Under the demand of urban expansion and the constraints of China’s’National Main Functional Area Planning’policy,urban agglomerations are facing with a huge contradiction between land utilization and ecological pro...Under the demand of urban expansion and the constraints of China’s’National Main Functional Area Planning’policy,urban agglomerations are facing with a huge contradiction between land utilization and ecological protection,especially for HarbinChangchun urban agglomeration who owns a large number of land used for the protection of agricultural production and ecological function.To alleviate this contradiction and provide insight into future land use patterns under different ecological constraints’scenarios,we introduced the patch-based land use simulation(PLUS)model and simulated urban expansion of the Harbin-Changchun urban agglomeration.After verifying the accuracy of the simulation result in 2018,we predicted future urban expansion under the constraints of three different ecological scenarios in 2026.The morphological spatial pattern analysis(MSPA)method and minimum cumulative resistance(MCR)model were also introduced to identify different levels of ecological security pattern(ESP)as ecological constraints.The predicted result of the optimal protection(OP)scenario showed less proportion of water and forest than those of natural expansion(NE)and basic protection(BP)scenarios in 2026.The conclusions are that the PLUS model can improve the simulation accuracy at urban agglomeration scale compared with other cellular automata(CA)models,and the future urban expansion under OP scenario has the least threat to the ecosystem,while the expansion under the natural expansion(NE)scenario poses the greatest threat to the ecosystem.Combined with the MSPA and MCR methods,PLUS model can also be used in other spatial simulations of urban agglomerations under ecological constraints.展开更多
Considering a recent proposition on this journal that the endemic Xinjiang Ground Jay (Podoces biddulphi) would be expanding its range to Qinghai and Gansu, a previously overlooked statement has been found in old lite...Considering a recent proposition on this journal that the endemic Xinjiang Ground Jay (Podoces biddulphi) would be expanding its range to Qinghai and Gansu, a previously overlooked statement has been found in old literature suggesting that this species has occurred in Gansu at least since the 19th century. The phreatophytic vegetation this desert bird requires likely constrains its distribution. Therefore, although the desert expansion the current global climate warming is producing may make the Xinjiang Ground Jay expand its range, only well-preserved desert might be colonized. Future research in apparently suitable areas, at present inhabited by the Mongolian Ground Jay (P. hendersoni) instead, might make the ecology of these two mutually exclusive species better understood.展开更多
基金Under the auspices of National Key R&D Program of China(No.2018YFC0704705)。
文摘Under the demand of urban expansion and the constraints of China’s’National Main Functional Area Planning’policy,urban agglomerations are facing with a huge contradiction between land utilization and ecological protection,especially for HarbinChangchun urban agglomeration who owns a large number of land used for the protection of agricultural production and ecological function.To alleviate this contradiction and provide insight into future land use patterns under different ecological constraints’scenarios,we introduced the patch-based land use simulation(PLUS)model and simulated urban expansion of the Harbin-Changchun urban agglomeration.After verifying the accuracy of the simulation result in 2018,we predicted future urban expansion under the constraints of three different ecological scenarios in 2026.The morphological spatial pattern analysis(MSPA)method and minimum cumulative resistance(MCR)model were also introduced to identify different levels of ecological security pattern(ESP)as ecological constraints.The predicted result of the optimal protection(OP)scenario showed less proportion of water and forest than those of natural expansion(NE)and basic protection(BP)scenarios in 2026.The conclusions are that the PLUS model can improve the simulation accuracy at urban agglomeration scale compared with other cellular automata(CA)models,and the future urban expansion under OP scenario has the least threat to the ecosystem,while the expansion under the natural expansion(NE)scenario poses the greatest threat to the ecosystem.Combined with the MSPA and MCR methods,PLUS model can also be used in other spatial simulations of urban agglomerations under ecological constraints.
文摘Considering a recent proposition on this journal that the endemic Xinjiang Ground Jay (Podoces biddulphi) would be expanding its range to Qinghai and Gansu, a previously overlooked statement has been found in old literature suggesting that this species has occurred in Gansu at least since the 19th century. The phreatophytic vegetation this desert bird requires likely constrains its distribution. Therefore, although the desert expansion the current global climate warming is producing may make the Xinjiang Ground Jay expand its range, only well-preserved desert might be colonized. Future research in apparently suitable areas, at present inhabited by the Mongolian Ground Jay (P. hendersoni) instead, might make the ecology of these two mutually exclusive species better understood.
