State of health prediction for lithium-ion batteries based on ensemble Gaussian process regression

The performance of lithium-ion batteries(LIBs)gradually declines over time,making it critical to predict the battery’s state of health(SOH)in real-time.This paper presents a model that incorporates health indicators and ensemble Gaussian process regression(EGPR)to predict the SOH of LIBs.Firstly,the degradation process of an LIB is analyzed through indirect health indicators(HIs)derived from voltage and temperature during discharge.Next,the parameters in the EGPR model are optimized using the gannet optimization algorithm(GOA),and the EGPR is employed to estimate the SOH of LIBs.Finally,the proposed model is tested under various experimental scenarios and compared with other machine learning models.The effectiveness of EGPR model is demonstrated using the National Aeronautics and Space Administration(NASA)LIB.The root mean square error(RMSE)is maintained within 0.20%,and the mean absolute error(MAE)is below 0.16%,illustrating the proposed approach’s excellent predictive accuracy and wide applicability.

A review of data-driven whole-life state of health prediction for lithium-ion batteries:Data preprocessing,aging characteristics,algorithms,and future challenges

Lithium-ion batteries are the preferred green energy storage method and are equipped with intelligent battery management systems(BMSs)that efficiently manage the batteries.This not only ensures the safety performance of the batteries but also significantly improves their efficiency and reduces their damage rate.Throughout their whole life cycle,lithium-ion batteries undergo aging and performance degradation due to diverse external environments and irregular degradation of internal materials.This degradation is reflected in the state of health(SOH)assessment.Therefore,this review offers the first comprehensive analysis of battery SOH estimation strategies across the entire lifecycle over the past five years,highlighting common research focuses rooted in data-driven methods.It delves into various dimensions such as dataset integration and preprocessing,health feature parameter extraction,and the construction of SOH estimation models.These approaches unearth hidden insights within data,addressing the inherent tension between computational complexity and estimation accuracy.To enha nce support for in-vehicle implementation,cloud computing,and the echelon technologies of battery recycling,remanufacturing,and reuse,as well as to offer insights into these technologies,a segmented management approach will be introduced in the future.This will encompass source domain data processing,multi-feature factor reconfiguration,hybrid drive modeling,parameter correction mechanisms,and fulltime health management.Based on the best SOH estimation outcomes,health strategies tailored to different stages can be devised in the future,leading to the establishment of a comprehensive SOH assessment framework.This will mitigate cross-domain distribution disparities and facilitate adaptation to a broader array of dynamic operation protocols.This article reviews the current research landscape from four perspectives and discusses the challenges that lie ahead.Researchers and practitioners can gain a comprehensive understanding of battery SOH estimation methods,offering valuable insights for the development of advanced battery management systems and embedded application research.

Accuracy comparison and improvement for state of health estimation of lithium-ion battery based on random partial recharges and feature engineering

State of health(SOH)estimation of e-mobilities operated in real and dynamic conditions is essential and challenging.Most of existing estimations are based on a fixed constant current charging and discharging aging profiles,which overlooked the fact that the charging and discharging profiles are random and not complete in real application.This work investigates the influence of feature engineering on the accuracy of different machine learning(ML)-based SOH estimations acting on different recharging sub-profiles where a realistic battery mission profile is considered.Fifteen features were extracted from the battery partial recharging profiles,considering different factors such as starting voltage values,charge amount,and charging sliding windows.Then,features were selected based on a feature selection pipeline consisting of filtering and supervised ML-based subset selection.Multiple linear regression(MLR),Gaussian process regression(GPR),and support vector regression(SVR)were applied to estimate SOH,and root mean square error(RMSE)was used to evaluate and compare the estimation performance.The results showed that the feature selection pipeline can improve SOH estimation accuracy by 55.05%,2.57%,and 2.82%for MLR,GPR and SVR respectively.It was demonstrated that the estimation based on partial charging profiles with lower starting voltage,large charge,and large sliding window size is more likely to achieve higher accuracy.This work hopes to give some insights into the supervised ML-based feature engineering acting on random partial recharges on SOH estimation performance and tries to fill the gap of effective SOH estimation between theoretical study and real dynamic application.

State-of-health estimation for fast-charging lithium-ion batteries based on a short charge curve using graph convolutional and long short-term memory networks

A fast-charging policy is widely employed to alleviate the inconvenience caused by the extended charging time of electric vehicles. However, fast charging exacerbates battery degradation and shortens battery lifespan. In addition, there is still a lack of tailored health estimations for fast-charging batteries;most existing methods are applicable at lower charging rates. This paper proposes a novel method for estimating the health of lithium-ion batteries, which is tailored for multi-stage constant current-constant voltage fast-charging policies. Initially, short charging segments are extracted by monitoring current switches,followed by deriving voltage sequences using interpolation techniques. Subsequently, a graph generation layer is used to transform the voltage sequence into graphical data. Furthermore, the integration of a graph convolution network with a long short-term memory network enables the extraction of information related to inter-node message transmission, capturing the key local and temporal features during the battery degradation process. Finally, this method is confirmed by utilizing aging data from 185 cells and 81 distinct fast-charging policies. The 4-minute charging duration achieves a balance between high accuracy in estimating battery state of health and low data requirements, with mean absolute errors and root mean square errors of 0.34% and 0.66%, respectively.

Acceptability of Immunization against COVID-19 by the Populations of the Kasenga State Health Area in the Uvira Health Zone, DR Congo

Introduction: COVID-19 was an emerging disease putting all public health systems in countries around the world in a state of emergency. To be able to prevent its spread and morbidity and mortality, several appropriate strategies were necessary, such as vaccination. The latter has been the subject of controversy. The objective of the present study is therefore to evaluate the factors associated with the acceptance of this vaccine within the population of the Kasenga State Health Area. A result which will shed light on future strategies to be put in place for possible new vaccines. Methodology: Is a prospective and analytical cross-sectional study conducted over a period of approximately 1 month from January 5 to February 5, 2024. A survey questionnaire in Kobotoolbox was useful for collecting data. STATA software was very important for us in analyzing the data collected. Results: Prevalence of vaccination against COVID-19 among the population of the Kasenga State Health Area is 37.5% (28.4 - 45.6). The study revealed that reluctance is observed among most of the population for different reasons, including, first and foremost, the deliberate aspect of not wanting to take the vaccine (46.6%) and rumors that this antigen is dangerous and harmful (32.9%). 72.5% of respondents believe that the COVID-19 vaccine is a fabrication, unhealthy and that the disease itself never existed. The study proved that there was a statistical relationship between age (p = 0.001) and adherence to vaccination. And the refusal of respondents to recommend the vaccine to loved ones was a factor associated with non-adherence to vaccination (OR = 7.901, 95% IC [3.028 - 20.615], p = 0.000). Conclusion: Vaccination against COVID-19 was not well accepted by the population of the study site. Raising public awareness and involving community leaders and political-administrative authorities, which has not been done well, would play an important role in the good perception of the disease, of the vaccine and therefore in its adherence.

Statistical Models for Condition Monitoring and State of Health Estimation of Lithium-Ion Batteries for Ships

Battery systems are increasingly being used for powering ocean going ships,and the number of fully electric or hybrid ships relying on battery power for propulsion is growing.To ensure the safety of such ships,it is important to monitor the available energy that can be stored in the batteries,and classification societies typically require the state of health(SOH)to be verified by independent tests.This paper addresses statistical modeling of SOH for maritime lithium-ion batteries based on operational sensor data.Various methods for sensor-based,data-driven degradation monitoring will be presented,and advantages and challenges with the different approaches will be discussed.The different approaches include cumulative degradation models and snapshot models,models that need to be trained and models that need no prior training,and pure data-driven models and physics-informed models.Some of the methods only rely on measured data,such as current,voltage,and temperature,whereas others rely on derived quantities such as state of charge.Models include simple statistical models and more complicated machine learning techniques.Insight from this exploration will be important in establishing a framework for data-driven diagnostics and prognostics of maritime battery systems within the scope of classification societies.

Estimating the State of Health for Lithium-ion Batteries:A Particle Swarm Optimization-Assisted Deep Domain Adaptation Approach

The state of health(SOH)is a critical factor in evaluating the performance of the lithium-ion batteries(LIBs).Due to various end-user behaviors,the LIBs exhibit different degradation modes,which makes it challenging to estimate the SOHs in a personalized way.In this article,we present a novel particle swarm optimization-assisted deep domain adaptation(PSO-DDA)method to estimate the SOH of LIBs in a personalized manner,where a new domain adaptation strategy is put forward to reduce cross-domain distribution discrepancy.The standard PSO algorithm is exploited to automatically adjust the chosen hyperparameters of developed DDA-based method.The proposed PSODDA method is validated by extensive experiments on two LIB datasets with different battery chemistry materials,ambient temperatures and charge-discharge configurations.Experimental results indicate that the proposed PSO-DDA method surpasses the convolutional neural network-based method and the standard DDA-based method.The Py Torch implementation of the proposed PSO-DDA method is available at https://github.com/mxt0607/PSO-DDA.

A Joint Estimation Method of SOC and SOH for Lithium-ion Battery Considering Cyber-Attacks Based on GA-BP

To improve the estimation accuracy of state of charge(SOC)and state of health(SOH)for lithium-ion batteries,in this paper,a joint estimation method of SOC and SOH at charging cut-off voltage based on genetic algorithm(GA)combined with back propagation(BP)neural network is proposed,the research addresses the issue of data manipulation resulting fromcyber-attacks.Firstly,anomalous data stemming fromcyber-attacks are identified and eliminated using the isolated forest algorithm,followed by data restoration.Secondly,the incremental capacity(IC)curve is derived fromthe restored data using theKalman filtering algorithm,with the peak of the ICcurve(ICP)and its corresponding voltage serving as the health factor(HF).Thirdly,the GA-BP neural network is applied to map the relationship between HF,constant current charging time,and SOH,facilitating the estimation of SOH based on HF.Finally,SOC estimation at the charging cut-off voltage is calculated by inputting the SOH estimation value into the trained model to determine the constant current charging time,and by updating the maximum available capacity.Experiments show that the root mean squared error of the joint estimation results does not exceed 1%,which proves that the proposed method can estimate the SOC and SOH accurately and stably even in the presence of false data injection attacks.

End-cloud collaboration method enables accurate state of health and remaining useful life online estimation in lithium-ion batteries

Though the lithium-ion battery is universally applied,the reliability of lithium-ion batteries remains a challenge due to various physicochemical reactions,electrode material degradation,and even thermal runaway.Accurate estimation and prediction of battery health conditions are crucial for battery safety management.In this paper,an end-cloud collaboration method is proposed to approach the track of battery degradation process,integrating end-side empirical model with cloud-side data-driven model.Based on ensemble learning methods,the data-driven model is constructed by three base models to obtain cloud-side highly accurate results.The double exponential decay model is utilized as an empirical model to output highly real-time prediction results.With Kalman filter,the prediction results of end-side empirical model can be periodically updated by highly accurate results of cloud-side data-driven model to obtain highly accurate and real-time results.Subsequently,the whole framework can give an accurate prediction and tracking of battery degradation,with the mean absolute error maintained below 2%.And the execution time on the end side can reach 261μs.The proposed end-cloud collaboration method has the potential to approach highly accurate and highly real-time estimation for battery health conditions during battery full life cycle in architecture of cyber hierarchy and interactional network.

Boosting battery state of health estimation based on self-supervised learning

State of health(SoH) estimation plays a key role in smart battery health prognostic and management.However,poor generalization,lack of labeled data,and unused measurements during aging are still major challenges to accurate SoH estimation.Toward this end,this paper proposes a self-supervised learning framework to boost the performance of battery SoH estimation.Different from traditional data-driven methods which rely on a considerable training dataset obtained from numerous battery cells,the proposed method achieves accurate and robust estimations using limited labeled data.A filter-based data preprocessing technique,which enables the extraction of partial capacity-voltage curves under dynamic charging profiles,is applied at first.Unsupervised learning is then used to learn the aging characteristics from the unlabeled data through an auto-encoder-decoder.The learned network parameters are transferred to the downstream SoH estimation task and are fine-tuned with very few sparsely labeled data,which boosts the performance of the estimation framework.The proposed method has been validated under different battery chemistries,formats,operating conditions,and ambient.The estimation accuracy can be guaranteed by using only three labeled data from the initial 20% life cycles,with overall errors less than 1.14% and error distribution of all testing scenarios maintaining less than 4%,and robustness increases with aging.Comparisons with other pure supervised machine learning methods demonstrate the superiority of the proposed method.This simple and data-efficient estimation framework is promising in real-world applications under a variety of scenarios.

Estimation of state of health based on charging characteristics and back-propagation neural networks with improved atom search optimization algorithm

With the rapid development of new energy technologies, lithium batteries are widely used in the field of energy storage systems and electric vehicles. The accurate prediction for the state of health(SOH) has an important role in maintaining a safe and stable operation of lithium-ion batteries. To address the problems of uncertain battery discharge conditions and low SOH estimation accuracy in practical applications, this paper proposes a SOH estimation method based on constant-current battery charging section characteristics with a back-propagation neural network with an improved atom search optimization algorithm. A temperature characteristic, equal-time temperature variation(Dt_DT), is proposed by analyzing the temperature data of the battery charging section with the incremental capacity(IC) characteristics obtained from an IC analysis as an input to the data-driven prediction model. Testing and analysis of the proposed prediction model are carried out using publicly available datasets. Experimental results show that the maximum error of SOH estimation results for the proposed method in this paper is below 1.5%.

A Health State Prediction Model Based on Belief Rule Base and LSTM for Complex Systems

In industrial production and engineering operations,the health state of complex systems is critical,and predicting it can ensure normal operation.Complex systems have many monitoring indicators,complex coupling structures,non-linear and time-varying characteristics,so it is a challenge to establish a reliable prediction model.The belief rule base(BRB)can fuse observed data and expert knowledge to establish a nonlinear relationship between input and output and has well modeling capabilities.Since each indicator of the complex system can reflect the health state to some extent,the BRB is built based on the causal relationship between system indicators and the health state to achieve the prediction.A health state prediction model based on BRB and long short term memory for complex systems is proposed in this paper.Firstly,the LSTMis introduced to predict the trend of the indicators in the system.Secondly,the Density Peak Clustering(DPC)algorithmis used todetermine referential values of indicators for BRB,which effectively offset the lack of expert knowledge.Then,the predicted values and expert knowledge are fused to construct BRB to predict the health state of the systems by inference.Finally,the effectiveness of the model is verified by a case study of a certain vehicle hydraulic pump.

The Place of Human Resource Management in Lagos State Healthcare Delivery: A Statistical Overview

Background: Behind every great system is an organized team;this is especially true in the healthcare industry, where a dedicated human resources team can effectively recruit employees, train staff, and implement safety measures in the workplace. The importance of human resources in the healthcare industry cannot be overstated, with benefits ranging from providing an orderly and effectively run facility to equipping staff with the most accurate and up-to-date training. Proper human resources management is critical in providing high-quality health care. A refocus on human resources management in healthcare requires more research to develop new policies. Effective human resources management strategies are greatly needed to achieve better outcomes and access to health care worldwide. Methods: This study leveraged NOI Polls census data on Health Facility Assessment for Lagos State. One thousand two hundred fifty-six health care facilities were assessed in Lagos State;numbers of Health workers were documented alongside their area of specialization. Also, demographic characterizations of the facilities, such as LGA, Ownership type, Facility Level Care, and Category of the facility, were also documented. Descriptive statistics alongside cross tabulation was done to present the various area of specialization of the health workers. Multiple response analysis was done to understand the distribution of human resources across the health facilities. At the same time, Chi-square and correlation tests were conducted to test the independence of various categories recorded while understanding the relationships among selected specialties. Results: The study revealed that Nurses were the most common health specialist in the Lagos State health facilities. At the same time, Gynecologists and General surgeons are the two medical specialists mostly common in health facilities. Midwives are the second most common health specialist working full time, while Generalist medical doctors make up the top three health specialists working full time. Nurses and Midwives had the highest number in Lagos State, while Pulmonologists were currently the lowest human resource available in Lagos State health care system. It was also noted that health facility distribution across Lagos’s urban and rural areas was even. In contrast, distribution based on other factors such as ownership type, Facility level of care, and facility category was slightly skewed. Conclusion: The distribution of health workers in health facility across LGA in Lagos State depend on Ownership type, Facility level of care, and category of the facility.

基于BP神经网络与H∞滤波的锂电池SoH-SoC联合估计研究

锂电池健康状态(SoH)和荷电状态(SoC)的精确估计是新能源汽车安全运行的重要保障。针对SoH-SoC联合估计精度低、鲁棒性差的问题,提出一种基于变学习率BP神经网络和自适应渐消扩展H∞滤波的SoH-SoC联合估计方法。首先,提出一种基于单位充电压差时间间隔的新型SoH特征参数;其次,通过设计新型变学习率BP神经网络,提高传统BP网络误差收敛速度及缩短权值寻优时间;最后,通过设计新型自适应衰减因子对传统扩展H∞滤波误差协方差矩阵进行加权,建立自适应渐消扩展H∞滤波算法,减小陈旧量测值对估计结果的影响,提高扩展H∞滤波的估计精度及鲁棒性。实验结果表明,本文所提算法SoH估计误差小于0.35%,SoC估计误差小于0.5%,展现出较高的估计精度和鲁棒性。

基于充电阶段数据与GWO-BiLSTM模型的锂电池SOH估计方法

针对锂电池健康状态(state of health,SOH)估计过程中健康特征(health features,HFs)提取单一、估计精度较低等问题,提出一种基于充电阶段数据与灰狼优化(grey wolf optimizer,GWO)算法-双向长短期记忆(bidirectional long short-term memory,BiLSTM)神经网络的锂电池SOH估计方法。首先,从电池充电阶段数据中提取五类HFs。接着,利用核主成分分析法(kernel principal component analysis,KPCA)获取HFs的关键健康因子。最后,应用GWO-BiLSTM模型对关键健康因子和SOH之间的映射关系进行动态建模,实现锂电池SOH的估计。利用NASA电池老化数据集进行验证,结果表明,所提出方法能够准确估计锂电池的SOH,均方根误差保持在1%以内,具有较高的估计精度和鲁棒性。

基于迁移学习与GRU神经网络结合的锂电池SOH估计

为解决退役电池梯次利用过程中单体剩余使用寿命估计困难、测试流程复杂与能耗高等问题,提出迁移学习与GRU网络结合的锂离子电池健康状态估计方法;设计的基础模型结构为输入层+GRU层+全连接层+输出层;根据健康因子的得分,选择训练基础模型的数据集、划分电池相似度等级并制定对应的迁移学习策略。实验结果表明:与其他模型相比,分别使用数据集的前40%与前25%训练得到的基础模型与迁移学习模型,两者的精度分别最大提高42.48%与95.28%,而预测稳定性分别最大提高55.38%与93.55%。

基于等效电路模型和数据驱动模型融合的SOC和SOH联合估计方法

针对电池SOC与SOH估计结果相互影响,单独估计准确度不高的问题,该文提出了一种基于等效电路模型和数据驱动模型融合的SOC和SOH联合估计方法。通过构建考虑老化和SOC的电池二阶RC等效电路模型,采用带遗忘因子的递推最小二乘法,在不同SOC和SOH的情况下,对电池的参数进行在线辨识,实现电池参数在线辨识与电池SOC和SOH估计的耦合。以锂离子电池自SOC=20%到恒流充电阶段结束所需时间为输入,电池SOH值为输出,训练GPR模型,实现电池SOH估计。将输出的SOH估计值与电池的额定容量相乘,得到电池的实际容量,更新二阶RC状态空间方程,采用扩展卡尔曼滤波算法对电池进行SOC估计,实现电池SOH估计和SOC估计之间的联合。采用牛津大学电池退化数据集和NASA随机使用电池数据集进行算法验证,结果表明,所提联合估计方法能够在电池的生命周期内较准确地跟随锂离子电池SOC和SOH的真实值。

基于双向长短期记忆网络含间接健康指标的锂电池SOH估计

快速准确地对锂离子电池进行全寿命周期的健康状态(SOH)估计有助于提高储能设备的安全可靠性。提出一种基于间接健康指标(IHI)和鲸鱼优化算法(WOA)优化的双向长短期记忆(BiLSTM)网络相结合的锂电池SOH估计模型,该模型考虑了未来状态对当前SOH的影响。首先,对锂电池恒流恒压(CC-CV)充放电过程进行分析,提取出多个随充放电循环动态变化的电压、电流、温度的时间特征作为IHI,并加入放电负载电压下降时间这一指标;然后,通过相关性分析,从各IHI中筛选出和容量关联度高的IHI作为输入特征;最后,建立基于WOA优化的BiLSTM网络的电池SOH估计模型,并利用美国国家航天航空局锂电池数据集对2个不同工况下的电池SOH进行估计。结果表明,所提方法可有效提高SOH的估计精度。

Challenges and opportunities for battery health estimation:Bridging laboratory research and real-world applications

Addressing climate change demands a significant shift away from fossil fuels,with sectors like electricity and transportation relying heavily on renewable energy.Integral to this transition are energy storage systems,notably lithium-ion batteries.Over time,these batteries degrade,affecting their efficiency and posing safety risks.Monitoring and predicting battery aging is essential,especially estimating its state of health(SOH).Various SOH estimation methods exist,from traditional model-based approaches to machine learning approaches.

基于ICA的锂电池SOH估计曲线确定方法研究

针对如何提取容量增量(IC)曲线上更有效的特征参数进行锂电池健康状态(SOH)估计问题,提出了一种基于修正的洛伦兹电压容量(RL-VC)模型。首先使用传统滤波方法对锂电池进行容量增量分析(ICA)。然后使用RL-VC模型进行对比,获得相应的特征参数并计算容量建模误差。在基于自主搭建的试验平台上获得的试验数据与开源数据集NASA中的动态数据集NCM中分别进行试验。VC容量建模的误差分别在0.23%和0.16%以内。RL-VC模型拟合的IC曲线提取的特征参数与锂电池容量高度线性相关,为后续SOH工作奠定了基础。基于RL-VC模型的IC分析方法相较于传统滤波方法,不仅在电池老化方面具有更高的鲁棒性,同时在特征参数提取方面避免了主观性和不确定性。