EXPECTED DISCOUNTED PENALTY FUNCTION OF ERLANG(2) RISK MODEL WITH CONSTANT INTEREST

The purpose of this paper is to consider the expected value of a discounted penalty due at ruin in the Erlang（2） risk process under constant interest force. An integro-differential equation satisfied by the expected value and a second-order differential equation for the Laplace transform of the expected value are derived. In addition, the paper will present the recursive algorithm for the joint distribution of the surplus immediately before ruin and the deficit at ruin. Finally, by the differential equation, the defective renewal equation and the explicit expression for the expected value are given in the interest-free case.

Discrete-Time Hybrid Decision Processes: The Discounted Case

This paper is a sequel to Kageyama et al. [1], in which a Markov-type hybrid process has been constructed and the corresponding discounted total reward has been characterized by the recursive equation. The objective of this paper is to formulate a hybrid decision process and to give the existence and characterization of optimal policies.

EXPECTED DISCOUNTED PENALTY FUNCTION AT RUIN FOR RISK PROCESS PERTURBED BY DIFFUSION UNDER INTEREST FORCE

In this article, the risk process perturbed by diffusion under interest force is considered, the continuity and twice continuous differentiability for Фδ（u,w） are discussed,the Feller expression and the integro-differential equation satisfied by Фδ （u ,w） are derived. Finally, the decomposition of Фδ（u,w） is discussed, and some properties of each decomposed part of Фδ（u,w） are obtained. The results can be reduced to some ones in Gerber and Landry＇s,Tsai and Willmot＇s, and Wang＇s works by letting parameter δ and （or） a be zero.

The Expected Discounted Tax Payments on Dual Risk Model under a Dividend Threshold

In this paper, we consider the dual risk model in which periodic taxation are paid according to a loss-carry-forward system and dividends are paid under a threshold strategy. We give an analytical approach to derive the expression of gδ(u) (i.e. the Laplace transform of the first upper exit time). We discuss the expected discounted tax payments for this model and obtain its corresponding integro-differential equations. Finally, for Erlang (2) inter-innovation distribution, closedform expressions for the expected discounted tax payments are given.

Stability Estimation for Markov Control Processes with Discounted Cost

This article explores controllable Borel spaces, stationary, homogeneous Markov processes, discrete time with infinite horizon, with bounded cost functions and using the expected total discounted cost criterion. The problem of the estimation of stability for this type of process is set. The central objective is to obtain a bounded stability index expressed in terms of the Lévy-Prokhorov metric;likewise, sufficient conditions are provided for the existence of such inequalities.

Asymptotics of discounted aggregate claims for renewal risk model with risky investment

Under the assumption that the claim size is subexponentially distributed and the insurance surplus is totally invested in risky asset, a simple asymptotic relation of tail probability of discounted aggregate claims for renewal risk model within finite horizon is obtained. The result extends the corresponding conclusions of related references.

The expected discounted penalty function for a kind of time-correlated risk model based on the renewal argument in consideration of the by-claim

In this paper, the expected discounted penalty function is considered in the risk process with the time-correlated claims, that is, every main claim can cause a by-claim but the occurrence of the by-claim may be delayed. By the renewal argument, it is shown that the expected value satisfies a system of integro-differential equations. Moreover, the explicit expression for the Laplace transform of the expected value is derived by means of Rouche＇s theorem. A numerical example is also given for illustrating the result.

Moments of Discounted Dividend Payments in the Sparre Andersen Model with a Constant Dividend Barrier

We consider the Sparre Andersen risk process in the presence of a constant dividend barrier, and propose a new expected discounted penalty function which is different from that of Gerber and Shiu. We find that iteration mothed can be used to compute the values of expected discounted dividends until ruin and the new penalty function. Applying the new function and the recursion method proposed in Section 5, we obtain the arbitrary moments of discounted dividend payments until ruin.

Urban Forest and Tree Valuation Using Discounted Cash Flow Analysis: Impact of Economic Components

Discounted cash flow analysis is one of the standard methods used to value urban forests and trees. It involves calculating today’s value for all benefits and costs attributed to an investment;that is discounting all cash flows to today’s value using an appropriate interest rate. This requires each benefit and cost be stated in terms of its cash flow. Urban tree benefits are complex. Little notice is given to the components of these benefits. Total urban tree benefits are a summation of partial benefits, including property value increase, storm water reduction, air quality improvement, carbon sequestration, natural gas savings, and electricity savings. We discuss the nature of these partial benefits, especially the geographical, temporal, diameter size, and rate of growth differences. These differences are even reflected in nursery stock valuation. Net present value analysis is used to illustrate the impact of these differences on financial return. An understanding of these components will prove valuable to those attempting to estimate urban forest and tree benefits.

Continuing Value Calculation with Discounted Cash Flows Method： An Application Example for Tekart Tourism Establishment Whose Shares Are Dealt in Istanbul Stock Exchange

Valuation is stated as monetary value belonging to firm assets （Verginis ＆ Taylor, 2004）. According to M. L. Rock, R. H. Rock, and Sikora （1994）, valuation is the answer of the following questions： What is the maximum price that will be paid for the firm？ What are the risk areas？ What are the results of cash flows, profitability, and balance-sheet？ Chambers （2005, p. 5）, on the other hand, estimated a probable price that will be paid for the goods and service at a specific time. For the calculation of continuing value （CV）, Verginis and Taylor （2004） used discounted cash flows （DCF） method and Onal, Karadeniz, and Kandlr （2005） used economic profit method. Klrh （2005） suggested Continuous and Constant Growing Model （Gordon Model）, Value Driver Model, and Economic Profit Model. In this study, DCF which is suggested by Onal et al. （2005） and Verginis and Taylor （2004） is used for the aim of determining CV of the firm at issue. In this study, analyses are made by using the financial statement data of a tourism business whose shares are dealt in Istanbul Stock Exchange. In consequence of the calculations, CV of the examined firm is found to be 7,485,402 TL and firm value is found to be 15,195,366 TL.

Asymptotic Evaluations of the Stability Index for a Markov Control Process with the Expected Total Discounted Reward Criterion

In this work, for a control consumption-investment process with the discounted reward optimization criteria, a numerical estimate of the stability index is made. Using explicit formulas for the optimal stationary policies and for the value functions, the stability index is explicitly calculated and through statistical techniques its asymptotic behavior is investigated (using numerical experiments) when the discount coefficient approaches 1. The results obtained define the conditions under which an approximate optimal stationary policy can be used to control the original process.

Production Decision Based on Discounted Price and Delivery Frequency for Garment Original Equipment Manufacturer with Constrained Capacity

Original equipment manufacturers(OEM) have never been so important and powerful as it is today in garment manufacturing industry.The OEMsupplier's production decisions always have a great impact on the market performance and the profits of a garment brand manufacturer.With constrained capacity and multiply buyers,howto make reasonable production decisions is an urgent problem for OEMsuppliers.A price discount model with a single OEMsupplier and two buyers is proposed to deal with the problem.Based on this model,the OEMsupplier could satisfy buyers' demands and guarantee their profits as well through adjusting price and delivery frequency.A numerical example validates the validity of the model.

Equalizer Zero-Determinant Strategy in Discounted Repeated Stackelberg Asymmetric Game

This paper focuses on the performance of equalizer zero-determinant(ZD)strategies in discounted repeated Stackelberg asymmetric games.In the leader-follower adversarial scenario,the strong Stackelberg equilibrium(SSE)deriving from the opponents’best response(BR),is technically the optimal strategy for the leader.However,computing an SSE strategy may be difficult since it needs to solve a mixed-integer program and has exponential complexity in the number of states.To this end,the authors propose an equalizer ZD strategy,which can unilaterally restrict the opponent’s expected utility.The authors first study the existence of an equalizer ZD strategy with one-to-one situations,and analyze an upper bound of its performance with the baseline SSE strategy.Then the authors turn to multi-player models,where there exists one player adopting an equalizer ZD strategy.The authors give bounds of the weighted sum of opponents’s utilities,and compare it with the SSE strategy.Finally,the authors give simulations on unmanned aerial vehicles(UAVs)and the moving target defense(MTD)to verify the effectiveness of the proposed approach.

Stationary Almost Markov ε-Equilibria for Discounted Stochastic Games with Borel Spaces and Unbounded Payoffs

This paper is concerned with nonzero-sum discrete-time stochastic games in Borel state and action spaces under the expected discounted payoff criterion.The payoff function can be unbounded.The transition probability is a convex combination of finite probability measures that are dominated by a probability measure on the state space and depend on the state variable.Under suitable conditions,the authors establish the existence of stationary almost Markov ε-equilibria and give an approximation method via some stochastic games with bounded payoffs.Finally,a production game is introduced to illustrate the applications of the main result,which generalizes the bounded payoff case.

First Passage Models for Denumerable Semi-Markov Decision Processes with Nonnegative Discounted Costs

This paper considers a first passage model for discounted semi-Markov decision processes with denumerable states and nonnegative costs. The criterion to be optimized is the expected discounted cost incurred during a first passage time to a given target set. We first construct a semi-Markov decision process under a given semi-Markov decision kernel and a policy. Then, we prove that the value function satisfies the optimality equation and there exists an optimal （or ε-optimal） stationary policy under suitable conditions by using a minimum nonnegative solution approach. Further we give some properties of optimal policies. In addition, a value iteration algorithm for computing the value function and optimal policies is developed and an example is given. Finally, it is showed that our model is an extension of the first passage models for both discrete-time and continuous-time Markov decision processes.

Moments of discounted dividend payments in a risk model with randomized dividend-decision times

We consider a perturbed compound Poisson risk model with randomized dividend-decision times. Different from the classical barrier dividend strategy, the insurance company makes decision on whether or not paying off dividends at some discrete time points （called dividend-decision times）. Assume that at each dividend-decision time, if the surplus is larger than a barrier b 〉 O, the excess value will be paid off as dividends. Under such a dividend strategy, we study how to compute the moments of the total discounted dividend payments paid off before ruin.

A LIMITED ORDER CAPACITY STOCHASTIC INVENTORY MODEL WITH A FIXED COST FOR ORDER: THE DISCOUNTED CASE

This paper considers a single-item, periodic-review inventory model with linear ordercosts, a convex function representing expected one-period costs, nonegative i.i.d. demandsand a fixed cost for order. Stockouts are backordered. All data are stationary Both finiteand infinite horizon problems are treated.

On the Expected Discounted Penalty Function for a Risk Process with Stochastic Return on Investments

This paper considers the expected discounted penalty function Φ（u） for the perturbed compound Poisson risk model with stochastic return on investments. After presenting an integro-differential equation that the expected discounted penalty function satisfies, the paper derives the closed form solution by constructing an identical equation. The exact expression for Φ （0） is given using the Laplace transform technique when interest rate is constant. Applications of the results are given to the ruin probability and moments of the deficit at ruin.

EXISTENCE OF OPTIMAL POLICY FOR TIME NON-HOMOGENEOUS DISCOUNTED MARKOVIAN DECISION PR0GRAMMING

In this paper we discuss the discrete, time non--homogeneous discounted Markovian decisionprogramming, where the state space and all action sets are countable. Suppose that the optimumvalue function is finite. We give the necessary and sufficient conditions for the existence of anoptimal policy. Suppose that the absolute mean of rewards is relatively bounded. We also give thenecessary and sufficient conditions for the existence of an optimal policy.

On the Gerber-Shiu Discounted Penalty Function for a Surplus Process Described by PDMPs

In this paper, we investigate the Gerber-Shiu discounted penalty function for the surplus process described by a piecewise deterministic Markov process （PDMP）. We derive an integral equation for the Gerber-Shiu discounted penalty function, and obtain the exact solution when the initial surplus is zero. Dickson formulae are also generalized to the present surplus process.