Assessment of Dependent Performance Shaping Factors in SPAR-H Based on Pearson Correlation Coefficient

With the improvement of equipment reliability,human factors have become the most uncertain part in the system.The standardized Plant Analysis of Risk-Human Reliability Analysis(SPAR-H)method is a reliable method in the field of human reliability analysis(HRA)to evaluate human reliability and assess risk in large complex systems.However,the classical SPAR-H method does not consider the dependencies among performance shaping factors(PSFs),whichmay cause overestimation or underestimation of the risk of the actual situation.To address this issue,this paper proposes a new method to deal with the dependencies among PSFs in SPAR-H based on the Pearson correlation coefficient.First,the dependence between every two PSFs is measured by the Pearson correlation coefficient.Second,the weights of the PSFs are obtained by considering the total dependence degree.Finally,PSFs’multipliers are modified based on the weights of corresponding PSFs,and then used in the calculating of human error probability(HEP).A case study is used to illustrate the procedure and effectiveness of the proposed method.

The Application of Pearson Correlational Analysis Method in Air Quality Analysis of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region

Based on the analysis of monitoring data on six pollution indexes of SO2, NO2, CO, O3, PM10 and PM2.5 from 53 monitoring points in 7 cities, including Beijing, Tianjin, Shijiazhuang, etc., from April 8 of 2014 to July 23 of 2014, this article adopted Pearson correlation coefficient method to determine the relevance among each pollutant of these cities with the help of SPSS. The results showed that such three leading indexes as SO2, PM10 and PM2.5 had strong correlation in Beijing, Tianjin and main cities of Hebei. Finally, some suggestions and preventive measures for the cooperative governance of air pollution in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region were put forward, hoping this can help them.

基于Pearson相关性分析的双V型永磁同步电机失磁故障动态识别方法

针对电驱动系统用高功率密度永磁驱动电机存在的不可逆退磁问题,以一款8极48槽的双V型永磁同步电机为例对退磁故障的动态识别方法进行了研究。在考虑电机闭合磁路对永磁体退磁故障影响的基础上,通过分析高退磁率电机模型退磁前后的空载和负载参数变化,采用Pearson相关性分析的方法提取了表征退磁故障的特征参量,给出了一种退磁故障的动态识别方法,并分析了转速和电流对特征参量的影响,完成了对退磁故障动态识别方法的修正。通过仿真和实验测试的方法对退磁故障动态识别方法的准确性进行了验证,结果表明,仿真结果的误差为0.68%,实验测试的预测结果最大误差为1.765%,误差均在可接受范围内。

基于暂态电压Pearson相关系数的柔性直流配电网纵联保护方法

柔性直流配电网故障特征复杂,快速可靠的故障保护方法是柔性直流配电网亟需突破的关键技术。基于此提出了一种基于直流线路限流电抗器暂态电压皮尔逊(Pearson)相关系数的直流配电网纵联保护方法。首先,分析了区内外不同故障类型下直流线路两端限流电抗器暂态电压的特征差异。其次,利用正、负极线路电压的变化率构成保护启动判据,通过直流线路两端限流电抗器暂态电压的Pearson相关系数识别区内、外故障,并利用直流线路正负极电压变化率间的正负关系设计故障选极判据。最后,在Matlab/Simulink仿真软件中搭建柔性直流配电网仿真模型验证所提保护方法的可行性。结果表明所提保护方法能满足柔性直流配电网保护速动性和选择性的要求,且耐过渡电阻能力强,受通信延迟影响小,具有一定的抗干扰能力。

基于Pearson相关性的VAR模型煤电水煤比寻优应用

本文为解决350MW燃煤机组在煤质频繁变化情况下水煤比失衡的问题,使用向量自回归(VAR)模型在机组参数波动工况下进行水煤比寻优。通过使用Pearson相关系数分析机组运行参数,确定寻优模型的输入数据,计算VAR模型最优阶数,并建立VAR模型从多个参数的时间序列寻找对应工况下水煤比最优值,同时使用三种不同分析方法确保该最优值的准确性和安全性。实践证明,该方法能有效解决机组由于煤质频繁变化导致锅炉给水策略不适配引发的主蒸汽温度和主蒸汽压力偏差大等问题。

Pearson＇s Correlation Coefficient： A More Realistic Threshold for Applications on Autonomous Robotics

Many applications for control of autonomous platform are being developed and one important aspect is the excess of information, frequently redundant, that imposes a great computational cost in data processing. Taking into account the temporal coherence between consecutive frames, the PCC （Pearson＇s Correlation Coefficient） was proposed and applied as： discarding criteria methodology, dynamic power management solution, environment observer method which selects automatically only the regions-of-interest; and taking place in the obstacle avoidance context, as a method for collision risk estimation for vehicles in dynamic and unknown environments. Even if the PCC is a great tool to help the autonomous or semi-autonomous navigation, distortions in the imaging system, pixel noise, slight variations in the object＇s position relative to the camera, and other factors produce a false PCC threshold. Whereas there are homogeneous regions in the image, in order to obtain a more realistic Pearson＇s correlation, we propose to use some prior known environment information.

Inversion of time-domain airborne EM data with IP effect based on Pearson correlation constraints

Due to the induced polarization(IP)eff ect,the sign reversal often occurs in timedomain airborne electromagnetic(AEM)data.The inversions that do not consider IP eff ect cannot recover the true umderground electrical structures.In view of the fact that there are many parameters of airborne induced polarization data in time domain,and the sensitivity diff erence between parameters is large,which brings challenges to the stability and accuracy of the inversion.In this paper,we propose an inversion mehtod for time-domain AEM data with IP effect based on the Pearson correlation constraints.This method uses the Pearson correlation coeffi cient in statistics to characterize the correlation between the resistivity and the chargeability and constructs the Pearson correlation constraints for inverting the objective function to reduce the non uniqueness of inversion.To verify the eff ectiveness of this method,we perform both Occam’s inversion and Pearson correlation constrained inversion on the synthetic data.The experiments show that the Pearson correlation constrained inverison is more accurate and stable than the Occam’s inversion.Finally,we carried out the inversion to a survey dataset with and without IP eff ect.The results show that the data misfit and the continuity of the inverted section are greatly improved when the IP eff ect is considered.

Statistical analysis of fracture properties based on particle swarm optimization and Pearson correlation coefficient method

Prediction of reservoir fracture is the key to explore fracture-type reservoir. When a shear-wave propagates in anisotropic media containing fracture,it splits into two polarized shear waves: fast shear wave and slow shear wave. The polarization and time delay of the fast and slow shear wave can be used to predict the azimuth and density of fracture. The current identification method of fracture azimuth and fracture density is cross-correlation method. It is assumed that fast and slow shear waves were symmetrical wavelets after completely separating,and use the most similar characteristics of wavelets to identify fracture azimuth and density,but in the experiment the identification is poor in accuracy. Pearson correlation coefficient method is one of the methods for separating the fast wave and slow wave. This method is faster in calculating speed and better in noise immunity and resolution compared with the traditional cross-correlation method. Pearson correlation coefficient method is a non-linear problem,particle swarm optimization( PSO) is a good nonlinear global optimization method which converges fast and is easy to implement. In this study,PSO is combined with the Pearson correlation coefficient method to achieve identifying fracture property and improve the computational efficiency.

基于Pearson相关系数与广义S变换的低压直流微电网的故障选线方法

针对低压直流微电网线路的故障选线方法的研究有限,提出一种基于Pearson相关系数与广义S变换的故障选线方法。首先,介绍了低压直流微电网的一般组成。在此基础上,研究了低压直流微电网的单极故障以及极间故障的故障特征,提出选线方法,对各线路正负极首末端电流差进行Pearson相关系数计算来确定故障线路。然后对所选故障线路正负线路首端的电流量进行广义S变换,计算出其能量和的比值判别故障极性或者极间故障。最后,在PSCAD/EMTDC中搭建出低压直流微电网模型以输出各线路电流数据,并利用Matlab对数据进行仿真。结果表明,所提选线方法直接有效,且耐受过渡电阻的能力较强。

Spatio-temporal Variation Characteristics of Extreme Climate Events and Their Teleconnections to Large-scale Ocean-atmospheric Circulation Patterns in Huaihe River Basin,China During 1959–2019

Huaihe River Basin(HRB) is located in China’s north-south climatic transition zone,which is very sensitive to global climate change.Based on the daily maximum temperature,minimum temperature,and precipitation data of 40 meteorological stations and nine monthly large-scale ocean-atmospheric circulation indices data during 1959–2019,we present an assessment of the spatial and temporal variations of extreme temperature and precipitation events in the HRB using nine extreme climate indices,and analyze the teleconnection relationship between extreme climate indices and large-scale ocean-atmospheric circulation indices.The results show that warm extreme indices show a significant(P < 0.05) increasing trend,while cold extreme indices(except for cold spell duration) and diurnal temperature range(DTR) show a significant decreasing trend.Furthermore,all extreme temperature indices show significant mutations during 1959-2019.Spatially,a stronger warming trend occurs in eastern HRB than western HRB,while maximum 5-d precipitation(Rx5day) and rainstorm days(R25) show an increasing trend in the southern,central,and northwestern regions of HRB.Arctic oscillation(AO),Atlantic multidecadal oscillation(AMO),and East Atlantic/Western Russia(EA/WR) have a stronger correlation with extreme climate indices compared to other circulation indices.AO and AMO(EA/WR) exhibit a significant(P < 0.05) negative(positive)correlation with frost days and diurnal temperature range.Extreme warm events are strongly correlated with the variability of AMO and EA/WR in most parts of HRB,while extreme cold events are closely related to the variability of AO and AMO in eastern HRB.In contrast,AMO,AO,and EA/WR show limited impacts on extreme precipitation events in most parts of HRB.

融合SEIR与LSTM模型的传染病预测研究

针对现有的传染病预测模型未充分考虑时间序列的复杂度且预测性能不稳定等问题,提出一种基于传染病动力学模型SEIR与长短时记忆网络(LSTM)的传染病组合预测模型.首先,通过计算Pearson相关系数分析气候因素与传染病新增人数之间的相关性;其次,通过FE(Fuzzy Entropy)算法提取序列的局部特征且保证序列的平稳性,降低时间序列的复杂度,提升时间序列的可预测性;最后,根据传染病特点,构建SEIR模型分析不同人群传播情况,并结合LSTM模型实现大幅度提升传染病预测精度.仿真结果表明,相较于传统的模型算法,本文提出的混合模型能保证预测的平稳性并实现更高的预测精度,同时,本文使用该混合模型在不同的干预策略下进行预测,表明了提早采取防控措施对遏制传染病传播的重要性.

基于CD-BSMOTE的D-S证据融合变压器故障诊断

针对变压器油中溶解气体数据集不均衡特性对故障诊断结果的影响,提出一种基于清除临界点改进的边界合成少数类过采样算法均衡数据集和Pearson冲突距离改进D-S证据融合的变压器故障诊断模型。首先,对少数类样本进行均衡化处理,根据K-means聚类结果清除处于临界位置的样本;其次,搭建梯度提升树、随机森林、BP神经网络的故障诊断模型,实现变压器故障初步诊断;接着引入Pearson冲突距离改进D-S证据融合模型,实现诊断结果的融合决策;最后,经实际算例分析,诊断精确率达到92.65%。结果表明,所建模型能有效解决数据不平衡对诊断结果的影响,提高故障诊断精度。

基于VMD-Stacking集成学习的新能源发电功率预测模型

在“双碳”背景下,新能源发电功率的准确预测对于电力系统的平稳运行至关重要。提出了一种自适应性的VMD-Stacking集成模型,以解决数据集变化时传统学习模型预测精度不高的问题。利用皮尔逊相关系数选择与发电功率强相关的气象特征,通过变分模态分解(Variational mode decomposition,VMD)将功率数据分解为多个模态分量,由此构成新的数据集。运用贝叶斯优化算法调整超参数,综合评判随机森林等8种学习模型的评价指标,自适应选出预测性能最优的3种模型作为基学习器,并选用稳定性和泛化能力相对较强的线性回归(Linear Regression)作为元学习器,建立Stacking融合模型。对各分量的预测值叠加,得到最终预测结果。以某新能源场站为例,对风、光电站的发电功率进行预测。算例验证结果表明,该模型在面对不同数据集时,体现出较强的适应性,预测性能也得到显著的提升。

基于Pearson-KPCA和LSTM的伺服电机滚动轴承剩余寿命预测

针对伺服电机滚动轴承的寿命预测,提出一种基于皮尔逊相关系数及核主成分分析的长短时记忆网络预测方法。提取滚动轴承的时、频域信号,通过移动平均法进一步获取相关特征,并采用皮尔逊相关系数筛选高度相关特征指标,利用KPCA提取高度相关特征指标中的若干主成分;将第一主成分作为长短时记忆网络模型的输入对滚动轴承进行剩余寿命预测。采用IMS轴承数据集进行验证,得到的轴承寿命预测RMSE值和可决策系数值分别为0.0543和0.989。将其与长短期记忆网络模型和BP神经网络的预测结果进行对比,证明所提方法具有较高的精度。

基于IDBO-LSSVM的输电线路覆冰厚度预测模型

针对输电线路受多种气象因素影响导致覆冰厚度预测精度低的问题,提出基于改进蜣螂优化(improved dung beetle optimizer,IDBO)算法优化最小二乘支持向量机(least square support vector machine,LSSVM)的输电线路覆冰厚度预测模型。首先,使用皮尔逊相关系数(Pearson correlation coefficient,PCC)计算输电线路覆冰厚度与不同气象因素之间的相关性,选择具有高相关性的气象因素以确定输入变量;其次,通过引入Halton序列、Levy飞行策略和T分布扰动来改进蜣螂优化(dung beetle optimizer,DBO)算法;最后,使用IDBO算法寻优LSSVM参数:调节因子、核函数宽度,提高模型预测精度。以某地输电线路历史监测数据为样本,将IDBO-LSSVM的输电线路预测结果与其他7种预测模型进行比较,发现平均绝对误差分别降低了约27%、36%、25%、23%、24%、44%和39%。该研究证实了基于IDBO-LSSVM的输电线路覆冰厚度预测模型可以有效提高预测精度。

基于聚类分析和Pearson相关系数法的电网负荷数据清洗与去重

针对电网负荷数据存在冗余和价值密度低等问题,本文提出一种结合K-means算法与Pearson相关系数计算的集成学习方法,对负荷数据进行清洗与去重。设置仿真实验将某地区连续730日的负荷数据进行聚类、切片、排序、比对、去重等分析处理,得到清洗后的新数据集,将新数据集与原数据集代入相同的BP神经网络模型和随机森林模型进行负荷预测,实验结果表明新旧数据集具有相似的特征特性与数据挖掘潜力。与传统的数据去重方法相比,本文提出的数据清洗策略在进行训练集的预处理时,效率和准确度方面均有更好表现,可以为训练用于负荷预测的网络模型提供支持。

基于不同因子筛选方法的LightGBM-SHAP滑坡易发性研究

以重庆市黔江区为例,选取23个评价因子构建滑坡致灾因子数据库,利用地理探测器与皮尔逊-主成分分析2种因子筛选方法选择因子最优组合;基于Bayesian-LightGBM-SHAP混合模型进行滑坡易发性评价,并对模型精度进行验证,分析影响黔江区滑坡发生的主导因子.初始模型的AUC值为0.801,Pearson Correlation Coefficient-BayesianLightGBM模型AUC值为0.824,GeoDetector-Bayesian-LightGBM模型AUC为0.835;由因子重要性可知,多年平均降雨量、高程、POI核密度与距河流距离是滑坡发生的最主要因子,而输沙指数、水流动力指数与坡位对滑坡的发生影响较弱.因子筛选法-Bayesian-LightGBM相结合的混合模型能够提高模型的准确性,为构建合理因子数据库提供参考框架;通过与因子重要性的结合分析,验证了地理探测器能够准确探测各因子对滑坡发生的贡献值,突出各滑坡地理因子组合之间的相关性,从而探究各因子与滑坡之间的关系.

血清S-100B蛋白、可溶性凝集素样氧化低密度脂蛋白受体-1、胶质纤维酸性蛋白检测在新生儿缺血缺氧性脑病病情严重程度中的诊断价值

目的:探讨血清S-100B蛋白、可溶性凝集素样氧化低密度脂蛋白受体-1(sLOX-1)、胶质纤维酸性蛋白(GFAP)与新生儿缺血缺氧性脑病(HIE)病情严重程度的关系。方法:选择80例HIE患儿作为观察组,另选择90例健康新生儿作为对照组,收集所有患儿一般资料,并检测两组患儿血清S-100B蛋白、sLOX-1、GFAP水平,分析HIE患儿血清S-100B蛋白、sLOX-1、GFAP与病情严重程度的相关性及预后不良的影响因素。结果:对照组血清S-100B蛋白、sLOX-1、GFAP水平低于观察组(均P<0.05)。重度组血清S-100B蛋白、sLOX-1、GFAP水平高于中度组、轻度组和对照组(均P<0.05)。Pearson相关分析显示,疾病严重程度与HIE患儿血清S-100B蛋白、sLOX-1、GFAP水平呈正相关(均P<0.001)。随访预后良好患儿59例,预后不良21例,经多因素Logistic回归分析显示,产程异常、病情重度、S-100B蛋白、sLOX-1、GFAP为影响HIE患儿预后的危险因素(均P<0.05)。结论:HIE患儿病情严重程度和预后与血清S-100B蛋白、sLOX-1、GFAP水平有关,监测其水平变化有利于临床早期完善干预方案改善预后。

基于皮尔森相关系数的自适应SLIC超像素分割算法

针对简单线性迭代聚类(Simple Linear Iterative Clustering,SLIC)算法对不同图像自适应性差的问题,提出了一种基于皮尔森相关系数的自适应SLIC超像素图像分割算法。首先,通过量化非间隔进行图像预处理,并计算颜色熵作为图像复杂度,从而确定所需分割的超像素个数。其次,利用皮尔森相关系数作为相似性度量函数。最后,通过纹理特征对类内异常点进行滤除,确保种子点更新的准确性。实验结果表明,在超像素个数相同的情况下,基于皮尔森相关系数的自适应SLIC超像素图像分割算法相比主流超像素分割算法,可以获得更高的边缘命中率以及更低的欠分割率,性能优于LSC(Linear Spectral Clustering)、SLIC和SLIC0(Simple Linear Iterative Clustering Zero)算法。

基于Pearson相关性的雷达交叠信号识别

针对复杂电磁环境下多部雷达同时到达信号频域交叠时难以分选识别的问题,分析了信号交叠对于雷达信号识别模块性能的影响;在此基础上面向识别需求,基于Pearson算法研究了交叠信号分选的处理方法。从信息论视角来说,两个信号脉冲波形相关性越弱,则其所表达的信息量越大,特征相关度越低。在信号脉冲数一定时,基于Pearson算法可以选择相关性较弱的信号脉冲载波,以削弱同时信号交叠的影响。通过实验,发现利用选择后的弱相关信号脉冲载波特征来表达信号特性,能有效降低数据维度,尽可能减少信息丢失,有利于达到鲁棒的识别效果,因此该方法可为同时到达信号交叠下的信号识别提供有效途径参考。