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A Study on the Implementation Path of the Blended Teaching Model in Geological Hazards Investigation and Evaluation
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作者 Liu Yang Wenjuan Wang +2 位作者 Weijian Zhou Dan Wang Ping Yin 《Journal of Contemporary Educational Research》 2024年第9期106-111,共6页
Geological Hazards Investigation and Evaluation is the core course of Environmental Geological Engineering,aiming to cultivate skilled talents with solid theoretical knowledge and excellent practical skills.At present... Geological Hazards Investigation and Evaluation is the core course of Environmental Geological Engineering,aiming to cultivate skilled talents with solid theoretical knowledge and excellent practical skills.At present,the course faces several issues,including a teaching environment disconnected from real-world work scenarios,course content that deviates from job-related tasks,a lack of digital teaching resources,and reliance on a single teaching method,leading to students’poor feedback from employers.Based on the concept of outcome-based education,the course team of Geological Hazards Investigation and Evaluation establishes a“five-step double-rotation”blended teaching model with the help of a Small Private Online Course platform.The program is designed to improve the teaching environment and expand the digitalized teaching resources in order to improve students’learning motivation,enhance learning effectiveness,and cultivate skillful talents who meet employers’satisfaction. 展开更多
关键词 Outcome-based education concept geological hazards Investigation and Evaluation Teaching mode Blended teaching and learning
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Thinking on Effective Methods of Successful Prediction of Geological Hazards in Shaanxi, China
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作者 Chaowei Yao Yonghong Li +3 位作者 Yiping He Hui Li Chaomei Xu Ping Fang 《International Journal of Geosciences》 CAS 2023年第3期271-289,共19页
In the process of human survival and development, it is inevitable to transform the original state of the world, thus forming a contradiction between the earth and the earth. The violent form of this contradiction is ... In the process of human survival and development, it is inevitable to transform the original state of the world, thus forming a contradiction between the earth and the earth. The violent form of this contradiction is geological disasters. Geological disasters pose a threat to human life and property, and cause damage caused by natural or human factors, often causing casualties. The destruction process of geological disasters is usually a gradual process, showing many pre-disaster symptoms, such as local landslides, surface cracks, building deformation, tree skew, and ground sound. Evacuation can be avoided in advance according to the disaster precursors, so as to avoid casualties and achieve successful prediction. By reviewing the general situation of geological disasters in Shaanxi Province and the casualties in 2020, the difficulties in the prevention and control of geological disasters are summarized. In view of these difficulties, an on-site investigation, visit and analysis of geological disaster points and successful forecast points in Shaanxi Province in 2020 were conducted. In addition, combined with actual cases and years of work experience, the successful prediction experience of geological disasters was discussed from 8 aspects. Finally, the “Regulations on the Reward for Successful Geological Disaster Forecasting in Shaanxi Province” was revised in order to improve the successful prediction ability of geological disasters in Shaanxi Province and even the whole country, provide reference for future prevention and control of geological disasters, and effectively protect the safety of people’s lives and property. 展开更多
关键词 geological hazards Successful Forecast Shaanxi Province China
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Predicting geological hazards during tunnel construction 被引量:26
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作者 Shucai Li Shuchen Li Qingsong Zhang Yiguo Xue Bin Liu Maoxin Su Zhechao Wang Shugang Wang 《Journal of Rock Mechanics and Geotechnical Engineering》 SCIE 2010年第3期232-242,共11页
The complicated geological conditions and geological hazards are challenging problems during tunnel construction,which will cause great losses of life and property.Therefore,reliable prediction of geological defective... The complicated geological conditions and geological hazards are challenging problems during tunnel construction,which will cause great losses of life and property.Therefore,reliable prediction of geological defective features,such as faults,karst caves and groundwater,has important practical significances and theoretical values.In this paper,we presented the criteria for detecting typical geological anomalies using the tunnel seismic prediction(TSP) method.The ground penetrating radar(GPR) signal response to water-bearing structures was used for theoretical derivations.And the 3D tomography of the transient electromagnetic method(TEM) was used to develop an equivalent conductance method.Based on the improvement of a single prediction technique,we developed a technical system for reliable prediction of geological defective features by analyzing the advantages and disadvantages of all prediction methods.The procedure of the application of this system was introduced in detail.For prediction,the selection of prediction methods is an important and challenging work.The analytic hierarchy process(AHP) was developed for prediction optimization.We applied the newly developed prediction system to several important projects in China,including Hurongxi highway,Jinping II hydropower station,and Kiaochow Bay subsea tunnel.The case studies show that the geological defective features can be successfully detected with good precision and efficiency,and the prediction system is proved to be an effective means to minimize the risks of geological hazards during tunnel construction. 展开更多
关键词 tunnel projects geological hazards comprehensive prediction tunnel seismic prediction(TSP) ground penetrating radar(GPR) transient electromagnetic method(TEM) analytic hierarchy process(AHP)
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Co-seismic Faults and Geological Hazards and Incidence of Active Fault of Wenchuan Ms 8.0 Earthquake,Sichuan,China 被引量:6
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作者 MA Yinsheng LONG Changxing +7 位作者 TAN Chengxuan WANG Tao GONG Mingquan LIAO Chunting WU Manlu SHI Wei DU Jianjun PAN Feng 《Acta Geologica Sinica(English Edition)》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2009年第4期713-723,共11页
There are two co-seismic faults which developed when the Wenchuan earthquake happened. One occurred along the active fault zone in the central Longmen Mts. and the other in the front of Longmen Mts. The length of whic... There are two co-seismic faults which developed when the Wenchuan earthquake happened. One occurred along the active fault zone in the central Longmen Mts. and the other in the front of Longmen Mts. The length of which is more than 270 kin and about 80 km respectively. The co-seismic fault shows a reverse flexure belt with strike of N45°-60°E in the ground, which caused uplift at its northwest side and subsidence at the southeast. The fault face dips to the northwest with a dip angle ranging from 50° to 60°. The vertical offset of the co-seismic fault ranges 2.5-3.0 m along the Yingxiu- Beichuan co-seismic fault, and 1.5-1.1 m along the Doujiangyan-Hanwang fault. Movement of the coseismic fault presents obvious segmented features along the active fault zone in central Longmen Mts. For instance, in the section from Yingxiu to Leigu town, thrust without evident slip occurred; while from Beichuan to Qingchuan, thrust and dextral strike-slip take place. Main movement along the front Longmen Mts. shows thrust without slip and segmented features. The area of earthquake intensity more than IX degree and the distribution of secondary geological hazards occurred along the hanging wall of co-seismic faults, and were consistent with the area of aftershock, and its width is less than 40km from co-seismic faults in the hanging wall. The secondary geological hazards, collapses, landslides, debris flows et al., concentrated in the hanging wall of co-seismic fault within 0-20 km from co-seismic fault. 展开更多
关键词 Wenchuan earthquake co-seismic fault geological hazards
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Distribution Characteristics and Influencing Factors of Geological Hazards in Tibet 被引量:5
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作者 FAN Jihui WU Caiyan Cheng Genwei 《Wuhan University Journal of Natural Sciences》 EI CAS 2006年第4期806-812,共7页
Tibet is one of the areas with most serious geological hazards in China, and the distribution of disasters has obvious local charac teristics. Tibet can be classified as three parts through zoning the danger degree, t... Tibet is one of the areas with most serious geological hazards in China, and the distribution of disasters has obvious local charac teristics. Tibet can be classified as three parts through zoning the danger degree, the mountain canyon high danger zone of east and southeast Tibet, the plateau mountain lake basin and valley middle danger zone of south Tibet, and the Plateau Mountain lake basin low danger zone of south Tibet. This paper takes the debris flow, collapse, landslide as the key points to analyze the distribution characteristics of geological hazards, and analyze the factors which influence the distribution of geological hazards, such as terrain landform, formation lithology, geologic structure pattern, precipitation, earthquake, human activity and so on. finally, as a conclusion., in whole Tibet, the geological hazards are more in southeast than in northwest, more in mountainous area which in the edge of plateau and river valley than in the interior of plateau and lake basin. And most hazards distribute in the regions where human activity is stronger than in other regions, for example towns or strips along the highway. 展开更多
关键词 TIBET geological hazards distribution characteristics influencing factors
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Types and Distribution of Geological Hazards in the South China Sea
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作者 Chen Junren and Li Tinghuan Guangzhou Marine Geological Survey, MGMR, Guangzhou Jiang Minxi 《Acta Geologica Sinica(English Edition)》 SCIE CAS CSCD 1993年第3期347-360,共14页
Various types of geological hazards exist in the South China Sea. In dynamics sense, they can be categorized into 5 principal genetic types related to effects of hydraulic dynamics, gaseous activity, soil mechanics, g... Various types of geological hazards exist in the South China Sea. In dynamics sense, they can be categorized into 5 principal genetic types related to effects of hydraulic dynamics, gaseous activity, soil mechanics, gravity and tectonism, respectively. Integrated analyses indicate that the geological hazards associated with volcanoes, earthquakes and fractures are mainly distributed in tectonically active regions, whereas those resulting from mudflows, landslides and diapirs are usually concentrated in the region of slope, that shallow gas, high pressure gas pockets and soft intercalations are major potential geological hazards in the inner shelf, and that strong hydraulic dynamics, especially storm tide, is one of the major causes of geological hazards in the littoral areas. The geological hazards that occurred in the South China Sea are also characterized by periodicity, succession and, to a certain extent, unpredictability in addition to regionalization. 展开更多
关键词 South China Sea geological hazards classification principle distribution pattern
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Regional Integrated Meteorological Forecasting and Warning Model for Geological Hazards Based on Logistic Regression 被引量:1
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作者 XU Jing YANG Chi ZHANG Guoping 《Wuhan University Journal of Natural Sciences》 CAS 2007年第4期638-644,共7页
Information model is adopted to integrate factors of various geosciences to estimate the susceptibility of geological hazards. Further combining the dynamic rainfall observations, Logistic regression is used for model... Information model is adopted to integrate factors of various geosciences to estimate the susceptibility of geological hazards. Further combining the dynamic rainfall observations, Logistic regression is used for modeling the probabilities of geological hazard occurrences, upon which hierarchical warnings for rainfall-induced geological hazards are produced. The forecasting and warning model takes numerical precipitation forecasts on grid points as its dynamic input, forecasts the probabilities of geological hazard occurrences on the same grid, and translates the results into likelihoods in the form of a 5-level hierarchy. Validation of the model with observational data for the year 2004 shows that 80% of the geological hazards of the year have been identified as "likely enough to release warning messages". The model can satisfy the requirements of an operational warning system, thus is an effective way to improve the meteorological warnings for geological hazards. 展开更多
关键词 geological hazard information model Logistic regression RAINFALL spatial analysis
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Chinese public participation monitoring and warning system for geological hazards
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作者 WU Sheng-nan LEI Yu +2 位作者 CUI Peng CHEN Rong YIN Pi-hua 《Journal of Mountain Science》 SCIE CSCD 2020年第7期1553-1564,共12页
In China,many geological hazards occurred in remote mountainous regions,and it was time-consuming to disseminate disaster information for the responsible parties to make timely judgements.Besides,only relying on profe... In China,many geological hazards occurred in remote mountainous regions,and it was time-consuming to disseminate disaster information for the responsible parties to make timely judgements.Besides,only relying on professionals to monitor and manage disasters was demanding and costly.The Chinese government created a system to engage residents in the process of disaster risk management,namely’Public Participation Monitoring and Warning’(PPMW),to disseminate timely disaster information and bring down management costs.The objective of this system was to reduce casualties with minimum cost by organizing residents to evacuate from disasters in advance.This paper introduced the PPMW system,including its structure,operation mechanism by reviewing government documents and research articles,and its implementation by a case study of a landslide at Boli village(E 101°01’,N 27°29’),Yanyuan County,Sichuan Province,China on July 19th 2018.Further,this paper analyzed the strengths and limitations of the system and discussed its future development.It had the potential to become an affordable disaster risk management tool for other countries facing similar situations to China. 展开更多
关键词 geological hazard Monitoring and early warning Disaster risk management Public participation Affordable solution
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The monitoring technology of geological hazards in the Three Gorges Reservoir Area and its prospects
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作者 任松 姜德义 +1 位作者 杨春和 郭微 《Journal of Coal Science & Engineering(China)》 2007年第2期144-148,共5页
It summarized current application statuses of the monitoring technology of geological hazard in the Three Gorges Reservoir Area. Considering the defects of the current monitoring technology of geological hazard, the n... It summarized current application statuses of the monitoring technology of geological hazard in the Three Gorges Reservoir Area. Considering the defects of the current monitoring technology of geological hazard, the new remote and centralized monitoring system of geological hazard based on the Internet was established. It also introduced its theory, structure, application and prospect in detail. The new monitoring system can prevent the geologic disaster from happening, and control the danger of it, and improve upon the level of management, and gather head the ability of preventing disaster, and reduce the running cost of the system. 展开更多
关键词 the Three Gorges Reservoir geological hazard INTERNET remote monitoring
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Geological Hazards Occurred on the Road Connecting Vashlijvari-Lisi (M. Machavariani Street) in Tbilisi
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作者 Merab Gaprindashvili 《Journal of Geoscience and Environment Protection》 2021年第11期15-27,共13页
The capital of Georgia</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">—Tbilisi has a very convenient location and is a node of the transit corridor. Along with natural-geological conditions, its compl... The capital of Georgia</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">—Tbilisi has a very convenient location and is a node of the transit corridor. Along with natural-geological conditions, its complexity is due to the rapid demographic growth of the city in a highly “sensitive” area of the geological environment and the pressure of high engineering and agricultural activities. In Tbilisi</span></span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">,</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> it is observed almost all type</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">s</span><span style="font-family:""><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> of geological hazards, including landslide-gravitational, suffosion, debris/mudflows, river </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">bank erosion and inundation </span></span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">were </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">caused by groundwater. These hazard</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">s</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> cause</span><span style="font-family:""><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> high damages to the residential houses and other infrastructure facilities. Most importantly and most tragically is that these kind of negative geological events are often accompanied by human casualties. The study discusses the geological processes developed in March 2021 in the corridor of the Vashlij</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">vari-Lisi road (Machavariani Street). The information obtained from the study,</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> reflects the triggering factors of the geological hazards, also damages caused by them, and provides recommendations for short-term and long-term protective measures that should ensure the sustainable operation of the road and other infrastructure facilities. 展开更多
关键词 LANDSLIDE GEOLOGY Tbilisi geological Hazard DISASTER Georgia
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Development laws of geological hazards along urban highway in Southwest China and countermeasures for prevention and control
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作者 Xu Gao 《Geohazard Mechanics》 2024年第1期13-20,共8页
China is a mountainous country with highly developed road geologic hazards, which pose a great threat to theconstruction and operation of highways, bridges, and tunnels and to the safety of people and property. This p... China is a mountainous country with highly developed road geologic hazards, which pose a great threat to theconstruction and operation of highways, bridges, and tunnels and to the safety of people and property. This paperdiscussed the types, basic features, formation, and prevention conditions of road geologic hazards in China basedon field research and study data collected thus far. The study considered an urban area of a city in southwestChina as the center and a geological field investigation was performed over a total of 282 km on three importantlifeline projects. The results show: Types of geologic hazards along the highways are mainly avalanches, debrisflows, and landslides, respectively. Among them, the landslips are mainly distributed along the roads, with slip,dumping, and wrong break types as the main ones;the debris flows are widely distributed, mainly concentrated inthe river valleys;and the unstable slopes are relatively few in number. Geological disasters are characterized bylarge-scale and concentrated triggering in time and space, and a single disaster can easily trigger other disasters,thus forming a chain of disasters. Neotectonic movement, seismic activity, topography, climatic conditions,stratigraphic lithology, and human activities are important factors leading to geologic hazards in the study area.This study is of great practical significance for reducing the occurrence of roadbed diseases and prolonging theservice life of highways. 展开更多
关键词 Urban highway Geologic hazards Development pattern PREVENTION
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Application of oblique photogrammetry technique in geological hazard identification and decision management
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作者 Min Tang Xi Mei +3 位作者 Yanna Li Chen Chen Xiuju Liu Heng Lu 《Earthquake Research Advances》 CSCD 2024年第3期34-41,共8页
With the continuous development of the oblique photography technique, it has been used more and more widely in the field of geological disasters. It can quickly obtain the three-dimensional(3D) real scene model of dan... With the continuous development of the oblique photography technique, it has been used more and more widely in the field of geological disasters. It can quickly obtain the three-dimensional(3D) real scene model of dangerous mountainous areas under the premise of ensuring the safety of personnel while restoring the real geographic information as much as possible. However, geological disaster areas are often accompanied by many adverse factors such as cliffs and dense vegetation. Based on this, the paper introduced the flight line design of oblique photogrammetry, analyzed the multi-platform data fusion processing, studied the multi-period data dynamic evaluation technology and proposed the application methods of data acquisition, early warning, disaster assessment and decision management suitable for geological disaster identification through the analysis of actual cases, which will help geologists to plan and control geological work more scientifically and rationally, improve work efficiency and reduce the potential personnel safety hazards in the process of geological survey, to offer technical support to the application of oblique photogrammetry in geological disaster identification and decision making and provide the scientific basis for personal and property safety protection and later-stage geological disaster management in disaster areas. 展开更多
关键词 Oblique photography technique Three-dimensional models geological hazards Data integration Disaster assessment Decision management
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Machine Learning-Based Evaluation of Susceptibility to Geological Hazards in the Hengduan Mountains Region, China 被引量:2
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作者 Jiaqi Zhao Qiang Zhang +2 位作者 Danzhou Wang Wenhuan Wu Ruyue Yuan 《International Journal of Disaster Risk Science》 SCIE CSCD 2022年第2期305-316,共12页
The Hengduan Mountains Region(HMR) is one of the areas that experience the most frequent geological hazards in China. However, few reports are available that address the geological hazard susceptibility of the region.... The Hengduan Mountains Region(HMR) is one of the areas that experience the most frequent geological hazards in China. However, few reports are available that address the geological hazard susceptibility of the region.This study developed six machine learning models to assess the geological hazard susceptibility. The results show that areas with medium and high susceptibility to geological hazards as a whole account for almost 21% of the total area, while both are 18% when it comes to the single hazard of landslide and rockfall respectively. Medium and high geological hazard susceptibility is found in three parts of the HMR with different characteristics:(1)the central and southern parts, where the population of the region concentrates;(2) the northern part, where higher geological hazard susceptibility is found along the mountain ranges;and(3) the junction of Tibet, Yunnan, and Sichuan in the eastern part, which is prone to larger-scale geological hazards. Of all the potential influencing factors,topographic features and climatic variables act as the major driving factors behind geological hazards and elevation,slope, and precipitation are crucial indicators for geological hazard susceptibility assessment. This study developed the geological hazard susceptibility maps of the HMR and provided information for the multi-hazard risk assessment and management of the region. 展开更多
关键词 geological hazards LANDSLIDES Machine learning techniques ROCKFALLS Susceptibility evaluation
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Application of remote sensing for investigating mining geological hazards 被引量:1
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作者 Qinjun Wang Huadong Guo +2 位作者 Yu Chen Qizhong Lin Hui Li 《International Journal of Digital Earth》 SCIE EI 2013年第5期449-468,共20页
To investigate geological mining hazards using digital techniques such as highresolution remote sensing,a semi-automatically geological mining hazards extraction method is proposed based on the case of the Shijiaying... To investigate geological mining hazards using digital techniques such as highresolution remote sensing,a semi-automatically geological mining hazards extraction method is proposed based on the case of the Shijiaying coal mine,located in Fangshan District,Beijing,China.In the method,the vegetation is first removed using the normalized difference vegetation index(NDVI)on the GeoEye-1 data.Then,geological mining hazards interpretation features are determined after color enhancement using principal component analysis(PCA)transformation.Bitmaps mainly covered by geological mining hazards are isolated by masking operation in the environment for visualizing images software.Next,each bitmap is classified into a two-valued imagery using support vector machine algorithm.In the two-valued imagery,1 denotes the geological mining hazards,while 0 denotes none.Afterwards,the two-valued imagery is converted into a vector graph by corresponding functions in the ArcGIS software and no geological mining hazards regions in the vector graph are deleted manually.Finally,the correlation between factors(such as mining activity,lithology,geological structure,and slope)and geological mining hazards is analyzed using a logistic regression and a hazardous-area forecasting model is built.The results of field verification show that the accuracy of the geological mining hazards extraction method is 98.1%and the results of the hazardous-area forecasting indicate that the logistic regression is an effective model in assessing geological hazard risks and that mining activity is the main contributing factor to the hazards,while geological structure,slope,lithology,roughness of the surface,and aspect are the secondary. 展开更多
关键词 geological hazards digital disaster reduction remote sensing GeoEye earth observation GEOLOGY
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Forecast of Geological Gas Hazards for “Three-Soft” Coal Seams in Gliding Structural Areas 被引量:21
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作者 WANG Zhi-rong CHEN Ling-xia +1 位作者 CHENG Cong-ren LI Zhen-xiang 《Journal of China University of Mining and Technology》 EI 2007年第4期484-488,共5页
Gas outbursts from "three-soft" coal seams (soft roof,soft floor and soft coal) constitute a very serious prob-lem in the Ludian gliding structure area in western Henan. By means of theories and methods of g... Gas outbursts from "three-soft" coal seams (soft roof,soft floor and soft coal) constitute a very serious prob-lem in the Ludian gliding structure area in western Henan. By means of theories and methods of gas geology,structural geology,coal petrology and rock tests,we have discussed the effect of control of several physical properties of soft roof on gas preservation and proposed a new method of forecasting gas geological hazards under open structural conditions. The result shows that the areas with type Ⅲ or Ⅳ soft roofs are the most dangerous areas where gas outburst most likely can take place. Therefore,countermeasures should be taken in these areas to prevent gas outbursts. 展开更多
关键词 gliding structure tectonite roof gas bursting and pouring prediction of geological gas hazards
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Recent Advances of Deep Learning in Geological Hazard Forecasting 被引量:2
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作者 Jiaqi Wang Pengfei Sun +3 位作者 Leilei Chen Jianfeng Yang Zhenghe Liu Haojie Lian 《Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences》 SCIE EI 2023年第11期1381-1418,共38页
Geological hazard is an adverse geological condition that can cause loss of life and property.Accurate prediction and analysis of geological hazards is an important and challenging task.In the past decade,there has be... Geological hazard is an adverse geological condition that can cause loss of life and property.Accurate prediction and analysis of geological hazards is an important and challenging task.In the past decade,there has been a great expansion of geohazard detection data and advancement in data-driven simulation techniques.In particular,great efforts have been made in applying deep learning to predict geohazards.To understand the recent progress in this field,this paper provides an overview of the commonly used data sources and deep neural networks in the prediction of a variety of geological hazards. 展开更多
关键词 geological hazard deep learning neural networks geohazard data sources EARTHQUAKE VOLCANIC
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Engineering geological conditions and features of geologic hazards in Wudongde reservoir of Jinshajiang River valley
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作者 LIU Weijuan FAN Jianhua ZHANG Yange 《Global Geology》 2010年第3期145-150,共6页
There is a great difference between the distribution and evolvement characteristics of slope geological hazard in the same geographical location and climatic conditions,taking the similar structural-genetic connection... There is a great difference between the distribution and evolvement characteristics of slope geological hazard in the same geographical location and climatic conditions,taking the similar structural-genetic connection in Wudongde reservoir area of Jinshajiang River valley for example. In all engineering geological conditions,the chronologic age and attitude of strata,and the lithologic association factors control the distributions and evolvement characteristics of slope geological hazard in the studied area. The study shows that the slopes in geological evolution are in different stages. The conclusion helps to understand the types and the intensity of geological disasters. 展开更多
关键词 Jinshajiang River Wudongde reservoir engineering geological condition slope geological hazard distribution and evolvement characteristics
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Projecting Spring Consecutive Rainfall Events in the Three Gorges Reservoir Based on Triple-Nested Dynamical Downscaling 被引量:2
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作者 Yanxin ZHENG Shuanglin LI +2 位作者 Noel KEENLYSIDE Shengping HE Lingling SUO 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2024年第8期1539-1558,共20页
Spring consecutive rainfall events(CREs) are key triggers of geological hazards in the Three Gorges Reservoir area(TGR), China. However, previous projections of CREs based on the direct outputs of global climate model... Spring consecutive rainfall events(CREs) are key triggers of geological hazards in the Three Gorges Reservoir area(TGR), China. However, previous projections of CREs based on the direct outputs of global climate models(GCMs) are subject to considerable uncertainties, largely caused by their coarse resolution. This study applies a triple-nested WRF(Weather Research and Forecasting) model dynamical downscaling, driven by a GCM, MIROC6(Model for Interdisciplinary Research on Climate, version 6), to improve the historical simulation and reduce the uncertainties in the future projection of CREs in the TGR. Results indicate that WRF has better performances in reproducing the observed rainfall in terms of the daily probability distribution, monthly evolution and duration of rainfall events, demonstrating the ability of WRF in simulating CREs. Thus, the triple-nested WRF is applied to project the future changes of CREs under the middle-of-the-road and fossil-fueled development scenarios. It is indicated that light and moderate rainfall and the duration of continuous rainfall spells will decrease in the TGR, leading to a decrease in the frequency of CREs. Meanwhile, the duration, rainfall amount, and intensity of CREs is projected to regional increase in the central-west TGR. These results are inconsistent with the raw projection of MIROC6. Observational diagnosis implies that CREs are mainly contributed by the vertical moisture advection. Such a synoptic contribution is captured well by WRF, which is not the case in MIROC6,indicating larger uncertainties in the CREs projected by MIROC6. 展开更多
关键词 triple-nested downscaling Three Gorges Reservoir area consecutive rainfall events geological hazards PROJECTION
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Deformation,structure and potential hazard of a landslide based on InSAR in Banbar county,Xizang(Tibet) 被引量:1
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作者 Guan-hua Zhao Heng-xing Lan +4 位作者 Hui-yong Yin Lang-ping Li Alexander Strom Wei-feng Sun Chao-yang Tian 《China Geology》 CAS CSCD 2024年第2期203-221,共19页
The Tibetan Plateau is characterized by complex geological conditions and a relatively fragile ecological environment.In recent years,there has been continuous development and increased human activity in the Tibetan P... The Tibetan Plateau is characterized by complex geological conditions and a relatively fragile ecological environment.In recent years,there has been continuous development and increased human activity in the Tibetan Plateau region,leading to a rising risk of landslides.The landslide in Banbar County,Xizang(Tibet),have been perturbed by ongoing disturbances from human engineering activities,making it susceptible to instability and displaying distinct features.In this study,small baseline subset synthetic aperture radar interferometry(SBAS-InSAR)technology is used to obtain the Line of Sight(LOS)deformation velocity field in the study area,and then the slope-orientation deformation field of the landslide is obtained according to the spatial geometric relationship between the satellite’s LOS direction and the landslide.Subsequently,the landslide thickness is inverted by applying the mass conservation criterion.The results show that the movement area of the landslide is about 6.57×10^(4)m^(2),and the landslide volume is about 1.45×10^(6)m^(3).The maximum estimated thickness and average thickness of the landslide are 39 m and 22 m,respectively.The thickness estimation results align with the findings from on-site investigation,indicating the applicability of this method to large-scale earth slides.The deformation rate of the landslide exhibits a notable correlation with temperature variations,with rainfall playing a supportive role in the deformation process and displaying a certain lag.Human activities exert the most substantial influence on the spatial heterogeneity of landslide deformation,leading to the direct impact of several prominent deformation areas due to human interventions.Simultaneously,utilizing the long short-term memory(LSTM)model to predict landslide displacement,and the forecast results demonstrate the effectiveness of the LSTM model in predicting landslides that are in a continuous development and movement phase.The landslide is still active,and based on the spatial heterogeneity of landslide deformation,new recommendations have been proposed for the future management of the landslide in order to mitigate potential hazards associated with landslide instability. 展开更多
关键词 LANDSLIDE INSAR Human activity DEFORMATION STRUCTURE LSTM model Engineering construction Thickness Neural network Machine learning Prediction and prevention Tibetan Plateau geological hazards survey engineering
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Analysis of debris flow control effect and hazard assessment in Xinqiao Gully,Wenchuan M_(s)8.0 earthquake area based on numerical simulation 被引量:1
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作者 Chang Yang Yong-bo Tie +3 位作者 Xian-zheng Zhang Yan-feng Zhang Zhi-jie Ning Zong-liang Li 《China Geology》 CAS CSCD 2024年第2期248-263,共16页
Xinqiao Gully is located in the area of the 2008 Wenchuan M_(s)8.0 earthquake in Sichuan province,China.Based on the investigation of the 2023"6-26"Xinqiao Gully debris flow event,this study assessed the eff... Xinqiao Gully is located in the area of the 2008 Wenchuan M_(s)8.0 earthquake in Sichuan province,China.Based on the investigation of the 2023"6-26"Xinqiao Gully debris flow event,this study assessed the effectiveness of the debris flow control project and evaluated the debris flow hazards.Through field investigation and numerical simulation methods,the indicators of flow intensity reduction rate and storage capacity fullness were proposed to quantify the effectiveness of the engineering measures in the debris flow event.The simulation results show that the debris flow control project reduced the flow intensity by41.05%to 64.61%.The storage capacity of the dam decreases gradually from upstream to the mouth of the gully,thus effectively intercepting and controlling the debris flow.By evaluating the debris flow of different recurrence intervals,further measures are recommended for managing debris flow events. 展开更多
关键词 Landslide Debris flow Hazard assessment Numerical simulation OpenLISEM Prevention and control project Wenchuan M_(s)8.0 earthquake Xinqiao Gully Sichuan province geological hazards survey engineering
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