Assisted by framework of multimedia total exposure model for hazard waste sites(CalTOX),potential influences of scenario-uncertainty on multimedia health risk assessment(MHRA) and decision-making were quantitatively a...Assisted by framework of multimedia total exposure model for hazard waste sites(CalTOX),potential influences of scenario-uncertainty on multimedia health risk assessment(MHRA) and decision-making were quantitatively analyzed in a primary extent under the Chinese scenario case by deliberately varying the two key scenario-elements,namely conceptual exposure pathways combination and aim receptor cohorts choice.Results show that the independent change of one exposure pathway or receptor cohort could lead variation of MHRA results in the range of 3.6×10-6-1.4×10-5 or 6.7×10-6-2.3×10-5.And randomly simultaneous change of those two elements could lead variation of MHRA results at the range of 7.7×10-8-2.3×10-5.On the basis of the corresponding sensitivity analysis,pathways which made a valid contribution to the final modeling risk value occupied only 16.7% of all considered pathways.Afterwards,comparative analysis between influence of parameter-uncertainty and influence of scenario-uncertainty was made.In consideration of interrelationship among all types of uncertainties and financial reasonability during MHRA procedures,the integrated method how to optimize the entire procedures of MHRA was presented innovatively based on sensitivity analysis,scenario-discussion and nest Monte Carlo simulation or fuzzy mathematics.展开更多
This paper presents a fundamental gaskinetic study on high speed rarefied jets expanding into vacuum from a cluster of planar exits.Based on the corresponding exact expressions for one planar jet,this paper straightfo...This paper presents a fundamental gaskinetic study on high speed rarefied jets expanding into vacuum from a cluster of planar exits.Based on the corresponding exact expressions for one planar jet,this paper straightforwardly derives the combined multiple jet flowfield solutions of density and velocity components,however,for the combined temperature and pressure solutions,extra attention shall be practiced.Several direct simulation Monte Carlo simulation results are provided and they validate these analytical solutions of rarefied planar jet flows.展开更多
Spin glass system is a complex disordered system with a number of local minima separated by entropic barriers. Therefore, parallel tempering Monte Carlo simulation was used in order to get fast thermalisation （to min...Spin glass system is a complex disordered system with a number of local minima separated by entropic barriers. Therefore, parallel tempering Monte Carlo simulation was used in order to get fast thermalisation （to minimize the relaxation time）. Distance dependent interaction coupling in 2D is studied in order to show how a spin glass phase transition occurs when couplings between far away spins are permitted by considering Edwards-Anderson Ising spin glass model. The interaction coupling is a quenched random variable whose probability of being non-zero decays with distance between two spin sites rij = ｜i-j｜mod（L/2）.The interaction coupling is random and its probability distribution is decaying with the distance between the spins （p（Jij） αrij^-ρ）. The model is studied by changing p among three different regimes （p 〉 2D, 4/3 D〈 p 〈 2D, p 〈 4/3D）. A phase transition temperature for p = 2, 3, 4 is obtained.展开更多
The kinetics of complex reaction systems were studied on molecular level with the combined method of Monte Carlo simulation and Structural Oriented Lumping by focusing on deep catalytic cracking （DCC） process, the m...The kinetics of complex reaction systems were studied on molecular level with the combined method of Monte Carlo simulation and Structural Oriented Lumping by focusing on deep catalytic cracking （DCC） process, the model parameters were optimized by means of routine analytic data of a DCC unit. A model was established to transform the feedstock of the complex reaction systems such as DCC to 1000-10000 pseudo-molecules with the Monte Carlo simulation and every molecule was expressed by 19 attributes. The results of model simulation showed that these pseudo-molecules reflected the characteristics of feedstock very well and their average properties gave a good agreement with the plant data.展开更多
In the present work, the possibility of existence of spin glass phase using classical Heisenberg model with Edwards-Anderson type of interactions has been explored employing Monte Carlo simulation of Binder parameter ...In the present work, the possibility of existence of spin glass phase using classical Heisenberg model with Edwards-Anderson type of interactions has been explored employing Monte Carlo simulation of Binder parameter （g （L, T））. Previous experimental studies show that there is finite temperature phase transition but this study indicates that there is no finite temperature phase transition in 3D Heisenberg vector spin glass model.展开更多
This study aimed to compare the distribution patterns and trends of plant parts used among different groups of medicinal plants, geographical regions,and between medicinal plants and all vascular plants.We used the pu...This study aimed to compare the distribution patterns and trends of plant parts used among different groups of medicinal plants, geographical regions,and between medicinal plants and all vascular plants.We used the published sources for elevation records of 2,331 medicinal plant species to interpolate presence between minimum and maximum elevations and estimated medicinal plant richness for each 100-m elevational band. Monte Carlo simulations were used to test whether differences in elevational distribution between different groups of medicinal plants were significant. Total number of medicinal plants as well as different groups showed unimodal relationship with elevation. The elevational distributions of medicinal plants significantly differ between regions and between medicinal plant groups.When comparing the richness of all medicinal plants to all vascular plants,Monte Carlo simulations indicated that the numbers of medicinal plants are higher than expected at low elevations.The highest richness of medicinal plants at low elevation could be possibly due to favorable environmental factors such as high temperature, rainfall,sunlight or due to higher density of human population and thus higher pressure on use of any plants in lower elevations.展开更多
An experimental field study was conducted at the University of California at Santa Cruz USA to determine if radar cross section signals were different between a person without wearing any wires and a person wearing bo...An experimental field study was conducted at the University of California at Santa Cruz USA to determine if radar cross section signals were different between a person without wearing any wires and a person wearing both a suicide vest and wires with （without） loops in the wires. The data was collected using the GunnPlexer Doppler radar at 12.5 GHz at various safe distances using various subjects both without any wires and wearing a suicide vest with detonation wires and with detonation wires and loops. The raw data was separated in its horizontal and vertical polarization signals （HH and VV）. The analysis of these two HH and VV polarization signals from the data allowed several promising metrics to be created. These metrics were individually tested in a Monte Carlo simulation which is in order to determine the probability of detection of a would-be suicide bomber. The results of the Monte Carlo simulation showed that the metrics yielded a probability of successful detection of slightly over 98% and a false positive rate of just less than 2 %. This research and its result are encouraging and suggest further testing to insure that suicide bombers can be found prior to their detonation of their bombs at a safe range.展开更多
In recent years,there have been important developments in the joint analysis of the travel behavior based on discrete choice models as well as in the formulation of increasingly flexible closed-form models belonging t...In recent years,there have been important developments in the joint analysis of the travel behavior based on discrete choice models as well as in the formulation of increasingly flexible closed-form models belonging to the generalized extreme value class.The objective of this work is to describe the simultaneous choice of shopping destination and travel-to-shop mode in downtown area by making use of the cross-nested logit(CNL) structure that allows for potential spatial correlation.The analysis uses data collected in the downtown areas of Maryland-Washington,D.C.region for shopping trips,considering household,individual,land use,and travel-related characteristics.The estimation results show that the dissimilarity parameter in the CNL model is 0.37 and significant at the 95% level,indicating that the alternatives have high spatial correlation for the short shopping distance.The results of analysis reveal detailed significant influences on travel behavior of joint choice shopping destination and travel mode.Moreover,a Monte Carlo simulation for a group of scenarios arising from transportation policies and parking fees in downtown area,was undertaken to examine the impact of a change in car travel cost on the shopping destination and travel mode switching.These findings have important implications for transportation demand management and urban planning.展开更多
基金Projects(50978088,51039001,51178172,51009063) supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaProject(NCET-08- 180) supported by the Program for New Century Excellent Talents in University from the Ministry of Education of China
文摘Assisted by framework of multimedia total exposure model for hazard waste sites(CalTOX),potential influences of scenario-uncertainty on multimedia health risk assessment(MHRA) and decision-making were quantitatively analyzed in a primary extent under the Chinese scenario case by deliberately varying the two key scenario-elements,namely conceptual exposure pathways combination and aim receptor cohorts choice.Results show that the independent change of one exposure pathway or receptor cohort could lead variation of MHRA results in the range of 3.6×10-6-1.4×10-5 or 6.7×10-6-2.3×10-5.And randomly simultaneous change of those two elements could lead variation of MHRA results at the range of 7.7×10-8-2.3×10-5.On the basis of the corresponding sensitivity analysis,pathways which made a valid contribution to the final modeling risk value occupied only 16.7% of all considered pathways.Afterwards,comparative analysis between influence of parameter-uncertainty and influence of scenario-uncertainty was made.In consideration of interrelationship among all types of uncertainties and financial reasonability during MHRA procedures,the integrated method how to optimize the entire procedures of MHRA was presented innovatively based on sensitivity analysis,scenario-discussion and nest Monte Carlo simulation or fuzzy mathematics.
文摘This paper presents a fundamental gaskinetic study on high speed rarefied jets expanding into vacuum from a cluster of planar exits.Based on the corresponding exact expressions for one planar jet,this paper straightforwardly derives the combined multiple jet flowfield solutions of density and velocity components,however,for the combined temperature and pressure solutions,extra attention shall be practiced.Several direct simulation Monte Carlo simulation results are provided and they validate these analytical solutions of rarefied planar jet flows.
文摘Spin glass system is a complex disordered system with a number of local minima separated by entropic barriers. Therefore, parallel tempering Monte Carlo simulation was used in order to get fast thermalisation （to minimize the relaxation time）. Distance dependent interaction coupling in 2D is studied in order to show how a spin glass phase transition occurs when couplings between far away spins are permitted by considering Edwards-Anderson Ising spin glass model. The interaction coupling is a quenched random variable whose probability of being non-zero decays with distance between two spin sites rij = ｜i-j｜mod（L/2）.The interaction coupling is random and its probability distribution is decaying with the distance between the spins （p（Jij） αrij^-ρ）. The model is studied by changing p among three different regimes （p 〉 2D, 4/3 D〈 p 〈 2D, p 〈 4/3D）. A phase transition temperature for p = 2, 3, 4 is obtained.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(ID No. 20476030)
文摘The kinetics of complex reaction systems were studied on molecular level with the combined method of Monte Carlo simulation and Structural Oriented Lumping by focusing on deep catalytic cracking （DCC） process, the model parameters were optimized by means of routine analytic data of a DCC unit. A model was established to transform the feedstock of the complex reaction systems such as DCC to 1000-10000 pseudo-molecules with the Monte Carlo simulation and every molecule was expressed by 19 attributes. The results of model simulation showed that these pseudo-molecules reflected the characteristics of feedstock very well and their average properties gave a good agreement with the plant data.
文摘In the present work, the possibility of existence of spin glass phase using classical Heisenberg model with Edwards-Anderson type of interactions has been explored employing Monte Carlo simulation of Binder parameter （g （L, T））. Previous experimental studies show that there is finite temperature phase transition but this study indicates that there is no finite temperature phase transition in 3D Heisenberg vector spin glass model.
基金supported by GACR 526/09/0549and partly by AV0Z60050516
文摘This study aimed to compare the distribution patterns and trends of plant parts used among different groups of medicinal plants, geographical regions,and between medicinal plants and all vascular plants.We used the published sources for elevation records of 2,331 medicinal plant species to interpolate presence between minimum and maximum elevations and estimated medicinal plant richness for each 100-m elevational band. Monte Carlo simulations were used to test whether differences in elevational distribution between different groups of medicinal plants were significant. Total number of medicinal plants as well as different groups showed unimodal relationship with elevation. The elevational distributions of medicinal plants significantly differ between regions and between medicinal plant groups.When comparing the richness of all medicinal plants to all vascular plants,Monte Carlo simulations indicated that the numbers of medicinal plants are higher than expected at low elevations.The highest richness of medicinal plants at low elevation could be possibly due to favorable environmental factors such as high temperature, rainfall,sunlight or due to higher density of human population and thus higher pressure on use of any plants in lower elevations.
文摘An experimental field study was conducted at the University of California at Santa Cruz USA to determine if radar cross section signals were different between a person without wearing any wires and a person wearing both a suicide vest and wires with （without） loops in the wires. The data was collected using the GunnPlexer Doppler radar at 12.5 GHz at various safe distances using various subjects both without any wires and wearing a suicide vest with detonation wires and with detonation wires and loops. The raw data was separated in its horizontal and vertical polarization signals （HH and VV）. The analysis of these two HH and VV polarization signals from the data allowed several promising metrics to be created. These metrics were individually tested in a Monte Carlo simulation which is in order to determine the probability of detection of a would-be suicide bomber. The results of the Monte Carlo simulation showed that the metrics yielded a probability of successful detection of slightly over 98% and a false positive rate of just less than 2 %. This research and its result are encouraging and suggest further testing to insure that suicide bombers can be found prior to their detonation of their bombs at a safe range.
基金Projects(JCYJ20120615145601342,JCYJ20130325151523015)supported by Shenzhen Science and Technology Development Funding-Fundamental Research Plan,ChinaProject(2013U-6)supported by Key Laboratory of Eco Planning & Green Building,Ministry of Education(Tsinghua University),China
文摘In recent years,there have been important developments in the joint analysis of the travel behavior based on discrete choice models as well as in the formulation of increasingly flexible closed-form models belonging to the generalized extreme value class.The objective of this work is to describe the simultaneous choice of shopping destination and travel-to-shop mode in downtown area by making use of the cross-nested logit(CNL) structure that allows for potential spatial correlation.The analysis uses data collected in the downtown areas of Maryland-Washington,D.C.region for shopping trips,considering household,individual,land use,and travel-related characteristics.The estimation results show that the dissimilarity parameter in the CNL model is 0.37 and significant at the 95% level,indicating that the alternatives have high spatial correlation for the short shopping distance.The results of analysis reveal detailed significant influences on travel behavior of joint choice shopping destination and travel mode.Moreover,a Monte Carlo simulation for a group of scenarios arising from transportation policies and parking fees in downtown area,was undertaken to examine the impact of a change in car travel cost on the shopping destination and travel mode switching.These findings have important implications for transportation demand management and urban planning.
