Superiority of Bayesian Imputation to Mice in Logit Panel Data Models

Non-responses leading to missing data are common in most studies and causes inefficient and biased statistical inferences if ignored. When faced with missing data, many studies choose to employ complete case analysis approach to estimate the parameters of the model. This however compromises on the susceptibility of the estimates to reduced bias and minimum variance as expected. Several classical and model based techniques of imputing the missing values have been mentioned in literature. Bayesian approach to missingness is deemed superior amongst the other techniques through its natural self-lending to missing data settings where the missing values are treated as unobserved random variables that have a distribution which depends on the observed data. This paper digs up the superiority of Bayesian imputation to Multiple Imputation with Chained Equations (MICE) when estimating logistic panel data models with single fixed effects. The study validates the superiority of conditional maximum likelihood estimates for nonlinear binary choice logit panel model in the presence of missing observations. A Monte Carlo simulation was designed to determine the magnitude of bias and root mean square errors (RMSE) arising from MICE and Full Bayesian imputation. The simulation results show that the conditional maximum likelihood (ML) logit estimator presented in this paper is less biased and more efficient when Bayesian imputation is performed to curb non-responses.

A Constrained Interval-Valued Linear Regression Model:A New Heteroscedasticity Estimation Method

Linear regression models for interval-valued data have been widely studied.Most literatures are to split an interval into two real numbers,i.e.,the left-and right-endpoints or the center and radius of this interval,and fit two separate real-valued or two dimension linear regression models.This paper is focused on the bias-corrected and heteroscedasticity-adjusted modeling by imposing order constraint to the endpoints of the response interval and weighted linear least squares with estimated covariance matrix,based on a generalized linear model for interval-valued data.A three step estimation method is proposed.Theoretical conclusions and numerical evaluations show that the proposed estimator has higher efficiency than previous estimators.

Order shrinkage and selection for the INGARCH(p,q)model

The integer-valued generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic(INGARCH)model is often utilized to describe data in biostatistics,such as the number of people infected with dengue fever,daily epileptic seizure counts of an epileptic patient and the number of cases of campylobacterosis infections,etc.Since the structure of such data is generally high-order and sparse,studies about order shrinkage and selection for the model attract many attentions.In this paper,we propose a penalized conditional maximum likelihood(PCML)method to solve this problem.The PCML method can effectively select significant orders and estimate the parameters,simultaneously.Some simulations and a real data analysis are carried out to illustrate the usefulness of our method.

Statistical Inference for the Covariates-driven Binomial AR(1)Process

The binomial autoregressive(BAR(1))process is very useful to model the integer-valued time series data defined on a finite range.It is commonly observed that the autoregressive coefficient is assumed to be a constant.To make the BAR(1)model more practical,this paper introduces a new random coefficient binomial autoregressive model,which is driven by covariates.Basic probabilistic and statistical properties of this model are discussed.Conditional least squares and conditional maximum likelihood estimators of the model parameters are derived,and the asymptotic properties are obtained.The performance of these estimators is compared via a simulation study.An application to a real data example is also provided.The results show that the proposed model and methods perform well for the simulations and application.