In this study,the reversal of monthly East Asian winter air temperature(EAWT) in 2020/21 and its predictability were investigated.The reversal of monthly EAWT in 2020/21 was characterized by colder temperatures in ear...In this study,the reversal of monthly East Asian winter air temperature(EAWT) in 2020/21 and its predictability were investigated.The reversal of monthly EAWT in 2020/21 was characterized by colder temperatures in early winter(December 2020 to mid-January 2021) and warmer temperatures in late winter(mid-January to February 2021).Results show that the reversal in the intensity of the Siberian high(SH) also occurred between early and late winter in 2020/21.In early winter,as the Barents-Laptev sea ice in the previous September(i.e., in2020) reached a minimum for the period 1981-2020,the SH was strengthaned via a reduction of the meridional gradient between the Arctic and East Asia.In late winter,as a sudden stratospheric warming occurred on 5 January 2021,the stratospheric polar vortex weakened,with the weakest center shifting to North America in January.Subsequently,the negative Arctic Oscillation-like structure shifted towards North America in the middle and lower troposphere,which weakened the SH in late winter.Furthermore,the predictability of the reversal in EAWT in 2020/21 was validated based on monthly and daily predictions from NCEP-CFSv2(National Centers for Environment Prediction-Climate Forecast System,version 2).The results showed that the model was unable to reproduce the monthly reversal of EAWT.However,it was able to forecast the reversal date(18 January 2021)of EAWT at lead times of 1-20 days on the daily scale.展开更多
The Arctic has experienced several extreme springtime stratospheric ozone depletion events over the past four decades,particularly in 1997,2011 and 2020.However,the impact of this stratospheric ozone depletion on the ...The Arctic has experienced several extreme springtime stratospheric ozone depletion events over the past four decades,particularly in 1997,2011 and 2020.However,the impact of this stratospheric ozone depletion on the climate system remains poorly understood.Here we show that the stratospheric ozone depletion causes significant reductions in the sea ice concentration(SIC)and the sea ice thickness(SIT)over the Kara Sea,Laptev Sea and East Siberian Sea from spring to summer.This is partially caused by enhanced ice transport from Barents-Kara Sea and East Siberian Sea to the Fram Strait,which is induced by a strengthened and longer lived polar vortex associated with stratospheric ozone depletion.Additionally,cloud longwave radiation and surface albedo feedbacks enhance the melting of Arctic sea ice,particularly along the coast of the Eurasian continent.This study highlights the need for realistic representation of stratosphere-troposphere interactions in order to accurately predict Arctic sea ice loss.展开更多
基金jointly supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China [grant numbers 42088101 and 41730964]the Innovation Group Project of the Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Zhuhai) [grant number 311021001]。
文摘In this study,the reversal of monthly East Asian winter air temperature(EAWT) in 2020/21 and its predictability were investigated.The reversal of monthly EAWT in 2020/21 was characterized by colder temperatures in early winter(December 2020 to mid-January 2021) and warmer temperatures in late winter(mid-January to February 2021).Results show that the reversal in the intensity of the Siberian high(SH) also occurred between early and late winter in 2020/21.In early winter,as the Barents-Laptev sea ice in the previous September(i.e., in2020) reached a minimum for the period 1981-2020,the SH was strengthaned via a reduction of the meridional gradient between the Arctic and East Asia.In late winter,as a sudden stratospheric warming occurred on 5 January 2021,the stratospheric polar vortex weakened,with the weakest center shifting to North America in January.Subsequently,the negative Arctic Oscillation-like structure shifted towards North America in the middle and lower troposphere,which weakened the SH in late winter.Furthermore,the predictability of the reversal in EAWT in 2020/21 was validated based on monthly and daily predictions from NCEP-CFSv2(National Centers for Environment Prediction-Climate Forecast System,version 2).The results showed that the model was unable to reproduce the monthly reversal of EAWT.However,it was able to forecast the reversal date(18 January 2021)of EAWT at lead times of 1-20 days on the daily scale.
基金supported by Project of Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory(Zhuhai)(SML2021SP312)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(4207506242130601,and 41922044)+3 种基金the National Key Research&Development Program of China(2018YFC1506003)the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities,China(lzujbky-2021ey04)Young Doctoral Funds for Gansu Provincial Education Department(2021QB-009)supported by Supercomputing Center of Lanzhou University。
文摘The Arctic has experienced several extreme springtime stratospheric ozone depletion events over the past four decades,particularly in 1997,2011 and 2020.However,the impact of this stratospheric ozone depletion on the climate system remains poorly understood.Here we show that the stratospheric ozone depletion causes significant reductions in the sea ice concentration(SIC)and the sea ice thickness(SIT)over the Kara Sea,Laptev Sea and East Siberian Sea from spring to summer.This is partially caused by enhanced ice transport from Barents-Kara Sea and East Siberian Sea to the Fram Strait,which is induced by a strengthened and longer lived polar vortex associated with stratospheric ozone depletion.Additionally,cloud longwave radiation and surface albedo feedbacks enhance the melting of Arctic sea ice,particularly along the coast of the Eurasian continent.This study highlights the need for realistic representation of stratosphere-troposphere interactions in order to accurately predict Arctic sea ice loss.
