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基于多Agent传动关系的股市趋势预测
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作者 鲍志 姚宏亮 +2 位作者 方帅 杨静 俞奎 《计算机工程》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第3期267-276,共10页
股市趋势预测是机器学习领域中一个具有挑战性的任务。由于一些因素对于股市的影响是动态且不确定的,导致股市趋势难以预测。针对已有方法在股市预测时存在的灵敏性差、适应力弱等问题,从快变量和慢变量的传动关系出发,利用Agent技术对... 股市趋势预测是机器学习领域中一个具有挑战性的任务。由于一些因素对于股市的影响是动态且不确定的,导致股市趋势难以预测。针对已有方法在股市预测时存在的灵敏性差、适应力弱等问题,从快变量和慢变量的传动关系出发,利用Agent技术对股市中的快周期和慢周期进行联合建模,提出一种多Agent传动影响图(MATID)股市趋势预测方法。给出股市中快周期和慢周期的划分标准,并引入周期能量的概念;通过对相关趋势指标的特征融合,给出周期能量的量化计算方法;通过分析快周期和慢周期的动态作用过程,给出传动因子的表示方法;将快周期和慢周期分别对应成不同的Agent,利用多Agent影响图模型建模快周期和慢周期的传动过程;利用股市振子模型表示快Agent和慢Agent之间的传动效用,利用联合树的自动推理技术对股市趋势进行预测。在不同样本数量和不同股市趋势下进行实验,结果表明,与门控循环单元、S-LSTM和Hybrid-RNN预测方法相比,MATID方法预测精确率提升1.5%~7.0%,召回率提升5.4%~6.7%,F1值提升3.7%~6.2%,具有良好的灵敏性和适应力。 展开更多
关键词 多Agent传动影响图 周期传动 振子模型 效用函数 联合树
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三轮非圆同步带传动试验台设计与应用 被引量:3
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作者 孙新城 陈建能 +2 位作者 武传宇 肖达度 叶军 《农业机械学报》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2021年第1期73-81,共9页
为了测试三轮非圆同步带传动机构的传动性能,并获取其传动精度,设计了三轮非圆同步带传动性能测试试验台,并进行试验研究。三轮非圆同步带传动试验台以工控机为主控、步进电机为动力,能够实现转速、负载和中心距可调和试验数据采集、实... 为了测试三轮非圆同步带传动机构的传动性能,并获取其传动精度,设计了三轮非圆同步带传动性能测试试验台,并进行试验研究。三轮非圆同步带传动试验台以工控机为主控、步进电机为动力,能够实现转速、负载和中心距可调和试验数据采集、实时显示、统计和分析的功能。定义了传动周期偏差率和传动比精度偏差率两指标,用于衡量三轮非圆同步带的传动性能。试验表明,试验台能够完成不同工况的三轮非圆同步带传动测试,负载和速度均影响传动比精度偏差率和传动周期偏差率,对传动周期偏差率的影响更大;当转速在0~300 r/min、转矩在0~50 N·m范围内时,试验所得主-从动轮传动比与理论传动比基本一致,主-从动轮传动周期偏差率为0.80%~4.80%、主-从动轮传动比精度偏差率为0.18%~1.23%;当转速为80 r/min、负载转矩为16.25 N·m时,其传动比精度偏差率0.18%、传动周期偏差率0.80%,为此试验范围内的最佳传动工况。 展开更多
关键词 三轮非圆同步带 非匀速传动 试验台 传动周期偏差率 传动比精度偏差率
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带锯动态锯切负载建模与验证 被引量:3
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作者 倪敬 李璐 +1 位作者 许静 吴参 《中国机械工程》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2016年第3期302-307,314,共7页
针对现有带锯的锯切负载模型误差较大且无法预测动态特性等问题,将锯切负载特性分为稳态特性和动态特性进行研究。引入锯齿的锯削与刮削并存原理和斜锯齿等效原理,提出等齿距工况下单个锯齿的锯切负载稳态特性模型;引入锯切进给过程的... 针对现有带锯的锯切负载模型误差较大且无法预测动态特性等问题,将锯切负载特性分为稳态特性和动态特性进行研究。引入锯齿的锯削与刮削并存原理和斜锯齿等效原理,提出等齿距工况下单个锯齿的锯切负载稳态特性模型;引入锯切进给过程的微位移等效原理,优化锯切负载的锯削部分负载动特性;引入套齿周期特性和锯带传动的周期特性,建立了变齿距工况下单锯齿锯切负载的动特性模型。结果表明,单齿、套齿以及锯带传动的周期特性与实验结果吻合,并且3个主要锯切负载频率的误差不超过4%,因此,提出的模型可以较好地预测实际锯切负载动态特性。 展开更多
关键词 锯切负载 动态特性 刮削 套齿周期 锯带传动周期
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Discussion on the Reproducibility of Precursor Waves in the Water Level Records of Jingle Well
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作者 Zhang Shuliang Liu Ruichun Lv Fang 《Earthquake Research in China》 2013年第2期205-222,共18页
Choosing the Jingle well in Shanxi as the research object, this paper discusses the reproducibility problem of well water level precursor waves. The results show that the start time and fluctuation cycle before simila... Choosing the Jingle well in Shanxi as the research object, this paper discusses the reproducibility problem of well water level precursor waves. The results show that the start time and fluctuation cycle before similar earthquakes are highly reproducible,the ratio of which is up to 63. 1%. The fluctuation form and amplitude before some similar earthquakes are of certain similarity,but earthquakes with all precursor wave features being similar were not found in the research scope. The reason may be related to the origin and transmission route of the precursor wave as well as the properties of the seismic source area of similar earthquakes. 展开更多
关键词 Precursor waves Earthquake Well water level Reproducibility
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Application of stochastic method to optimum design of energy-efficient induction motors with a target of LCC
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作者 方攸同 范承志 +1 位作者 叶云岳 陈永校 《Journal of Zhejiang University Science》 EI CSCD 2003年第3期270-275,共6页
For an energy-efficient induction machine, the life-cycle cost (LCC) usually is the most important index to the consumer. With this target, the optimization design of a motor is a complex nonlinear problem with constr... For an energy-efficient induction machine, the life-cycle cost (LCC) usually is the most important index to the consumer. With this target, the optimization design of a motor is a complex nonlinear problem with constraints. To solve the problem, the authors introduce a united random algorithm. At first, the problem is divided into two parts, the optimal rotor slots and the optimization of other dimensions. Before optimizing the rotor slots with genetic algorithm ( GA), the second part is solved with TABU algorithm to simplify the problem. The numerical results showed that this method is better than the method using a traditional algorithm. 展开更多
关键词 Induction motor Global optimization Life cycle cost Energy efficient Genetic algorithm TABU algorithm
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MHD Flow and Heat Transfer of a Generalized Burgers' Fluid due to a Periodic Oscillating and Periodic Heating Plate
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作者 白羽 姜月华 +1 位作者 张艳 赵豪杰 《Communications in Theoretical Physics》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2017年第10期518-524,共7页
This paper investigates the MHD flow and heat transfer of the incompressible generalized Burgers' fluid due to a periodic oscillating plate with the effects of the second order slip and periodic heating plate. The mo... This paper investigates the MHD flow and heat transfer of the incompressible generalized Burgers' fluid due to a periodic oscillating plate with the effects of the second order slip and periodic heating plate. The momentum equation is formulated with multi-term fractional derivatives, and by means of viscous dissipation, the fractional derivative is considered in the energy equation. A finite difference scheme is established based on the Gl-algorithm, whose convergence is confirmed by the comparison with the analytical solution in an example. Meanwhile the numerical solutions of velocity, temperature and shear stress are obtained. The effects of involved parameters on velocity and temperature fields are presented graphically and analyzed in detail. Increasing the fractional derivative parameter a, the velocity and temperature have a decreasing trend, while the influences of fractional derivative parameter ,8 on the velocity and temperature behave conversely. Increasing the absolute value of the first order slip parameter and the second order slip parameter both cause a decrease of velocity. Furthermore, with the decreasing of the magnetic parameter, the shear stress decreases. 展开更多
关键词 MHD flow generalized Burgers' fluid periodic oscillating and heating fractional finite differencescheme
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A periodic reaction-diffusion system modelling man-environment-man epidemics
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作者 Zhenguo Bai 《International Journal of Biomathematics》 2017年第5期327-344,共18页
The purpose of this work is to study the spatial dynamics of a periodic reaction-diffusion epidemic model arising from the spread of oral-faecal transmitted diseases. We first show that the disease spreading speed is ... The purpose of this work is to study the spatial dynamics of a periodic reaction-diffusion epidemic model arising from the spread of oral-faecal transmitted diseases. We first show that the disease spreading speed is coincident with the minimal wave speed for monotone periodic travelling waves. Then we obtain a threshold result on the global attractivity of either zero or the positive periodic solution in a bounded spatial domain. 展开更多
关键词 Reaction-diffusion model monotone system periodic travelling waves spreading speed.
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