibull distribution based on simulated and real type-2 censored data, and are hence compared using confidence length and coverage probability.展开更多
In this paper, a new probability distribution is proposed by using Marshall and Olkin transformation. Some of its properties such as moments, moment generating function, order statistics and reliability functions are ...In this paper, a new probability distribution is proposed by using Marshall and Olkin transformation. Some of its properties such as moments, moment generating function, order statistics and reliability functions are derived. The method of </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">maximum likelihood is used to estimate the model parameters. The graphs of the reliability function and hazard rate function are plotted by taken some values of the parameters. Three real life applications are introduced to compare the behaviour of the new distribution with other distributions.展开更多
Given the steady increase in use of alternative energy sources to supply part of the energy demand of the world, and considering that Mexico has enough wind resources to produce all the electricity required by the cou...Given the steady increase in use of alternative energy sources to supply part of the energy demand of the world, and considering that Mexico has enough wind resources to produce all the electricity required by the country, in this work, it is carried out the development of a system of wind resource assessment to determine the volume of water that a windmill pumping system can provide in a specific area. To this end, it has developed a computer program for wind resource assessment by measurements of wind speed, direction, temperature, barometric pressure and relative humidity. Measuring equipments were mounted in a wind measurement tower of 10 m high, within the premises of the University of Quintana Roo which is located along the coast. Until this day, there are records over a period of five months of the variables of wind speed, wind direction, temperature, relative humidity and atmospheric pressure. These variables were used for statistical calculations using the Weibull distributions. To give a better use of the calculated data, they were applied to the evaluation of a Pumping System.展开更多
In this paper, the location parameter δ_(a) in Weibull distribution i.e. the lower limiting CTOD toughness of high strength steel weldments is evaluated from Gleeble simulated coarse grained specimens. The Charpy-V t...In this paper, the location parameter δ_(a) in Weibull distribution i.e. the lower limiting CTOD toughness of high strength steel weldments is evaluated from Gleeble simulated coarse grained specimens. The Charpy-V transition temperature obtained from these specimens is transformed to a fracture toughness K_(IC) value at a given temperature using Sanz' relation. Then, the location parameter a is δ_(a) evaluated. The predicted location parameter arrives at agreement with the lowest CTOD value as obtained from thick multilayer weldments. The improvement of the fracture toughness of multilayer weldments needs the increase of the lowering limiting CTOD.toughness i.e. the toughness of the coarse grained zone.展开更多
The lifetime data of products with multiple failure modes which are collected from life testing are often fitted by the mixed Weibull distributions. Since the mixed Weibull distributions contain no less than five para...The lifetime data of products with multiple failure modes which are collected from life testing are often fitted by the mixed Weibull distributions. Since the mixed Weibull distributions contain no less than five parameters,the parameter estimation is difficult and inaccurate. In order to enhance the accuracy,a new method of parameter estimation based on Cuckoo search( CS) is proposed. An optimization model for the mixed Weibull distribution is formulated by minimizing the residual sum of squares. The optimal parameters are searched via CS algorithm. In the case study,the lifetime data come from the life testing of diesel injectors and are fitted by the twocomponent Weibull mixture. Regarding the maximum absolute error and the accumulative absolute error between estimated and observed values as the accuracy index of parameter estimation,the results of four parameter estimation methods that the graphic estimation method,the nonlinear least square method,the optimization method based on particle swarm optimization( PSO) and the proposed method are compared. The result shows that the proposed method is more efficient and more accurate than the other three methods.展开更多
Product testing is a key ingredient in maintaining the quality of a pro-duction process.The production process is considered an efficient process if it is capable of quick identification of faulty products.The items p...Product testing is a key ingredient in maintaining the quality of a pro-duction process.The production process is considered an efficient process if it is capable of quick identification of faulty products.The items produced by any production process are usually packed and acceptance or rejection of the pack depends upon its conformity to some specified quality level.Generally,the specified quality level is based upon the number of defective items found in the inspected number of items.Such decisions are based upon some rules and usually acceptance of the pack is based upon a fewer number of defective items in the pack.Such questions can be answered by using acceptance sampling plans.The acceptance sampling plans assume the fact that the quality level of the item follows some probability distribution.The sampling plans based upon some classical probability distributions are available but often it happens that the quality behavior of the product does not follow a simple probability model and hence the available sampling plans fail.In this paper,we have developed acceptance sampling plans when the product life follows a general Weibull distribution.The sampling plans have been constructed by considering the crisp and fuzzy behavior of the acceptance probability.These sampling plans have been constructed by assuming an infinite lot size.It has been found that the number of items required for inspection decreases with an increase in some parameters.展开更多
Moments of generalized order statistics appear in several areas of science and engineering.These moments are useful in studying properties of the random variables which are arranged in increasing order of importance,f...Moments of generalized order statistics appear in several areas of science and engineering.These moments are useful in studying properties of the random variables which are arranged in increasing order of importance,for example,time to failure of a computer system.The computation of these moments is sometimes very tedious and hence some algorithms are required.One algorithm is to use a recursive method of computation of these moments and is very useful as it provides the basis to compute higher moments of generalized order statistics from the corresponding lower-order moments.Generalized order statistics pro-vides several models of ordered data as a special case.The moments of general-ized order statistics also provide moments of order statistics and record values as a special case.In this research,the recurrence relations for single,product,inverse and ratio moments of generalized order statistics will be obtained for Lindley–Weibull distribution.These relations will be helpful for obtained moments of gen-eralized order statistics from Lindley–Weibull distribution recursively.Special cases of the recurrence relations will also be obtained.Some characterizations of the distribution will also be obtained by using moments of generalized order statistics.These relations for moments and characterizations can be used in differ-ent areas of computer sciences where data is arranged in increasing order.展开更多
Probability distributions have been in use for modeling of random phenomenon in various areas of life.Generalization of probability distributions has been the area of interest of several authors in the recent years.Se...Probability distributions have been in use for modeling of random phenomenon in various areas of life.Generalization of probability distributions has been the area of interest of several authors in the recent years.Several situations arise where joint modeling of two random phenomenon is required.In such cases the bivariate distributions are needed.Development of the bivariate distributions necessitates certain conditions,in a field where few work has been performed.This paper deals with a bivariate beta-inverse Weibull distribution.The marginal and conditional distributions from the proposed distribution have been obtained.Expansions for the joint and conditional density functions for the proposed distribution have been obtained.The properties,including product,marginal and conditional moments,joint moment generating function and joint hazard rate function of the proposed bivariate distribution have been studied.Numerical study for the dependence function has been implemented to see the effect of various parameters on the dependence of variables.Estimation of the parameters of the proposed bivariate distribution has been done by using the maximum likelihood method of estimation.Simulation and real data application of the distribution are presented.展开更多
In engineering applications,the notch effect and size effect significantly influence the evaluation of fatigue performance in components,necessitating special attention in life prediction.This study proposes a new pro...In engineering applications,the notch effect and size effect significantly influence the evaluation of fatigue performance in components,necessitating special attention in life prediction.This study proposes a new probabilistic model,based on the theory of critical distance(TCD),to predict fatigue life,with the aim of quantitatively assessing the impact of notch effect and size effect.The stress distribution on the critical plane is first characterized using a sixth-order multinomial function,and the relative stress gradient function is utilized to calculate the value of the critical distance.Furthermore,the effect of the ratio of shear strain to normal strain on fatigue life under multiaxial loading is considered.Additionally,the integration of the Weibull distribution into the TCD is employed for conducting probabilistic modeling of fatigue life.Finally,fatigue experiments are conducted on notched specimens of Q355D steel,demonstrating that the life prediction results under 50%survival probability are superior to the traditional TCD method.展开更多
In this note,the tampered failure rate model is generalized from the step-stress accelerated life testing setting to the progressive stress accelerated life testing for the first time.For the parametric setting where ...In this note,the tampered failure rate model is generalized from the step-stress accelerated life testing setting to the progressive stress accelerated life testing for the first time.For the parametric setting where the scale parameter satisfying the equation of the inverse power law is Weibull,maximum likelihood estimation is investigated.展开更多
Previous studies have shown that the fatigue life distribution of metal materials fabricated with Additive Manufacturing(AM) methods, such as Direct Energy Deposited(DED) Ti-6.5Al-2Zr-1Mo-1V alloys, exhibits two peaks...Previous studies have shown that the fatigue life distribution of metal materials fabricated with Additive Manufacturing(AM) methods, such as Direct Energy Deposited(DED) Ti-6.5Al-2Zr-1Mo-1V alloys, exhibits two peaks. To promote the application of AM in aerospace and other engineering fields, developing a fatigue strength evaluation method suitable for AM materials based on their unique fatigue behaviours and fatigue life distributions is necessary. In this paper, a novel Detail Fatigue Rating(DFR) method was developed to evaluate the fatigue strength of DED Ti-6.5Al-2Zr-1Mo-1V based on a bimodal Weibull distribution and the excessive restriction on the allowable stress of potential was improved. Meanwhile, a Bimodal Weibull distribution model for fatigue life and its parameter estimation method were established based on a twoparameter Weibull distribution. The fatigue life at a specific reliability level and confidence level was calculated by using the bootstrap method. The calculation results showed that fatigue life estimated by using the bimodal Weibull distribution at the high reliability level and high confidence level is higher than that estimated by using the two-parameter Weibull distribution. Furthermore,The S-N curve at the specified confidence level and reliability level was fitted.展开更多
This study was carried out to determine the performance of percentile-based Weibull diameter distribution model for Pinus thunbergii stands thriving along the eastern coast of South Korea. The parameter recovery techn...This study was carried out to determine the performance of percentile-based Weibull diameter distribution model for Pinus thunbergii stands thriving along the eastern coast of South Korea. The parameter recovery technique was used to estimate the three parameters of the Weibull model. The analysis demonstrated satisfactory results based on the following test statistics for the principal percentile models: fit index (FI) range from 0.501(minimum diameter) to 0.932 (50th diameter percentiles) and root mean square error (RMSE) range from 0.112 (quadratic mean diameter) to 3.572 (minimum diameter). The developed model was further evaluated by determining the mean bias (E) in trees per ha (TPH) for each diameter class, and the results showed highest over-prediction in the 20 cm, and under-prediction in the x6 cm and 24 cm diameter classes. The goodness of fit tested by Kolmogorov- Smirnov (KS) test showed no significant differences (P〉0.05) between the observed and predicted diameter distributions for almost all plots. Using site index and aboveground biomass (AGB) models developed for P. thunbergii in South Korea, a model to predict the AGB per ha for each diameter class and subsequently the total AGB of the stand was created. An application guide was also created, which will serve as a decision-support tool for forest managers in quantifying the future total AGB in P. thunbergii stands located in the eastern coast of South Korea and, subsequently, the quantification of potential carbon stocks aside from being a vital input in designing efficient management and protection strategies for these stands.展开更多
The loss on drying method,which is regarded as the standard method of rice moisture content analysis,provides the most reliable results but is both labor intensive and time consuming.In order to improve the detection ...The loss on drying method,which is regarded as the standard method of rice moisture content analysis,provides the most reliable results but is both labor intensive and time consuming.In order to improve the detection efficiency of the loss on drying method,this study investigated the drying characteristics of milled rice and developed an information fusion algorithm with which to predict milled rice moisture content based on the Weibull distribution and Levenberg-Marquardt(LM)algorithm.Application of the Weibull distribution model was investigated regarding its description of the drying kinetics of milled rice during infrared drying.An adaptive mechanism was applied to algorithm design,with the starting point of the estimation algorithm determined by calculating the drying rate at each measuring point,and the end-point distinguished using a two-level threshold algorithm.The calculated results were then compared with the measured data regarding the infrared drying of milled rice.For milled rice samples varying in moisture content from 14.44%-17.67%(dry basis),the relative error between predicted and observed values ranged 0.0037-0.0589,with a reduction in test time of 50.71%-67.87%.展开更多
With the help of relative entropy theory,norm theory,and bootstrap methodology,a new hypothesis testing method is proposed to verify reliability with a three-parameter Weibull distribution.Based on the relative differ...With the help of relative entropy theory,norm theory,and bootstrap methodology,a new hypothesis testing method is proposed to verify reliability with a three-parameter Weibull distribution.Based on the relative difference information of the experimental value vector to the theoretical value vector of reliability,six criteria of the minimum weighted relative entropy norm are established to extract the optimal information vector of the Weibull parameters in the reliability experiment of product lifetime.The rejection region used in the hypothesis testing is deduced via the area of intersection set of the estimated truth-value function and its confidence interval function of the three-parameter Weibull distribution.The case studies of simulation lifetime,helicopter component failure,and ceramic material failure indicate that the proposed method is able to reflect the practical situation of the reliability experiment.展开更多
文摘This study investigates the application of the two-parameter Weibull distribution in modeling state holding times within HIV/AIDS progression dynamics. By comparing the performance of the Weibull-based Accelerated Failure Time (AFT) model, Cox Proportional Hazards model, and Survival model, we assess the effectiveness of these models in capturing survival rates across varying gender, age groups, and treatment categories. Simulated data was used to fit the models, with model identification criteria (AIC, BIC, and R2) applied for evaluation. Results indicate that the AFT model is particularly sensitive to interaction terms, showing significant effects for older age groups (50 - 60 years) and treatment interaction, while the Cox model provides a more stable fit across all age groups. The Survival model displayed variability, with its performance diminishing when interaction terms were introduced, particularly in older age groups. Overall, while the AFT model captures the complexities of interactions in the data, the Cox model’s stability suggests it may be better suited for general analyses without strong interaction effects. The findings highlight the importance of model selection in survival analysis, especially in complex disease progression scenarios like HIV/AIDS.
基金funded by Princess Nourah bint Abdulrahman University Researchers Supporting Project No.(PNURSP2022R50),Princess Nourah bint Abdulrahman University,Riyadh,Saudi Arabia.
文摘This paper suggests a new modified version of the traditional Weibull distribution by adding a new shape parameter utilising the modified alpha power transformed technique.We refer to the new model as modified alpha power transformed Weibull distribution.The attractiveness and significance of the new distribution lie in its power to model monotone and non-monotone failure rate functions,which are quite familiar in environmental investigations.Its hazard rate function can be decreasing,increasing,bathtub and upside-down then bathtub shaped.Diverse structural properties of the proposed model are acquired including quantile function,moments,entropies,order statistics,residual life and reversed failure rate function.The parameters of the distribution were estimated using the maximum likelihood function.The maximum likelihood method is employed to estimate the model parameters and the approximate confidence intervals are also computed.Via a simulation study,the performance of the point and interval estimates are compared using different criteria.Employing real lifetime data sets,we verify that the offered model furnishes a better fit than some other lifetime models including Weibull,gamma and alpha powerWeibull models.
基金funded by Princess Nourah bint Abdulrahman University Researchers Supporting Project No. (PNURSP2022R50),Princess Nourah bint Abdulrahman University,Riyadh,Saudi Arabia.
文摘The objective of this article is to provide a novel extension of the conventional inverse Weibull distribution that adds an extra shape parameter to increase its flexibility.This addition is beneficial in a variety of fields,including reliability,economics,engineering,biomedical science,biological research,environmental studies,and finance.For modeling real data,several expanded classes of distributions have been established.The modified alpha power transformed approach is used to implement the new model.The datamatches the new inverseWeibull distribution better than the inverse Weibull distribution and several other competing models.It appears to be a distribution designed to support decreasing or unimodal shaped distributions based on its parameters.Precise expressions for quantiles,moments,incomplete moments,moment generating function,characteristic generating function,and entropy expression are among the determined attributes of the new distribution.The point and interval estimates are studied using the maximum likelihood method.Simulation research is conducted to illustrate the correctness of the theoretical results.Three applications to medical and engineering data are utilized to illustrate the model’s flexibility.
文摘Aim To quantitatively study three characteristics of the Weibull distribution. Methods Theoritical analysis of the three characteristics of parameters of the Weibull distribution was done and mathematics software was used to make some chart analysis. Results 17 equations and 7 figures were made. Conclusion Under the standard form, the class of the Weibull probable density founction(pdf) curves appear double peak shape. Under the standard form, the maximum value point curve of the Weibull pdf takes line t =0 and t=1 as asymptotes. When β = 3 30-3 40, the Weibull distribution is the most similar to the normal distribution.
文摘In this paper, we introduce a class of Lindley and Weibull distributions (LW) that are useful for modeling lifetime data with a comprehensive mathematical treatment. The new class of generated distributions includes some well-known distributions, such as exponential, gamma, Weibull, Lindley, inverse gamma, inverse Weibull, inverse Lindley, and others. We provide closed-form expressions for the density, cumulative distribution, survival function, hazard rate function, moments, moments generating function, quantile, and stochastic orderings. Moreover, we discuss maximum likelihood estimation and the algorithm for computing the parameters estimates. Some sub models are discussed as an illustration with real data sets to show the flexibility of this class.
基金Supported by the Chung Yuan Christian University (CYCU-97-CR-CE)
文摘An isothermal operation is implemented by employing a thermogravimetric analyzer (TGA) for simulating the thermal decomposition behavior of 58μm pine sawdust in air atmosphere.An independent parallel reaction model is adopted in this study to describe the thermal decomposition mechanism.The Weibull distribution function is used to record and analyze the weight loss during isothermal decomposition at different temperatures(500,600,700,and 800°C).The total weight loss of the pine sawdust is assumed as a linear combination of individual weight loss from three components,including the char and two volatile matters.The plot of the thermal decomposition rate curve leads to kinetic parameters such as the reaction rate constants and the reaction order.The results show that the Weibull distribution function successfully represents decomposition curves of three components,and fits the experimental data very well.Therefore,this study provides a simple way to evaluate the decomposition rate of biomass combustion in a real combustor.
文摘In this paper, we consider the construction of the approximate profile-</span><span style="font-family:""> </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">likelihood confidence intervals for parameters of the 2-parameter Weibull distribution based on small type-2 censored samples. In previous research works, the traditional Wald method has been used to construct approximate confidence intervals for the 2-parameter Weibull distribution</span><span style="font-family:""> </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">under type-2 censoring scheme. However, the Wald technique is based on normality assumption and thus may not produce accurate interval estimates for small samples. The profile-likelihood and Wald confidence intervals are constructed for the shape and scale parameters of the 2-parameter Weibull distribution based on simulated and real type-2 censored data, and are hence compared using confidence length and coverage probability.
文摘In this paper, a new probability distribution is proposed by using Marshall and Olkin transformation. Some of its properties such as moments, moment generating function, order statistics and reliability functions are derived. The method of </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">maximum likelihood is used to estimate the model parameters. The graphs of the reliability function and hazard rate function are plotted by taken some values of the parameters. Three real life applications are introduced to compare the behaviour of the new distribution with other distributions.
文摘Given the steady increase in use of alternative energy sources to supply part of the energy demand of the world, and considering that Mexico has enough wind resources to produce all the electricity required by the country, in this work, it is carried out the development of a system of wind resource assessment to determine the volume of water that a windmill pumping system can provide in a specific area. To this end, it has developed a computer program for wind resource assessment by measurements of wind speed, direction, temperature, barometric pressure and relative humidity. Measuring equipments were mounted in a wind measurement tower of 10 m high, within the premises of the University of Quintana Roo which is located along the coast. Until this day, there are records over a period of five months of the variables of wind speed, wind direction, temperature, relative humidity and atmospheric pressure. These variables were used for statistical calculations using the Weibull distributions. To give a better use of the calculated data, they were applied to the evaluation of a Pumping System.
文摘In this paper, the location parameter δ_(a) in Weibull distribution i.e. the lower limiting CTOD toughness of high strength steel weldments is evaluated from Gleeble simulated coarse grained specimens. The Charpy-V transition temperature obtained from these specimens is transformed to a fracture toughness K_(IC) value at a given temperature using Sanz' relation. Then, the location parameter a is δ_(a) evaluated. The predicted location parameter arrives at agreement with the lowest CTOD value as obtained from thick multilayer weldments. The improvement of the fracture toughness of multilayer weldments needs the increase of the lowering limiting CTOD.toughness i.e. the toughness of the coarse grained zone.
文摘The lifetime data of products with multiple failure modes which are collected from life testing are often fitted by the mixed Weibull distributions. Since the mixed Weibull distributions contain no less than five parameters,the parameter estimation is difficult and inaccurate. In order to enhance the accuracy,a new method of parameter estimation based on Cuckoo search( CS) is proposed. An optimization model for the mixed Weibull distribution is formulated by minimizing the residual sum of squares. The optimal parameters are searched via CS algorithm. In the case study,the lifetime data come from the life testing of diesel injectors and are fitted by the twocomponent Weibull mixture. Regarding the maximum absolute error and the accumulative absolute error between estimated and observed values as the accuracy index of parameter estimation,the results of four parameter estimation methods that the graphic estimation method,the nonlinear least square method,the optimization method based on particle swarm optimization( PSO) and the proposed method are compared. The result shows that the proposed method is more efficient and more accurate than the other three methods.
文摘Product testing is a key ingredient in maintaining the quality of a pro-duction process.The production process is considered an efficient process if it is capable of quick identification of faulty products.The items produced by any production process are usually packed and acceptance or rejection of the pack depends upon its conformity to some specified quality level.Generally,the specified quality level is based upon the number of defective items found in the inspected number of items.Such decisions are based upon some rules and usually acceptance of the pack is based upon a fewer number of defective items in the pack.Such questions can be answered by using acceptance sampling plans.The acceptance sampling plans assume the fact that the quality level of the item follows some probability distribution.The sampling plans based upon some classical probability distributions are available but often it happens that the quality behavior of the product does not follow a simple probability model and hence the available sampling plans fail.In this paper,we have developed acceptance sampling plans when the product life follows a general Weibull distribution.The sampling plans have been constructed by considering the crisp and fuzzy behavior of the acceptance probability.These sampling plans have been constructed by assuming an infinite lot size.It has been found that the number of items required for inspection decreases with an increase in some parameters.
基金The work was funded by the University of Jeddah,Saudi Arabia under Grant Number UJ–02–093–DR.The authors,therefore,acknowledge with thanks the University for technical and financial support.
文摘Moments of generalized order statistics appear in several areas of science and engineering.These moments are useful in studying properties of the random variables which are arranged in increasing order of importance,for example,time to failure of a computer system.The computation of these moments is sometimes very tedious and hence some algorithms are required.One algorithm is to use a recursive method of computation of these moments and is very useful as it provides the basis to compute higher moments of generalized order statistics from the corresponding lower-order moments.Generalized order statistics pro-vides several models of ordered data as a special case.The moments of general-ized order statistics also provide moments of order statistics and record values as a special case.In this research,the recurrence relations for single,product,inverse and ratio moments of generalized order statistics will be obtained for Lindley–Weibull distribution.These relations will be helpful for obtained moments of gen-eralized order statistics from Lindley–Weibull distribution recursively.Special cases of the recurrence relations will also be obtained.Some characterizations of the distribution will also be obtained by using moments of generalized order statistics.These relations for moments and characterizations can be used in differ-ent areas of computer sciences where data is arranged in increasing order.
基金funded by the Deanship of Scientific Research(DSR),King Abdulaziz University,Jeddah under grant number(D-153-130-1441).The author,therefore,gratefully acknowledge the DSR technical and financial support.
文摘Probability distributions have been in use for modeling of random phenomenon in various areas of life.Generalization of probability distributions has been the area of interest of several authors in the recent years.Several situations arise where joint modeling of two random phenomenon is required.In such cases the bivariate distributions are needed.Development of the bivariate distributions necessitates certain conditions,in a field where few work has been performed.This paper deals with a bivariate beta-inverse Weibull distribution.The marginal and conditional distributions from the proposed distribution have been obtained.Expansions for the joint and conditional density functions for the proposed distribution have been obtained.The properties,including product,marginal and conditional moments,joint moment generating function and joint hazard rate function of the proposed bivariate distribution have been studied.Numerical study for the dependence function has been implemented to see the effect of various parameters on the dependence of variables.Estimation of the parameters of the proposed bivariate distribution has been done by using the maximum likelihood method of estimation.Simulation and real data application of the distribution are presented.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Number 52365016)Gansu Province Young Doctor Fund Project(Grant Number 2023QB-030)Lanzhou University of Technology Graduate Research Exploration Project.
文摘In engineering applications,the notch effect and size effect significantly influence the evaluation of fatigue performance in components,necessitating special attention in life prediction.This study proposes a new probabilistic model,based on the theory of critical distance(TCD),to predict fatigue life,with the aim of quantitatively assessing the impact of notch effect and size effect.The stress distribution on the critical plane is first characterized using a sixth-order multinomial function,and the relative stress gradient function is utilized to calculate the value of the critical distance.Furthermore,the effect of the ratio of shear strain to normal strain on fatigue life under multiaxial loading is considered.Additionally,the integration of the Weibull distribution into the TCD is employed for conducting probabilistic modeling of fatigue life.Finally,fatigue experiments are conducted on notched specimens of Q355D steel,demonstrating that the life prediction results under 50%survival probability are superior to the traditional TCD method.
基金This research is by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(69971016, 10271079) the Science and Technology Development Foundation of Shanghai(00JC14507) the Major Branch of Learning Foundation of Shanghai.
文摘In this note,the tampered failure rate model is generalized from the step-stress accelerated life testing setting to the progressive stress accelerated life testing for the first time.For the parametric setting where the scale parameter satisfying the equation of the inverse power law is Weibull,maximum likelihood estimation is investigated.
基金the support from the National Key Research and Development Program of China(No.2017YFB1104003)National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.11772027)Aeronautical Science Foundation of China(No.201909051002)。
文摘Previous studies have shown that the fatigue life distribution of metal materials fabricated with Additive Manufacturing(AM) methods, such as Direct Energy Deposited(DED) Ti-6.5Al-2Zr-1Mo-1V alloys, exhibits two peaks. To promote the application of AM in aerospace and other engineering fields, developing a fatigue strength evaluation method suitable for AM materials based on their unique fatigue behaviours and fatigue life distributions is necessary. In this paper, a novel Detail Fatigue Rating(DFR) method was developed to evaluate the fatigue strength of DED Ti-6.5Al-2Zr-1Mo-1V based on a bimodal Weibull distribution and the excessive restriction on the allowable stress of potential was improved. Meanwhile, a Bimodal Weibull distribution model for fatigue life and its parameter estimation method were established based on a twoparameter Weibull distribution. The fatigue life at a specific reliability level and confidence level was calculated by using the bootstrap method. The calculation results showed that fatigue life estimated by using the bimodal Weibull distribution at the high reliability level and high confidence level is higher than that estimated by using the two-parameter Weibull distribution. Furthermore,The S-N curve at the specified confidence level and reliability level was fitted.
基金support from the Forest Science and Technology Projects(Project No.S211415L010140)provided by the Korea Forest Service
文摘This study was carried out to determine the performance of percentile-based Weibull diameter distribution model for Pinus thunbergii stands thriving along the eastern coast of South Korea. The parameter recovery technique was used to estimate the three parameters of the Weibull model. The analysis demonstrated satisfactory results based on the following test statistics for the principal percentile models: fit index (FI) range from 0.501(minimum diameter) to 0.932 (50th diameter percentiles) and root mean square error (RMSE) range from 0.112 (quadratic mean diameter) to 3.572 (minimum diameter). The developed model was further evaluated by determining the mean bias (E) in trees per ha (TPH) for each diameter class, and the results showed highest over-prediction in the 20 cm, and under-prediction in the x6 cm and 24 cm diameter classes. The goodness of fit tested by Kolmogorov- Smirnov (KS) test showed no significant differences (P〉0.05) between the observed and predicted diameter distributions for almost all plots. Using site index and aboveground biomass (AGB) models developed for P. thunbergii in South Korea, a model to predict the AGB per ha for each diameter class and subsequently the total AGB of the stand was created. An application guide was also created, which will serve as a decision-support tool for forest managers in quantifying the future total AGB in P. thunbergii stands located in the eastern coast of South Korea and, subsequently, the quantification of potential carbon stocks aside from being a vital input in designing efficient management and protection strategies for these stands.
基金This study supported by a grant from the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.61663039)Natural Science Foundation of Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region(No.NZ1648)the Natural Science Funds of Ningxia University(ZR15010).
文摘The loss on drying method,which is regarded as the standard method of rice moisture content analysis,provides the most reliable results but is both labor intensive and time consuming.In order to improve the detection efficiency of the loss on drying method,this study investigated the drying characteristics of milled rice and developed an information fusion algorithm with which to predict milled rice moisture content based on the Weibull distribution and Levenberg-Marquardt(LM)algorithm.Application of the Weibull distribution model was investigated regarding its description of the drying kinetics of milled rice during infrared drying.An adaptive mechanism was applied to algorithm design,with the starting point of the estimation algorithm determined by calculating the drying rate at each measuring point,and the end-point distinguished using a two-level threshold algorithm.The calculated results were then compared with the measured data regarding the infrared drying of milled rice.For milled rice samples varying in moisture content from 14.44%-17.67%(dry basis),the relative error between predicted and observed values ranged 0.0037-0.0589,with a reduction in test time of 50.71%-67.87%.
基金Project (Nos. 51075123 and 50675011) supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China
文摘With the help of relative entropy theory,norm theory,and bootstrap methodology,a new hypothesis testing method is proposed to verify reliability with a three-parameter Weibull distribution.Based on the relative difference information of the experimental value vector to the theoretical value vector of reliability,six criteria of the minimum weighted relative entropy norm are established to extract the optimal information vector of the Weibull parameters in the reliability experiment of product lifetime.The rejection region used in the hypothesis testing is deduced via the area of intersection set of the estimated truth-value function and its confidence interval function of the three-parameter Weibull distribution.The case studies of simulation lifetime,helicopter component failure,and ceramic material failure indicate that the proposed method is able to reflect the practical situation of the reliability experiment.