Analysis of faulting destruction and water supply pipeline damage from the first mainshock of the February 6,2023 Türkiye earthquake doublet

In 2023,two consecutive earthquakes exceeding a magnitude of 7 occurred in Türkiye,causing severe casualties and economic losses.The damage to critical urban infrastructure and building structures,including highways,railroads,and water supply pipelines,was particularly severe in areas where these structures intersected the seismogenic fault.Critical infrastructure projects that traverse active faults are susceptible to the influence of fault movement,pulse velocity,and ground motions.In this study,we used a unique approach to analyze the acceleration records obtained from the seismic station array(9 strong ground motion stations)located along the East Anatolian Fault(the seismogenic fault of the MW7.8 mainshock of the 2023 Türkiye earthquake doublet).The acceleration records were filtered and integrated to obtain the velocity and displacement time histories.We used the results of an on-site investigation,jointly conducted by China Earthquake Administration and Türkiye’s AFAD,to analyze the distribution of PGA,PGV,and PGD recorded by the strong motion array of the East Anatolian Fault.We found that the maximum horizontal PGA in this earthquake was 3.0 g,and the maximum co-seismic surface displacement caused by the East Anatolian Fault rupture was 6.50 m.As the fault rupture propagated southwest,the velocity pulse caused by the directional effect of the rupture increased gradually,with the maximum PGA reaching 162.3 cm/s.We also discussed the seismic safety of critical infrastructure projects traversing active faults,using two case studies of water supply pipelines in Türkiye that were damaged by earthquakes.We used a three-dimensional finite element model of the PE(polyethylene)water pipeline at the Islahiye State Hospital and fault displacement observations obtained through on-site investigation to analyze pipeline failure mechanisms.We further investigated the effect of the fault-crossing angle on seismic safety of a pipeline,based on our analysis and the failure performance of the large-diameter Thames Water pipeline during the 1999 Kocaeli earthquake.The seismic method of buried pipelines crossing the fault was summarized.

Research on Leak Location Method of Water Supply Pipeline Based on MVMD

At present,the leakage rate of the water distribution network in China is still high,and the waste of water resources caused by water distribution network leakage is quite serious every year.Therefore,the location of pipeline leakage is of great significance for saving water resources and reducing economic losses.Acoustic emission technology is the most widely used pipeline leak location technology.The traditional non-stationary random signal de-noising method mainly relies on the estimation of noise parameters,ignoring periodic noise and components unrelated to pipeline leakage.Aiming at the above problems,this paper proposes a leak location method for water supply pipelines based on a multivariate variational mode decomposition algorithm.This method combines the two parameters of the energy loss coefficient and the correlation coefficient between adjacent modes,and adaptively determines the decomposition mode number K according to the characteristics of the signal itself.According to the correlation coefficient,the effective component is selected to reconstruct the signal and the cross-correlation time delay is estimated to determine the location of the pipeline leakage point.The experimental results show that this method has higher accuracy than the cross-correlation method based on VMD and the cross-correlation method based on EMD,and the average relative positioning error is less than 2.2%.

Landslide Zoning in Amir-Almoemenin (AS) Water Supply Pipeline Complex, North Khorasan

Landslide term is used for all mass movements on slopes, including falling, overturns and flow debris. Using the potential landslide hazard zonation, areas with high potential of landslide hazard can be detected and so prevent the landslide occurrence with providing appropriate solutions. In this study, the landslide hazard zonation along the water transmission lines of the Amir-Almomenin (AS) water supply complex has been done. Studied area is located at the western part of the Northern Khorasan (Bojnord). Study procedure includes the general geology survey, recognition of the most important effective parameters on the landslide phenomena (such as slope, lithology, faults and streams) and has been evaluated as basic maps. Then, each layer was validated based on the importance of the effective factors using the maps weighting method in ArcGis software. Finally, the studied area was zoned based on the landslide potential using the overlapping of the various layers. Final zonation map shows that the North, Northwestern and Median parts of the studied area have the highest landslide potential. These areas are included of Marl and red Marl and to some extend loss deposits with slopes between 14 to more of 50 degrees. Seemingly, faults (due to low occurrence) and streams (due to drought) have lower effect on the landslide potential. However, the degree of the slope and type of lithology are the most important parameters on the landslide potential, respectively.

A probabilistic estimation model for seismic physical portfolio loss of a water supply pipeline system

Losses due to hazards are inevitable and numerical simulations for estimations are complex.This study proposes a model for estimating correlated seismic damages and losses of a water supply pipeline system as an alternative for numerical simulations.The common approach in other research shows average damage spots per mesh estimated statistically independent to one another.Spatially distributed lifeline systems,such as water supply pipelines,are interconnected,and seismic spatial variability affects the damages across the region;thus,spatial correlation of damage spots is an important factor in target areas for portfolio loss estimation.Generally,simulations are used to estimate possible losses;however,these assume each damage behaves independently and uncorrelated.This paper assumed that damages per mesh behave in a Poisson distribution to avoid over-dispersion and eliminate negative losses in estimations.The purpose of this study is to obtain a probabilistic portfolio loss model of an extensive water supply area.The proposed model was compared to the numerical simulation data with the correlated Poisson distribution.The application of the Normal To Anything(NORTA)obtained correlations for Poisson Distributions.The proposed probabilistic portfolio loss model,based on the generalized linear model and central limit theory,estimated the possible losses,such as the Probable Maximum Loss(PML,90%non-exceedance)or Normal Expected Loss(NEL,50%non-exceedance).The proposed model can be used in other lifeline systems as well,though additional investigation is needed for confirmation.From the estimations,a seismic physical portfolio loss for the water supply system was presented.The portfolio was made to show possible outcomes for the system.The proposed method was tested and analyzed using an artificial field and a location-based scenario of a water supply pipeline system.This would aid in pre-disaster planning and would require only a few steps and time.

Back-Propagation Artificial Neural Networks for Water Supply Pipeline Model

Water supply pipelines are the lifelines of a city. When pipelines burst, the burst site is difficult to locate by traditional methods such as manual tools or only by watching. In this paper, the burst site was identified using back-propagation (BP) artificial neural networks (ANN). The study is based on an indoor urban water supply model experiment. The key to appling BP ANN is to optimize the ANN's topological structure and learning parameters. This paper presents the optimizing method for a 3-layer BP neural network's topological structure and its learning parameters-learning ratio and the momentum factor. The indoor water supply pipeline model experimental results show that BP ANNs can be used to locate the burst point in urban water supply systems. The topological structure and learning parameters were optimized using the experimental results.