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历史时期太阳辐射强度对强梅雨事件年代际变率的影响及机制 被引量:2
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作者 王鎏琳 宁亮 +6 位作者 陈可凡 严蜜 刘健 刘征宇 覃燕敏 薛姣 李楚鑫 《中国科学:地球科学》 CSCD 北大核心 2023年第2期394-402,共9页
目前针对长江中下游地区梅雨的研究,大多侧重于其年际变率或某些特定年份异常事件的成因机制.本文基于重建降水数据、重建太阳辐射数据及模式模拟数据,针对历史时期太阳辐射强弱对长江中下游地区强梅雨事件发生频率的影响及物理机制进... 目前针对长江中下游地区梅雨的研究,大多侧重于其年际变率或某些特定年份异常事件的成因机制.本文基于重建降水数据、重建太阳辐射数据及模式模拟数据,针对历史时期太阳辐射强弱对长江中下游地区强梅雨事件发生频率的影响及物理机制进行了研究.首先,按照太阳辐射的强弱变化,将明清时段(1470~1850年)划分为3个强太阳辐射时段和3个弱太阳辐射时段,发现在强太阳辐射时段,重建降水数据和模式模拟数据中的强梅雨事件发生频率均显著高于弱太阳辐射时段.机制分析显示,强太阳辐射时段,西太副高偏强,且在中高纬阻高偏强,这有利于南下的高纬冷空气与北上的暖湿气流在长江中下游地区持续交汇,进而形成有利于强梅雨事件发生的环流场.年降水量的概率分布也显示,在强太阳辐射时段,环流场的变化导致年降水量的概率分布显著向右偏移,导致位于概率分布右侧的强梅雨事件发生概率增加. 展开更多
关键词 明朝 历史洪涝 暴力梅 太阳辐射 cesm-lme
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Influence and mechanism of solar radiation intensity on the interdecadal variability of strong Meiyu events during historical periods
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作者 Liulin WANG Liang NING +6 位作者 Kefan CHEN Mi YAN Jian LIU Zhengyu LIU Yanmin QIN Jiao XUE Chuxin LI 《Science China Earth Sciences》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2023年第2期408-416,共9页
Most recent studies on Meiyu over the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River(MLRYR)have focused on its interannual variability or the mechanism of certain abnormal events.The influence and physical mechanism of... Most recent studies on Meiyu over the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River(MLRYR)have focused on its interannual variability or the mechanism of certain abnormal events.The influence and physical mechanism of solar radiation intensity on the interdecadal frequency of strong Meiyu events over the MLRYR during historical periods were investigated using reconstructed precipitation data,reconstructed solar radiation data,and model simulation data.First,according to the solar radiation intensity,the Ming and Qing Dynasties(1470-1850)were divided into three periods of strong solar radiation and three periods of weak solar radiation.It was found that during the periods of strong solar radiation,the frequency of strong Meiyu events was significantly higher than that during the periods of weak solar radiation in the reconstructed precipitation data and model simulations.Mechanism analyses show that during the periods of strong solar radiation,the Western Pacific Subtropical High(WPSH)is stronger,and the blocking highs over the middle-high-latitudes are also stronger,which is conducive to the continuous convergence of the southward cold air and the northward warm and humid air flow at the MLRYR.Therefore,a circulation spatial pattern conducive to the occurrence of strong Meiyu events is then induced.The probability distributions of precipitation also show that,during periods of strong solar radiation,changes in circulation patterns cause the probability distribution of precipitation to shift significantly to the right,increasing the probability of strong Meiyu events occurring on the right side of the probability distribution. 展开更多
关键词 Ming Dynasty Historical flood Strong Meiyu events Solar radiation cesm-lme
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