Factors Influencing the Spatial Variability of Air Temperature Urban Heat Island Intensity in Chinese Cities

Few studies have investigated the spatial patterns of the air temperature urban heat island(AUHI)and its controlling factors.In this study,the data generated by an urban climate model were used to investigate the spatial variations of the AUHI across China and the underlying climate and ecological drivers.A total of 355 urban clusters were used.We performed an attribution analysis of the AUHI to elucidate the mechanisms underlying its formation.The results show that the midday AUHI is negatively correlated with climate wetness(humid:0.34 K;semi-humid:0.50 K;semi-arid:0.73 K).The annual mean midnight AUHI does not show discernible spatial patterns,but is generally stronger than the midday AUHI.The urban–rural difference in convection efficiency is the largest contributor to the midday AUHI in the humid(0.32±0.09 K)and the semi-arid(0.36±0.11 K)climate zones.The release of anthropogenic heat from urban land is the dominant contributor to the midnight AUHI in all three climate zones.The rural vegetation density is the most important driver of the daytime and nighttime AUHI spatial variations.A spatial covariance analysis revealed that this vegetation influence is manifested mainly through its regulation of heat storage in rural land.

Spatial Variation in CO_(2) Concentration Improves the Simulated Surface Air Temperature Increase in the Northern Hemisphere

The increasing concentration of atmospheric CO_(2) since the Industrial Revolution has affected surface air temperature.However,the impact of the spatial distribution of atmospheric CO_(2) concentration on surface air temperature biases remains highly unclear.By incorporating the spatial distribution of satellite-derived atmospheric CO_(2) concentration in the Beijing Normal University Earth System Model,this study investigated the increase in surface air temperature since the Industrial Revolution in the Northern Hemisphere(NH) under historical conditions from 1976-2005.In comparison with the increase in surface temperature simulated using a uniform distribution of CO_(2),simulation with a nonuniform distribution of CO_(2)produced better agreement with the Climatic Research Unit(CRU) data in the NH under the historical condition relative to the baseline over the period 1901-30.Hemispheric June-July-August(JJA) surface air temperature increased by 1.28℃ ±0.29℃ in simulations with a uniform distribution of CO_(2),by 1.00℃±0.24℃ in simulations with a non-uniform distribution of CO_(2),and by 0.24℃ in the CRU data.The decrease in downward shortwave radiation in the non-uniform CO_(2) simulation was primarily attributable to reduced warming in Eurasia,combined with feedbacks resulting from increased leaf area index(LAI) and latent heat fluxes.These effects were more pronounced in the non-uniform CO_(2)simulation compared to the uniform CO_(2) simulation.Results indicate that consideration of the spatial distribution of CO_(2)concentration can reduce the overestimated increase in surface air temperature simulated by Earth system models.

On the long-term memory characteristic in land surface air temperatures:How well do CMIP6 models perform?

利用去趋势涨落分析(DFA)方法计算序列的长程记忆性(LTM),以CRUTEM5数据集的结果作为观测参照,评估了60个参与第六次国际耦合模式比较计划(CMIP6)的气候模式对地表气温LTM的再现能力.结果表明:大部分模式可以再现全球平均地表气温序列的LTM特征,其中AWI-ESM-1-1-LR和E3SM-1-0的模拟效果最好;60个模式均能模拟LTM随纬度带的变化;综合来说,全球水平上CNRM-CM6-1和HadGEM3-GC31-LL对地表气温LTM的模拟性能最好;多模式平均相比单一模式模拟性能更好;多模式平均与观测结果的偏差以及模式之间的模拟差异显著体现在赤道和沿海区域,这种偏差可能源于模式对海气耦合过程的模拟差异.

Absorptive root-multidimension strategy links air temperature and species distribution in a montane forest

Background: Air temperature affects absorptive root traits, which are closely related to species distribution.However, it is still unclear how air temperature regulates species distribution through changes in absorptive root traits. Seven functional traits of the absorptive roots of 240 individuals of 52 species, soil properties and air temperature were measured along an elevational gradient on Mt. Fanjingshan, Tongren City, Guizhou, and then the direct and indirect effects of these controls on species distribution were detected.Results: Absorptive roots adapted to air temperature with two strategies. The first strategy was positively associated with the specific root area(SRA) and specific root length(SRL) and was negatively associated with the root tissue density(RTD), representing the classic root economics spectrum(RES). The second strategy was represented by the trade-off between root diameter, mycorrhizal fungi colonization(MF) and SRL, representing the collaboration gradient with “do it yourself” resource uptake ranging from “outsourcing” to mycorrhizal resource uptake. Air temperature regulated species distribution in six ways: directly reducing species importance value;indirectly increasing the species importance value by reducing soil nitrogen content or increasing soil pH by reducing soil moisture inducing absorptive roots to change from “do it yourself” resource absorption to “outsourcing” resource absorption;indirectly decreasing the species importance value by decreasing soil moisture to change from“outsourcing”resource absorption to “do it yourself” resource absorption;indirectly increasing the species importance value with increasing soil pH by reducing soil moisture resulting in absorptive root traits turning into nutrient foraging traits;and indirectly decreasing the species importance value by promoting absorptive root traits to nutrient conservation traits.Conclusions: Absorptive root traits play a crucial role in the regulation of species distribution through multiapproaches of air temperature.

Modeling of Air Temperature for Heat Exchange due to Vertical Turbulence and Horizontal Air Flow

In order to calculate the air temperature of the near surface layer in urban environment,the surface layer air was divided into several layers in the vertical direction,and some energy balance equations were developed for each air layer,in which the heat exchange due to vertical turbulence and horizontal air flow was taken into account.Then,the vertical temperature distribution of the surface layer air was obtained through the coupled calculation using the energy balance equations of underlying surfaces and building walls.Moreover,the measured air temperatures in a small area(with a horizontal scale of less than 500 m)and a large area(with a horizontal scale of more than 1 000 m)in Guangzhou in summer were used to validate the proposed model.The calculated results agree well with the measured ones,with a maximum relative error of 4.18%.It is thus concluded that the proposed model is a high-accuracy method to theoretically analyze the urban heat island and the thermal environment.

A Hybrid Statistical-Dynamical Downscaling of Air Temperature over Scandinavia Using the WRF Model

An accurate simulation of air temperature at local scales is crucial for the vast majority of weather and climate applications.In this work,a hybrid statistical–dynamical downscaling method and a high-resolution dynamical-only downscaling method are applied to daily mean,minimum and maximum air temperatures to investigate the quality of localscale estimates produced by downscaling.These two downscaling approaches are evaluated using station observation data obtained from the Finnish Meteorological Institute over a near-coastal region of western Finland.The dynamical downscaling is performed with the Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF)model,and the statistical downscaling method implemented is the Cumulative Distribution Function-transform(CDF-t).The CDF-t is trained using 20 years of WRF-downscaled Climate Forecast System Reanalysis data over the region at a 3-km spatial resolution for the central month of each season.The performance of the two methods is assessed qualitatively,by inspection of quantile-quantile plots,and quantitatively,through the Cramer-von Mises,mean absolute error,and root-mean-square error diagnostics.The hybrid approach is found to provide significantly more skillful forecasts of the observed daily mean and maximum air temperatures than those of the dynamical-only downscaling(for all seasons).The hybrid method proves to be less computationally expensive,and also to give more skillful temperature forecasts(at least for the Finnish near-coastal region).

Variable Daily Air Temperature Model for Analysis and Design

An analytical model, TA(t), for the observed outside air temperature change, Ta(t), with time is developed using two components: one for the variation caused by the Earth’s movement, plus any other quasi-stationary thermodynamic effects due to industrialization;and one for the random variation caused by stochastic and/or chaotic, local environmental changes. The first component, TR(t), describes a regular trend, expressed by periodic functions of time and constants unchanged with time. The second component, TS, is a random, stochastic variation. For the observed outside air temperature, the analytical model of TA(t)=TR(t) +TS is such as to give a statistically best approximation for the observed time period with = min. Several versions for the TR(t) functions are defined and tested in the study for an example location for 20 years. The best model for TR(t) t is found as a linear function with time plus a variable-coefficient Fourier series with linearly changing amplitude with time. It is found that the final analytical temperature, TA(t), can be used not only to represent the historical daily mean temperature but also to predict the future daily mean temperature at the given location. The upper and lower boundaries give safety limits for the temperature prediction. The stochastic component identified in the model is stable and stationary. The method of model identification for TA(t) can be used for determining input temperature functions for supporting engineering design;or for an unbiased scientific inquiry of temperature change with time in climate studies.

Near ground air temperature calculation model based on heat transfer of vertical turbulent and horizontal air flow

In order to calculate the air temperature of the near surface layer in urban environment,the surface layer air was divided into several sections in the vertical direction,and some energy balance equations were developed for each air layer,in which the heat exchange due to vertical turbulence and horizontal air flow was taken into account.Then,the vertical temperature distribution of the surface layer air was obtained through the coupled calculation using the energy balance equations of underlying surfaces and building walls.Moreover,the measured air temperatures in a small area(with a horizontal scale of less than 500 m) and a large area(with a horizontal scale of more than 1 000 m) in Guangzhou in summer were used to validate the proposed model.The calculated results accord well with the measured ones,with a maximum relative error of 4.18%.It is thus concluded that the proposed model is a high-accuracy method to theoretically analyze the urban heat island and the thermal environment.

A Preliminary Analysis of the Relationship between Longan Canopy Temperature and Air Temperature during Overwintering Period

[Objective] The study aimed to provide supports for developing chilling and freezing injury monitoring and disaster damage assessment of longan(Dimocarpus Longan Lour.).[Method] Based on field observation data,the relationships between longan canopy temperature and air temperature under different weather types(sunny,cloudy to sunny,cloudy,rainy,radiation chilling injury and advection chilling injury)in 2007-2008 winter were analyzed.[Result] Diurnal variations of longan canopy temperature under sunny and radiation chilling injury weather conditions were most dramatic,followed with those under cloudy to sunny condition,while variations under cloudy,rainy and advection chilling injury conditions were mild.Diurnal variations of orchard air temperature were also closely related to weather types.By using linear and curvilinear regression methods,the relationship models between longan canopy temperature and observation station air temperature were established.The models for cloudy,rainy and advection chilling injury had better effects than those for sunny,cloudy to sunny and radiation chilling injury;the models for night were better than those for daytime and the whole day.[Conclusion] To some extent,applying the relationship models between longan canopy temperature and observation station air temperature could make up the shortcoming of meteorological data which were higher than the real values.

Plant Temperature and Its Simulation Model of Thermo-Sensitive Genic Male Sterile Rice

Plant temperature （Tp） and its relations to the microclimate of rice colony and irrigation water were studied using a thermo-sensitive genic male sterile （TGMS） rice line, Pei＇ai 64S. Significant differences in the daily change of temperature were detected between Tp and air temperature at the height of 150 cm （TA）. From 8：00 to 20：00, Tp was lower than TA, but they were similar during 21：00 to next 7：00. The maximum Tp occurred one hour earlier than the maximum TA, though they both reached the minimum at 6：00. Tp fluctuated less than TA. At the same height, during 6：00-13：00, Tp was higher than air temperature （Ta）, and Tp reached the maximum one hour earlier than Ta. During the rest time on sunny day, Tp was close to or even a little lower than Ta. On overcast day, Tp was higher than Ta in the whole day, and both maximized at the same time. In addition, Tp was regulated by solar radiation, cloudage and wind speed in daytime, and by irrigation water at night. The present study indicated that a TA of 29.6℃ was the critical point, at which Tp was increased or decreased by irrigation water. Tp and the difference between water and air temperatures showed a conic relation. Tp fluctuation was also regulated by the absorption or reflection of solar radiation by leaves during daytime and release of heat energy during nighttime. By analysis on correlation and regression simulation, two models of Tp were established.

Effects of Photosynthetically Active Radiation and Air Temperature on CO_2 Uptake of Pterocarpus macrocarpus in the Open Field

Since trees and plants can absorb CO2, forests are widely regarded as a carbon sink that may control the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere. The CO2 uptake rate of plants is affected by the plant species and environmental conditions such as photosynthetically active radiation (PAR), temperature, water and nutrient contents. PAR is the most immediate environmental control on photosynthesis while air temperature affects both photorespiration and dark respiration. In the natural condition, PAR and temperature play an important role in net CO2 uptake. The effects of PAR and air temperature on the CO2 uptake of Pterocarpus macrocarpus grown in a natural habitat were studied in the present work. Due to many uncontrollable factors, a simple rectangular hyperbola could not represent the measured data. The data were divided into groups of 2oC intervals; CO2 uptake in each group may then be related to PAR by a rectangular hyperbola function. Using the obtained functions, the effect of PAR was removed from the original data. The PAR-independent CO2 uptake was then related to air temperature. Finally, the effects of PAR (I) and air temperature (Ta) on the CO2 uptake rate (A) were combined as: (-0.0575Ta2+2.6691Ta-23.264)I A= ——————————————— (-0.00766Ta2+0.40666Ta-3.99924) (-4.8794Ta2+227.13Ta-2456.9)+I

Simulation of the Effect of an Increase in Methane on Air Temperature

The infrared radiative effect of methane was analyzed using the 2D, interactive chemical dynamical radiative SOCRATES model of the National Center for Atmospheric Research. Then, a sensitivity experi ment, with the methane volume mixing ratio increased by 10%, was carried out to study the influence of an increase of methane on air temperature. The results showed that methane has a heating effect through the infrared radiative process in the troposphere and a cooling effect in the stratosphere. However, the cooling effect of the methane is much smaller than that of water vapor in the stratosphere and is negligible in the mesosphere. The simulation results also showed that when methane concentration is increased by 10%, the air temperature lowers in the stratosphere and mesosphere and increases in the troposphere. The cooling can reach 0.2 K at the stratopause and can vary from 0.2-0.4 K in the mesosphere, and the temperature rise varies by around 0.001-0.002 K in the troposphere. The cooling results from the increase of the infrared radiative cooling rate caused by increased water vapor and O3 concentration, which are stimulated by the increase in methane in most of the stratosphere. The infrared radiation cooling of methane itself is minor. The depletion of O3 stimulated by the methane increase results indirectly in a decrease in the rate of so- lar radiation heating, producing cooling in the stratopause and mesosphere. The tropospheric warming is mainly caused by the increase of methane, which produces infrared radiative heating. The increase in H2O and O3 caused by the methane increase also contributes to a rise in temperature in the troposphere.

具有时滞效应的air2stream河流水温模型及应用研究

高精度河流水温模型对于深入了解水温的时空变化特征和河流生态修复具有重要意义。基于数据驱动的air2stream模型在保证预测精度的同时,避免了计算的复杂性,已成为河流水温模拟常用的模型。由于水的热惯性及水文条件等的影响,河流水温变化往往显著滞后于气温变化,而air2stream原模型并未考虑滞后效应,导致该模型在流量未知情况下实际精度偏低。为解决该问题,采用气温-水温皮尔逊相关系数计算时滞天数,构建具有时滞的air2stream新模型,进一步根据长江中下游地区两个监测站的多年实测数据验证新模型的有效性和稳定性。结果表明:新模型在不引进额外观测数据的条件下具有更高精度且性能更稳定。相比原模型,在两个监测站新模型的均方根误差分别降低约4.29%和5.85%。新模型具有精度高、水文要素需求少的特点,可为长江中下游的水环境影响评价和生态保护提供依据。

Interaction between Soil Moisture and Air Temperature in the Mississippi River Basin

Increasing air temperatures are expected to continue in the future. The relation between soil moisture and near surface air temperature is significant for climate change and climate extremes. Evaluation of the relations between soil moisture and temperature was performed by developing a quantile regression model, a wavelet coherency model, and a Mann-Kendall correlation model from 1950 to 2010 in the Mississippi River Basin. The results indicate that first, anomaly air temperature is negatively correlated to anomaly soil moisture in the upper and lower basin, and however, the correlation between them are mixed in the middle basin. The correlation is stronger at the higher quantile (90th) of the two variables. Second, anomaly soil moisture and air temperature show strong coherency in annual frequency, indicating that the two variables are interannually correlated. Third, annual air temperature is significant negatively related to soil moisture, indicating that dry (wet) soil leads to warm (cool) weather in the basin. These results have potential application to future climate change research and water resource management. Also, the strong relationship between soil moisture and air temperature at annual scale could result in improved temperature predictability.

干式车载牵引变压器绕组区域动态温度计算模型

干式车载牵引变压器质量轻、安全系数高,但其内部热场随运行环境及负荷状态频繁波动。为实现干式车载牵引变压器绕组动态温度的快速计算,基于热电类比原理搭建分布式动态热网络拓扑结构,并借助CFD模型开展仿真试验,探究运行参数和风道尺寸对散热性能的影响,提出风道出口温度计算方法;基于干式车载牵引变压器绕组温升试验平台,验证动态温度计算模型的有效性。结果表明:针对不同结构参数和时变运行场景,所建绕组动态温度计算模型均能准确获取绕组区域温度分布及动态变化情况,相比CFD数值仿真节省99%以上的时间成本,有助于干式车载牵引变压器热容量的合理规划和设计效率的进一步提高。

造纸机干燥部排风系统节能优化设计研究

为实现针对造纸机干燥部排风系统的节能优化,降低造纸企业的生产经营成本,收集了某造纸企业提供的干燥部信息管理系统数据并建立了服务于排风系统节能优化的弹性网络模型。通过该模型对干燥部排风系统内各个排风机的排风温湿度进行预测,发现弹性网络模型对排风机排风温湿度的预测效果显著优于支持向量回归模型。因此,基于弹性网络的节能优化模型应用于110 g/m^(2)红杉纸、90 g/m^(2)挂面箱板纸、120 g/m^(2)挂面箱板纸等3条产品线的排风系统参数调节工作中。根据生产应用结果发现,3条纸张产品生产线经过参数调节后的吨绝干纸干燥成本依次下降了0.72%、0.68%、1.07%,体现出了较为理想的节能优化效果。

考虑空气源热泵负荷聚合参与的需求响应

基于“电网-聚合商-负荷”三级架构,提出空气源热泵负荷聚合参与需求响应的控制策略。供暖运营商作为热泵负荷的聚合商,在保证用户热舒适度的基础上,利用建筑本身的蓄能能力,结合分时电价最小化供热成本,并对负荷可调节潜力进行评估。当电网调度部门下发调控指令后,考虑用户舒适度和电网调节需求,基于多目标遗传算法分配各负荷调节量,在满足调控目标的同时可改善调控带来的聚合功率振荡、反弹负荷大等问题。最后,仿真验证所提策略的有效性。

基于冠气温差的温室黄瓜蒸散量模拟

通过建立基于不同时刻冠气温差(T c-T a)的温室黄瓜日蒸散量(ET c)估算模型,分析了基于不同时刻T c-T a对估算ET c的准确性;同时,基于T c-T a构建了估算黄瓜不同生育期ET c的Jackson模型,并将模型估算结果与基于冠层阻力参数(r c)的Penman-Monteith模型及蒸渗仪实测数据进行比较,结果显示,基于14:00的T c-T a构建的Jackson模型,估算温室黄瓜ET c的精确度最高(R 2为0.937),误差最小(RMSE为0.722 mm/d);相比Penman-Monteith模型(R 2为0.964),基于T c-T a的Jackson经验模型对黄瓜ET c估算结果与实测值相关性更高(R 2为0.967),误差更小(RMSE为0.735 mm/d).研究结果可为温室ET c模拟以及节水灌溉智能决策提供科学依据.

深埋高温硐室围岩开挖损伤规律研究

深部工程的高地应力与高地温问题将对地下资源开采和空间利用构成严峻挑战。通过建立深埋高温硐室爆破–卸荷–降温全过程的数值模型,并嵌入率相关岩石本构关系反映钻爆开挖和通风降温过程中的岩体动静态力学响应,分析了不同地应力条件下围岩开挖损伤的时空演化规律。计算结果表明:围岩在动态开挖过程中会由于爆破、卸荷或两者的共同作用产生初始动力损伤,而硐室通风冷却过程所诱发的热应力将在保留岩体中造成额外的热力损伤。在静水应力条件下,围岩动力损伤随地应力量级的提高表现出先减弱后增强的演化趋势,降温损伤则随地应力的上升而单调增大。在非静水应力条件下,硐室拱顶和拱腰附近岩体的动力损伤将随侧压力系数的增大而分别表现出先减小后增大和单调增大的演化趋势;在通风冷却阶段,应力水平较低的拱腰附近未产生显著的热力损伤,而拱顶围岩的热力损伤则随侧压力系数的提升而逐渐增强。

区域海气耦合模式对黄渤海周边近地层温湿预报的性能研究

相对中国其他海域,三面环陆的黄渤海区域海洋与中纬度大气间的相互作用有其独特性,在该区域开展海气耦合模式对气象要素的影响研究十分必要。本文基于大气和海洋的全球预报和再分析资料,利用高分辨率区域海气耦合模式(简称耦合模式)和非耦合模式,开展数值模拟试验。并根据国家地面常规气象观测站和埕北石油A平台实况观测资料,对比分析了2020年6月两种模式对近地层大气温湿要素预报结果,并结合海温、海气热通量变化和风场调整情况,分析了海气双向耦合过程对近地层温湿要素预报影响的原因。结果表明:耦合模式对近地层的湿度要素预报改进较大,以增湿效应为主;海气双向耦合对温湿要素的影响范围可扩展至黄渤海周边省市全域,可提升耦合模式对黄渤海周边区域近地层湿度和白天温度的预报效果;湿度对海气双向耦合的响应速度明显快于温度,说明耦合模式先改进了近地层湿度预报效果;耦合模式海表向上的潜热通量增加是近地层温湿要素预报改进的主要原因。