Prediction of discharge in a tidal river using the LSTM-based sequence-to-sequence models

The complexity of river-tide interaction poses a significant challenge in predicting discharge in tidal rivers.Long short-term memory(LSTM)networks excel in processing and predicting crucial events with extended intervals and time delays in time series data.Additionally,the sequence-to-sequence(Seq2Seq)model,known for handling temporal relationships,adapting to variable-length sequences,effectively capturing historical information,and accommodating various influencing factors,emerges as a robust and flexible tool in discharge forecasting.In this study,we introduce the application of LSTM-based Seq2Seq models for the first time in forecasting the discharge of a tidal reach of the Changjiang River(Yangtze River)Estuary.This study focuses on discharge forecasting using three key input characteristics:flow velocity,water level,and discharge,which means the structure of multiple input and single output is adopted.The experiment used the discharge data of the whole year of 2020,of which the first 80%is used as the training set,and the last 20%is used as the test set.This means that the data covers different tidal cycles,which helps to test the forecasting effect of different models in different tidal cycles and different runoff.The experimental results indicate that the proposed models demonstrate advantages in long-term,mid-term,and short-term discharge forecasting.The Seq2Seq models improved by 6%-60%and 5%-20%of the relative standard deviation compared to the harmonic analysis models and improved back propagation neural network models in discharge prediction,respectively.In addition,the relative accuracy of the Seq2Seq model is 1%to 3%higher than that of the LSTM model.Analytical assessment of the prediction errors shows that the Seq2Seq models are insensitive to the forecast lead time and they can capture characteristic values such as maximum flood tide flow and maximum ebb tide flow in the tidal cycle well.This indicates the significance of the Seq2Seq models.

Water Quality Evaluation in Tidal River Reaches of Liaohe River Estuary, China Using a Revised QUAL2K Model

Rivers in the Liaohe River Estuary area have been seriously polluted by discharges of wastewater containing petroleum pol- lutants and nutrients. In this paper, The Enhanced Stream Water Quality Model （QUAL2K） and its revised model as well as One-dimensional Tide Mean Model （1D model） were applied to predict and assess the water quality of the tidal fiver reach of the Liaohe River Estuary. Dissolved oxygen （DO）, biochemical oxygen demand （BODs）, ammonia nitrogen （NH3-N） and total phosphorus （TP） were chosen as water quality indices in the two model simulations. The modelled results show that the major reasons for degraded rivers remain petroleum and non-point source pollution. Tidal water also has a critical effect on the variation of water quality. The sensitivity analysis identifies that flow rate, point load and diffuse load are the most sensitive parameters for the four water quality indices in the revised QUAL2K simulation. Uncertainty analysis based on a Monte Carlo simulation gives the probability distribution of the four wa- ter quality indices at two locations （6.50 km and 44.84 km from the river mouth）. The statistical outcomes indicate that the observed data fall within the 90% confidence intervals at all sites measured, and show that the revised QUAL2K gives better results in simulating the water quality of a tidal fiver.

Modified Saint-Venant equations for flow simulation in tidal rivers

Flow in tidal rivers periodically propagates upstream or downstream under tidal influence. Hydrodynamic models based on the Saint-Venant equations （the SVN model） are extensively used to model tidal rivers. A force-corrected term expressed as the combination of flow velocity and the change rate of the tidal fevel was developed to represent tidal effects in the SVN model. A momentum equation incorporating with the corrected term was derived based on Newton＇s second law. By combing the modified momentum equation with the continuity equation, an improved SVN model for tidal rivers （the ISVN model） was constructed. The simulation of a tidal reach of the Qiantang River shows that the ISVN model performs better than the SVN model. It indicates that the corrected force derived for tidal effects is reasonable; the ISVN model provides an appropriate enhancement of the SVN model for flow simulation of tidal rivers.

Hydrodynamic Characteristics and Sediment Transport of A Tidal River Under Influence of Wading Engineering Groups

By taking the Yong River for example in this paper, based on the multiple measured data during 1957 to 2009, the change process of runoff, tide feature, tidal wave, tidal influx and sediment transport are analyzed. Then a mathematical model is used to reveal the influence mechanism on hydrodynamic characteristics and sediment transport of the wading engineering groups such as a tide gate, a breakwater, reservoirs, bridges and wharves, which were built in different periods. The results showed the hydrodynamic characteristics and sediment transport of the Yong River changed obviously due to the wading engineering groups. The tide gate induced deformation of the tidal wave, obvious reduction of the tidal influx and weakness of the tidal dynamic, decrease of the sediment yield of flood and ebb tide and channel deposition. The breakwater blocked estuarine entrances, resulting in the change of the tidal current and the reduction of the tidal influx in the estuarine area. The large-scale reservoirs gradually made the decrease of the Yong River runoff. The bridge and wharf groups took up cross-section areas, the cumulative affection of which caused the increase of tidal level in the tidal river.

Engineering application of submerged water jets for sediment removal in a tidal riverbed

Sediment deposition problems have attracted the interest of engineers and researchers.Several experimental studies have been conducted on scour depth using turbulent jets.However,field observation and monitoring have rarely been reported.This study aimed to eliminate sediments on a tidal riverbed using a prototype device,which consisted of a set of submerged vertical water nozzles and submerged horizontal air nozzles.The effectiveness of the water jet in sediment removal during spring and neap tides was evaluated.The quantitative relationships of dimen-sionless parameters,such as(1)the relative sediment scour volume versus the number of flows from the jet exit,(2)the relative sediment scour volume versus the relative scour depth,and(3)the relative scour size versus the relative jet intensity,were analyzed.The results showed that the freshwater flowing to the sea affected the sediment scour volume during the falling cycle of spring tides.In contrast,the rising cycle of spring tides retarded the freshwater flow,resulting in a decrease in the sediment scour volume.A steep water surface slope accelerated the river flow and further influenced the cross-flow current around the study area.As a result,a highly diffusive turbulent flow was produced,causing sus-pended sediments to be rapidly removed from the scour hole center.An increase in the number of flows from the jets led to intensified diffusion of turbulent energy into the flow.The rapidly varying water depth caused jet energy to be dissipated before approaching the riverbed,and it significantly affected the scour process during the spring-tide period.The proposed equations can be used to estimate the scour volume,scour size,and re-suspended sediments in tidal rivers within defined ranges of parameters.

Application of equivalent resistance to simplification of Sutong Bridge piers in tidal river section modeling

This paper describes some details and procedural steps in the equivalent resistance （E-R） method for simplifying the pier group of the Sutong Bridge, which is located on the tidal reach of the lower Yangtze River, in Jiangsu Province. Using a two-dimensional tidal current numerical model, three different models were established： the non-bridge pier model, original bridge pier model, and simplified bridge pier model. The difference in hydrodynamic parameters, including water level, velocity, and diversion ratio, as well as time efficiency between these three models is discussed in detail. The results show that simplifying the pier group using the E-R method influences the water level and velocity near the piers, but has no influence on the diversion ratio of each cross-section of the Xuliujing reach located in the lower Yangtze River. Furthermore, the simplified bridge pier model takes half the calculation time that the original bridge pier model needs. Thus, it is concluded that the E-R method can be use to simplify bridge piers in tidal river section modeling reasonably and efficiently.

Impact of Tidal River Management (TRM) for Water Logging: A Geospatial Case Study on Coastal Zone of Bangladesh

Bangladesh is a floodplain dominated country. Coastal delta areas of Bangladesh convey multiple impacts of climate change worth-hit. Most of the rivers carry a huge amount of sediment from upstream piedmont area. The river bed rises due to insufficient upstream water supply. Similarly, the deposited sedimentation creates a large number of sandbars inside the river. That’s why, water logging and siltation turn into a serious problem in the south-western region of Bangladesh, especially in Satkhira, Khulna and Jessore district. In the middle of September, 2011 the Tidal River Management (TRM) project approved at the study site for four years to develop the water logging problem with basic consideration of silt management. In this circumstance, this study focused on the consequences of the TRM on water logging in the coastal area of Bangladesh. Primary and secondary data have been used. Geospatial analyses have been used following the NDWI in Arc GIS for water logging area detestation using Landsat Enhance Thematic Mapper (ETM) and Landsat Operational land Image (OLI) satellite images. The geo-spatial analysis denoted, about 5090 acres of agricultural land and about 729 acres of homestead land have been water logged during TRM implementation period.

RESEARCH ON HYDRODYNAMIC AND WATER QUALITY MODEL FOR TIDAL RIVER NETWORKS

Hydrodynamic and water quality model for tidal river network is set up withMIKE11 modeling system, according to the features of tidal river networks in plain area. The modelwas calibrated using the hydrological and water quality data of 1999, and the results show that thesimulated values agree with the measured data very well. This model is used to numerically analyzethe effects of low flow augmentation on hydrodynamic and water quality conditions of Suzhou Creek.The simulation results show that the flow augmentation can increase net discharge of Suzhou Creekand improve its ability of re-aeration; and its concentration of dissolved oxygen in the rivernetworks can also increase correspondingly.

DEVELOPMENT OF COUPLED 1D-2D MATHEMATICAL MODELS FOR TIDAL RIVERS

Some coupled 1D-2D hydrodynamic and water quality models depicting tidalwater bodies with complex topography were presented. For the coupled models, finite element methodwas used to solve the governing equations so as to study tidal rivers with complex topography. Sincethe 1D and 2D models were coupled, the principle of model coupling was proposed to accountappropriately for the factors of water level, flow and pollutant flux and the related dynamicalbehavior was simulated. Specifically the models were used to probe quantitative pollutioncontribution of receiving water from neighboring Jiangsu and Zhejiang Provinces to the pollution inthe Huangpu River passing through Shanghai City, Numerical examples indicated that the developedcoupled 1D-2D models are applicable in tidal river network region of Shanghai.

Seasonal variation of tidal prism and energy in the Changjiang River estuary： a numerical study

Tidal rivers are intrinsically complex because tidal propagation is influenced by river discharge. This study aims to examine the seasonal variation of tidal prism and energy variance in the tidal river of the Changjiang(Yangtze) River estuary in China. In order to quantify the behaviour of river and tide,we use numerical modelling that has been validated using measured data. We conduct our analysis by quantifying the discharge and energy variance in separate components for both the river and the tide,during wet and dry seasons. We note various definitions of tidal prism and explore the difference between tidal discharge on the flood and ebb and tidal storage volume. The results show that the river discharge attenuates the tidal motion and reduces the tidal flood discharge but the tidal storage volume is approximately constant with different riverine discharge since part of the fresh water discharge is intercepted and captured in the estuary due to the backwater effect. It appears that the tidal discharge adjusts according to the variation of river discharge to keep a constant tidal storage volume. An analysis of the hydraulics shows that the transition from tidal dominance(at the mouth) to river dominance(upstream) depends on the location of tidal current reversal which varies from wet season to dry season. Duringthe wet season,the Changjiang River estuary is totally dominated by energy from fresh water discharge.

AN OPTIMIZATION METHOD OF AQUATIC ENVIRONMENTAL CAPACITY FOR TIDAL RIVER NETWORK

By using the high-efficiency of four-stage calculation method named ＂channel-junction-channel＂ and considering the influence of temporal and spatial variation of aquatic environmental capacity, an optimization method of aquatic environmental capacity for tidal river network was worked out. The method not only reflects characteristics of unsteady flow with variable directions, but also indicates that aquatic environmental capacity is influenced by boundary condition and water quality standard, etc. It has been applied to the regional program of Pudong area in Shanghai, and the computed results agree well with the practical data.

INVERSE PROBLEM METHOD FOR WATER ENVIRONMENT TOTAL CAPACITY CONTROL OF A TIDAL RIVER

In this paper, an improved method for water environment total capacity control of tidal rivers was presented. The maximal capacity of point pollution sources for the Huangpu River was computed by this method, and the result was compared with the practically observed data. The numerical result shows that the method is effective and efficient.

THREE-DIMENSIONAL NUMERICAL MODEL FOR WINDING TIDAL RIVER WITH BRANCHES

Natural rivers are usually winding with branches and shoals, which are difficult to be simulated with rectangular grids. A 3-D current numerical model was established based on the orthogonal curvilinear coordinate system and vertical o coordinate system. The equations were discretisized using a semi-implicit scheme. The ＂predictor＂ and ＂corrector＂ steps were applied for the horizontal momentum equations to meet the basic requirement that the depth-integrated currents obtained from the equations for 2-D and 3-D modes have identical values. And a modification of traditional method of dry/wet discriminance was proposed to determine accurately the boundary and ensure the continuity of variable boundary in the simulation. This model was verified with the data measured in a winding tidal river with branches in April, 2004. The simulated data of water levels and velocities agree well with the measured ones, and the computed results reveal well the practical flow characteristics, including the vertical secondary flow in a winding reach.

Numerical Analysis of the Mixing Zone for a Vertical Discharge into a Tidal River

This paper analyzes the mixing zone of a vertical discharge of sewage into a natural tidal river with strong tidal currents. The paper presents a numerical model, which combines 1 D and 2 D models to compute the mixing zone for the Sibao Segment of the Qiantang River. The simple 1 D model was used to model the flow for the entire river using field data as the boundary conditions. The complete depth averaged turbulence model was used for the 2 D computation. The calculated results agree well with the field observations. The analysis provides a practical method for the computation of mixing zones in tidal rivers.

AN ANALYSIS OF THE OXYGEN BALANCE IN AN ANOXIC TIDAL RIVER

A time-dependent, mixed-segment, slack tide oxygen balance model has been developed for the study of a heavily polluted tidal river discharging to a coastal bay.Deoxygenation and reaeration, BOD settling, benthal demand, freshwater flushing, and tidal mixing are the key processes modelled. Significant features of the model include the oxygen balance formulation under anoxic conditions and the tidal exchange condition at the seaward boundary. The simple model enables a clear and consistent interpretation of a set of dry season water quality data and an assessment of the assimilative capacity of the river is also made.

EXPERIMENTAL INVESTIGATIONS ON LONGITUDINAL DISPERSION CHARACTERISTICS OF TIDAL RIVERS

The longitudinal dispersion characteristics of tidal rivers areexperimentally investigated in a water channel. The longitudinal dispersion features and influentialfactors on pollutant in various stages of a tidal period in natural rivers are studied; the valueranges and variation trends of the longitudinal dispersion coefficient are obtained by means ofconcentration measurement. The results can provide important parameters for establishing the waterquality mathematical models in tidal rivers.

NUMERICAL MODELLING OF FLOW FIELD IN A TIDAL RIVER AND THE NEAR FIELD OF INTAKE FOR A NUCLEAR POWER PLANT

This Paper concerns with the numerical modelling of flow field in a tidal river and in the vicinity of intake of a nuclear power plant. The hybrid method of fractional steps presented in [1] was adopted in this modelling. In order to simulate the local flow field nearby the water intake meticulously, the technique of the match of the coarse and fine grids was used. The numerical results are in good agreement with the in-situ measurements of the main current. The detailed data of local flow field nearby the intake provides the assessment of the sediment transport characteristics in the vicinity of intake of the nuclear power plant.

TYPES AND DISTRIBUTION PATTERNS OF MODERN TIDAL CHANNELS ALONG THE HUANGHE RIVER DELTA COAST

There are three major types of tidal channels along the coast of the Huanghe (Yellow) River Delta: tidal inlets, tidal creeks, and tidal channels developed from abandoned river channels. The tidal inlets develop mainly in two areas with weak erosion and barrier islands. The tidal channels formed from abandoned river channels mainly developed in the area of the new delta lobes formed since 1934. Tidal creeks developed in the intertidal zone and distributed along almost all parts of the Huanghe River Delta coast, but their scales and features are different.

A combined numerical tidal model for the Hangzhou Bay and Qiantang River

-In order to avoid prescribing open boundary condition on the upstream side of the Hangzhou Bay, in numerical simulation of the tides and residual currents of the Bay, a 1-D model for the Qiantang River is connected to the 2-D model for the Hangzhou Bay. The harmonic constants of diurnal constituent [ (K1+O1)/2],semidiurnal constituent (M2) and shallow water constituent (M4) are obtained. The results produced by the combined model are in better agreement with the observed ones than those produced solely by the original 2-D model. The combined model gives much more reliable results for tide-induced residual water level and current.

Approach of moving boundary and its application in 3D tidal current simulation of Changjiang (Yangtze) River Estuary based on ECOMSED model

Considering three-dimensional model ECOMSED can not simulate wetting-drying of shoal with its fixed boundary, an approach to represent moving boundary in the model is introduced here. This approach smoothly joints the internal and external mode by making use of wetting and drying technique and is verified by a numerical test which presents a good agreement with the previous test results obtained by other researchers. A three dimensional numerical model is established to simulate the hydrodynamics in spring tide in the Changjiang （Yangtze） River estuary by this modified ECOMSED model which is also validated through the observed field data, the simulation presents a good periodic tidal change. It also successfully simulates the tidal current of computational areas and reproduces the tidal flat intermittent appearance.