随着经济发展与城镇化快速推进,中国居民膳食模式发生显著转变,并产生了严重的资源环境后果。为识别城乡居民食物消费碳-水足迹的关键驱动因素,缓解水资源消耗,助力双碳目标实现,该研究测算并对比分析了中国31(30)省市2000—2020年城乡...随着经济发展与城镇化快速推进,中国居民膳食模式发生显著转变,并产生了严重的资源环境后果。为识别城乡居民食物消费碳-水足迹的关键驱动因素,缓解水资源消耗,助力双碳目标实现,该研究测算并对比分析了中国31(30)省市2000—2020年城乡居民人均食物消费碳-水足迹,通过对数平均迪式指数算法(logarithmic mean index method,LMDI)对碳-水足迹进行了驱动因素分解。结果显示:2000—2020年中国城镇人均食物消费碳足迹(水足迹)增加了29.63%(32.94%),农村碳足迹(水足迹)增加了4.59%(7.91%)。从空间演变来看,城镇人均食物消费碳-水足迹较高的地区由沿海省份逐渐扩散至内陆,而农村呈南北高-中间低的分布格局。从驱动因素来看,经济水平是城乡居民食物消费碳-水足迹增加的主要动因,且消费水平表现为抑制作用;人口城镇化驱动城镇居民食物消费碳-水足迹增加,而在农村起到抑制作用。该研究从促进食物消费结构转型,多渠道拓宽食物来源等方面提出建议,旨在促进中国城乡居民食物可持续消费。展开更多
This paper presents new high-resolution proxies and paleoclimatic reconstructions for studying climate changes in China for the past 2000 years. Multi-proxy synthesized reconstructions show that temperature variation ...This paper presents new high-resolution proxies and paleoclimatic reconstructions for studying climate changes in China for the past 2000 years. Multi-proxy synthesized reconstructions show that temperature variation in China has exhibited significant 50–70-yr, 100–120-yr, and 200–250-yr cycles. Results also show that the amplitudes of decadal and centennial temperature variation were 1.3℃ and 0.7℃, respectively, with the latter significantly correlated with long-term changes in solar radiation, especially cold periods, which correspond approximately to sunspot minima. The most rapid warming in China occurred over AD 1870–2000, at a rate of 0.56°± 0.42℃(100 yr)^(-1); however, temperatures recorded in the 20 th century may not be unprecedented for the last 2000 years, as data show records for the periods AD 981–1100 and AD1201–70 are comparable to the present. The ensemble means of dryness/wetness spatial patterns in eastern China across all centennial warm periods illustrate a tripole pattern: dry south of 25°N, wet from 25°–30°N, and dry to the north of 30°N. However, for all centennial cold periods, this spatial pattern also exhibits a meridional distribution. The increase in precipitation over the monsoonal regions of China associated with the 20 th century warming can primarily be attributed to a mega El Nino–Southern Oscillation and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation. In addition, a significant association between increasing numbers of locusts and dry/cold conditions is found in eastern China. Plague intensity also generally increases in concert with wetness in northern China, while more precipitation is likely to have a negative effect in southern China.展开更多
The Fourth Assessment Report of IPCC(IPCC AR4)concluded that average Northern Hemisphere temperatures during the second half of the 20th century were very likely higher than that of any other 50-year period in the las...The Fourth Assessment Report of IPCC(IPCC AR4)concluded that average Northern Hemisphere temperatures during the second half of the 20th century were very likely higher than that of any other 50-year period in the last 500 years and likely the highest in at least the past 1300 years.However,after evaluating Global or Northern Hemisphere temperature change series derived from ice cores,tree rings,展开更多
A pollen study was conducted on an alpine marsh sediment in the Son Kul Basin and was allowed to reconstruct changes in vegetation dynamics and climatic information in the western Tianshan Mountains during the past 20...A pollen study was conducted on an alpine marsh sediment in the Son Kul Basin and was allowed to reconstruct changes in vegetation dynamics and climatic information in the western Tianshan Mountains during the past 2000 years.Pollen diagram reveals that regional vegetation is dominated by alpine meadow in the past 2000 years,being similar with modern vegetation components in the basin.The Artemisia/Chenopodiaceae-indicated moisture exhibits a warm-dry Roman Warm Period(RWP,~0-~500 AD),a cold-dry Dark Ages Cold Period(DACP,~500-~800 AD),a warm-wet Medieval Warm Period(MWP,~800-~1350 AD),a cold-dry Little Ice Age(LIA,~1350-~1850 AD)and a warm-dry Current Warm Period(CWP,since~1850 AD).Our pollen-based moisture reconstructions are supported by other nearby moisture records.Combined with other pollen data in the western Tianshan Mountains,we found that the vegetation was relatively stable before~1650-~1750 AD and the anthropogenic activities obviously intensified afterwards(especially at the middle-elevation sites).Further work involving more and higher-resolution palaeovegetation records would contribute to fully understand the information on the complex links between environmental,climatic and anthropogenic changes in the western Tianshan Mountains.展开更多
Using the low-resolution (T31, equivalent to 3.75°× 3.75°) version of the Community Earth System Model (CESM) from the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), a global climate simulation ...Using the low-resolution (T31, equivalent to 3.75°× 3.75°) version of the Community Earth System Model (CESM) from the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), a global climate simulation was carried out with fixed external forcing factors (1850 Common Era. (C.E.) conditions) for the past 2000 years. Based on the simulated results, spatio-temporal structures of surface air temperature, precipitation and internal variability, such as the E1 Nifio-Southem Oscillation (ENSO), the Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscilla- tion (AMO), the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), and the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), were compared with reanalysis datasets to evaluate the model performance. The results are as follows: 1) CESM showed a good performance in the long-term simulation and no significant climate drift over the past 2000 years; 2) climatological patterns of global and regional climate changes simulated by the CESM were reasonable compared with the reanalysis datasets; and 3) the CESM simulated internal natural variability of the climate system performs very well. The model not only reproduced the periodicity of ENSO, AMO and PDO events but also the 3-8 years vari- ability of the ENSO. The spatial distribution of the CESM-simulated NAO was also similar to the observed. However, because of weaker total irradiation and greenhouse gas concentration forcing in the simulation than the present, the model performances had some differences from the observations. Generally, the CESM showed a good performance in simulating the global climate and internal natu- ral variability of the climate system. This paves the way for other forced climate simulations for the past 2000 years by using the CESM.展开更多
文摘随着经济发展与城镇化快速推进,中国居民膳食模式发生显著转变,并产生了严重的资源环境后果。为识别城乡居民食物消费碳-水足迹的关键驱动因素,缓解水资源消耗,助力双碳目标实现,该研究测算并对比分析了中国31(30)省市2000—2020年城乡居民人均食物消费碳-水足迹,通过对数平均迪式指数算法(logarithmic mean index method,LMDI)对碳-水足迹进行了驱动因素分解。结果显示:2000—2020年中国城镇人均食物消费碳足迹(水足迹)增加了29.63%(32.94%),农村碳足迹(水足迹)增加了4.59%(7.91%)。从空间演变来看,城镇人均食物消费碳-水足迹较高的地区由沿海省份逐渐扩散至内陆,而农村呈南北高-中间低的分布格局。从驱动因素来看,经济水平是城乡居民食物消费碳-水足迹增加的主要动因,且消费水平表现为抑制作用;人口城镇化驱动城镇居民食物消费碳-水足迹增加,而在农村起到抑制作用。该研究从促进食物消费结构转型,多渠道拓宽食物来源等方面提出建议,旨在促进中国城乡居民食物可持续消费。
基金supported by the Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (Grant No. XDA050800)the Key Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (Grant No. KJZD-EW-TZ-G10)the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No.41671201 and 91525101)
文摘This paper presents new high-resolution proxies and paleoclimatic reconstructions for studying climate changes in China for the past 2000 years. Multi-proxy synthesized reconstructions show that temperature variation in China has exhibited significant 50–70-yr, 100–120-yr, and 200–250-yr cycles. Results also show that the amplitudes of decadal and centennial temperature variation were 1.3℃ and 0.7℃, respectively, with the latter significantly correlated with long-term changes in solar radiation, especially cold periods, which correspond approximately to sunspot minima. The most rapid warming in China occurred over AD 1870–2000, at a rate of 0.56°± 0.42℃(100 yr)^(-1); however, temperatures recorded in the 20 th century may not be unprecedented for the last 2000 years, as data show records for the periods AD 981–1100 and AD1201–70 are comparable to the present. The ensemble means of dryness/wetness spatial patterns in eastern China across all centennial warm periods illustrate a tripole pattern: dry south of 25°N, wet from 25°–30°N, and dry to the north of 30°N. However, for all centennial cold periods, this spatial pattern also exhibits a meridional distribution. The increase in precipitation over the monsoonal regions of China associated with the 20 th century warming can primarily be attributed to a mega El Nino–Southern Oscillation and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation. In addition, a significant association between increasing numbers of locusts and dry/cold conditions is found in eastern China. Plague intensity also generally increases in concert with wetness in northern China, while more precipitation is likely to have a negative effect in southern China.
文摘The Fourth Assessment Report of IPCC(IPCC AR4)concluded that average Northern Hemisphere temperatures during the second half of the 20th century were very likely higher than that of any other 50-year period in the last 500 years and likely the highest in at least the past 1300 years.However,after evaluating Global or Northern Hemisphere temperature change series derived from ice cores,tree rings,
基金financially supported by Western Young Scholar Program-B of Chinese Academy of Sciences(No.2018-XBQNXZ-B-020)China Postdoctoral Science Foundation(No.2019M663864)+2 种基金National Natural Science Grants of China(No.41803024)Strategic Priority Research Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences(No.XDA20020101)Open Fund of State Key Laboratory of Loess and Quaternary Geology(No.SKLLQG2011)。
文摘A pollen study was conducted on an alpine marsh sediment in the Son Kul Basin and was allowed to reconstruct changes in vegetation dynamics and climatic information in the western Tianshan Mountains during the past 2000 years.Pollen diagram reveals that regional vegetation is dominated by alpine meadow in the past 2000 years,being similar with modern vegetation components in the basin.The Artemisia/Chenopodiaceae-indicated moisture exhibits a warm-dry Roman Warm Period(RWP,~0-~500 AD),a cold-dry Dark Ages Cold Period(DACP,~500-~800 AD),a warm-wet Medieval Warm Period(MWP,~800-~1350 AD),a cold-dry Little Ice Age(LIA,~1350-~1850 AD)and a warm-dry Current Warm Period(CWP,since~1850 AD).Our pollen-based moisture reconstructions are supported by other nearby moisture records.Combined with other pollen data in the western Tianshan Mountains,we found that the vegetation was relatively stable before~1650-~1750 AD and the anthropogenic activities obviously intensified afterwards(especially at the middle-elevation sites).Further work involving more and higher-resolution palaeovegetation records would contribute to fully understand the information on the complex links between environmental,climatic and anthropogenic changes in the western Tianshan Mountains.
基金Under the auspices of National Basic Research Program of China(No.2010CB950102)Strategic and Special Frontier Project of Science and Technology of Chinese Academy of Sciences(No.XDA05080800)+3 种基金National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.41371209,41420104002)Special Research Fund for Doctoral Discipline of Higher Education Institutions(No.20133207110015)Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Higher Education Institutions(No.14KJA170002)Priority Academic Program Development of Jiangsu Higher Education Institutions(No.164320H101)
文摘Using the low-resolution (T31, equivalent to 3.75°× 3.75°) version of the Community Earth System Model (CESM) from the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), a global climate simulation was carried out with fixed external forcing factors (1850 Common Era. (C.E.) conditions) for the past 2000 years. Based on the simulated results, spatio-temporal structures of surface air temperature, precipitation and internal variability, such as the E1 Nifio-Southem Oscillation (ENSO), the Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscilla- tion (AMO), the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), and the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), were compared with reanalysis datasets to evaluate the model performance. The results are as follows: 1) CESM showed a good performance in the long-term simulation and no significant climate drift over the past 2000 years; 2) climatological patterns of global and regional climate changes simulated by the CESM were reasonable compared with the reanalysis datasets; and 3) the CESM simulated internal natural variability of the climate system performs very well. The model not only reproduced the periodicity of ENSO, AMO and PDO events but also the 3-8 years vari- ability of the ENSO. The spatial distribution of the CESM-simulated NAO was also similar to the observed. However, because of weaker total irradiation and greenhouse gas concentration forcing in the simulation than the present, the model performances had some differences from the observations. Generally, the CESM showed a good performance in simulating the global climate and internal natu- ral variability of the climate system. This paves the way for other forced climate simulations for the past 2000 years by using the CESM.