Considering the secure authentication problem for equipment support information network,a clustering method based on the business information flow is proposed. Based on the proposed method,a cluster-based distributed ...Considering the secure authentication problem for equipment support information network,a clustering method based on the business information flow is proposed. Based on the proposed method,a cluster-based distributed authentication mechanism and an optimal design method for distributed certificate authority( CA)are designed. Compared with some conventional clustering methods for network,the proposed clustering method considers the business information flow of the network and the task of the network nodes,which can decrease the communication spending between the clusters and improve the network efficiency effectively. The identity authentication protocols between the nodes in the same cluster and in different clusters are designed. From the perspective of the security of network and the availability of distributed authentication service,the definition of the secure service success rate of distributed CA is given and it is taken as the aim of the optimal design for distributed CA. The efficiency of providing the distributed certificate service successfully by the distributed CA is taken as the constraint condition of the optimal design for distributed CA. The determination method for the optimal value of the threshold is investigated. The proposed method can provide references for the optimal design for distributed CA.展开更多
Selecting the optimal one from similar schemes is a paramount work in equipment design.In consideration of similarity of schemes and repetition of characteristic indices,the theory of set pair analysis(SPA)is proposed...Selecting the optimal one from similar schemes is a paramount work in equipment design.In consideration of similarity of schemes and repetition of characteristic indices,the theory of set pair analysis(SPA)is proposed,and then an optimal selection model is established.In order to improve the accuracy and flexibility,the model is modified by the contribution degree.At last,this model has been validated by an example,and the result demonstrates the method is feasible and valuable for practical usage.展开更多
Fault diagnosis for helicopter's main gearbox based on vibration signals by experiments always requires high costs. To solve this problem,a helicopter's planetary gear system is taken as an example. Firstly,a ...Fault diagnosis for helicopter's main gearbox based on vibration signals by experiments always requires high costs. To solve this problem,a helicopter's planetary gear system is taken as an example. Firstly,a simulation model is established by McFadden,and analyzed under ideal condition. Then this model is developed and improved as the delay-time model of the vibration signal which determines the phase-change of sidebands when the system is running. The cause and change-rules of planetary gear system's vibration signal are analyzed to establish the fault diagnosis model.At the same time,the vibration signal of fault condition is simulated and analyzed. This simulation method can provide a reference for fault monitoring and diagnosis for planetary gear system.展开更多
This paper presents a joint optimization policy of preventive maintenance(PM)and spare ordering for single-unit systems,which deteriorate subject to the delay-time concept with three deterioration stages.PM activities...This paper presents a joint optimization policy of preventive maintenance(PM)and spare ordering for single-unit systems,which deteriorate subject to the delay-time concept with three deterioration stages.PM activities that combine a non-periodic inspection scheme with age-replacement are implemented.When the system is detected to be in the minor defective stage by an inspection for the first time,place an order and shorten the inspection interval.If the system has deteriorated to a severe defective stage,it is either repaired imperfectly or replaced by a new spare.However,an immediate replacement is required once the system fails,the maximal number of imperfect maintenance(IPM)is satisfied or its age reaches to a pre-specified threshold.In consideration of the spare’s availability as needed,there are three types of decisions,i.e.,an immediate or a delayed replacement by a regular ordered spare,an immediate replacement by an expedited ordered spare with a relative higher cost.Then,some mutually independent and exclusive renewal events at the end of a renewal cycle are discussed,and the optimization model of such a joint policy is further developed by minimizing the long-run expected cost rate to find the optimal inspection and age-replacement intervals,and the maximum number of IPM.A Monte-Carlo based integration method is also designed to solve the proposed model.Finally,a numerical example is given to illustrate the proposed joint optimization policy and the performance of the Monte-Carlo based integration method.展开更多
Aimed at the actuality of Peoplep's Liberation Army(PLA) army equipment maintenance, this paper develops equipment maintenance mode based on network,and focuses on the design of maintenance decision-making system....Aimed at the actuality of Peoplep's Liberation Army(PLA) army equipment maintenance, this paper develops equipment maintenance mode based on network,and focuses on the design of maintenance decision-making system. Analyzing maintenance weight is applied to making decision of repair level.The purpose of the research is introducing basic concept and setting up an equipment maintenance mode using military network.Maintenance mode based on network can reduce the costs,enhance the maintenance efficiency, and save the human resource and finance.展开更多
In order to research the effects of built-in test(BIT) on the system and select BITand test strategy,the complex repairable systems with BITequipment are modeled and simulated by using Simulink.Based on the model,the ...In order to research the effects of built-in test(BIT) on the system and select BITand test strategy,the complex repairable systems with BITequipment are modeled and simulated by using Simulink.Based on the model,the influences of different built-in test equipments,maintenance time and error probabilities on the system usability are evaluated.The simulation results showthat they effect on the system differently.The simulation method of complex system based on Simulink provides a technique approach to research the effects of BITon the system and select BITand test strategy.展开更多
The influence of the flexible body for the motion of gear transmission system is analyzed and the foundation for a more accurate assessment of gear transmission system is established when it has battle damage faults. ...The influence of the flexible body for the motion of gear transmission system is analyzed and the foundation for a more accurate assessment of gear transmission system is established when it has battle damage faults. By using Pro / E software,the virtual prototype model of gear transmission system in the speed reducer is established,and the rigid model and rigid-flexible coupling model are simulated respectively in ADAMS to obtain the data of gear meshing force. It can be concluded that rigid-flexible coupling model can reflect the real motion better than rigid model by comparing the simulation data of two models.展开更多
In order to guide the construction of maintenance support system,the theory of complex network to maintenance support area is introduced,and a construction idea of maintenance support system based on complex network i...In order to guide the construction of maintenance support system,the theory of complex network to maintenance support area is introduced,and a construction idea of maintenance support system based on complex network is put forward.Firstly,from the perspective of the similarity,maintenance support system is abstracted into complex network to form maintenance support network.Secondly,the basic concepts and parameters of maintenance support network are also introduced.Thirdly,the maintenance support system in certain period is abstracted into a maintenance support network,and the network makes some changes.Finally,the correlative parameters of the network are calculated.The results show that the changed network is more conducive to the maintenance support.This provides a new thought and method to construct maintenance support system.展开更多
Outcome-based contract( OBC) is a kind of contracting mechanism,which allows the customer to pay only when the firm has delivered outcomes,rather than activities and tasks involved. To achieve the higher demand of the...Outcome-based contract( OBC) is a kind of contracting mechanism,which allows the customer to pay only when the firm has delivered outcomes,rather than activities and tasks involved. To achieve the higher demand of the delivering outcome of the contract,the evaluation of contractor's performance was focused on. A reasonable and objective contractor performance evaluation system is constructed by considering various uncertainties. The set pair theory is used to analyze the four-element connection of quality of service contractors. It aims to provide a theoretical basis for the decisionmaker to make confirmation of the equipment contractor who has a better performance and development trend.展开更多
The lifetime data of products with multiple failure modes which are collected from life testing are often fitted by the mixed Weibull distributions. Since the mixed Weibull distributions contain no less than five para...The lifetime data of products with multiple failure modes which are collected from life testing are often fitted by the mixed Weibull distributions. Since the mixed Weibull distributions contain no less than five parameters,the parameter estimation is difficult and inaccurate. In order to enhance the accuracy,a new method of parameter estimation based on Cuckoo search( CS) is proposed. An optimization model for the mixed Weibull distribution is formulated by minimizing the residual sum of squares. The optimal parameters are searched via CS algorithm. In the case study,the lifetime data come from the life testing of diesel injectors and are fitted by the twocomponent Weibull mixture. Regarding the maximum absolute error and the accumulative absolute error between estimated and observed values as the accuracy index of parameter estimation,the results of four parameter estimation methods that the graphic estimation method,the nonlinear least square method,the optimization method based on particle swarm optimization( PSO) and the proposed method are compared. The result shows that the proposed method is more efficient and more accurate than the other three methods.展开更多
In order to solve the problems of scheduling the maintenance units in the battlefield, the dynamic programming method in model construction is used; the composition of dynamic planning process is explained; and the ma...In order to solve the problems of scheduling the maintenance units in the battlefield, the dynamic programming method in model construction is used; the composition of dynamic planning process is explained; and the maintenance unit allocation model is established. By the solved dynamic programming model,the best allocation strategy for maintenance unit obtained in the battlefield will provide a basis for making maintenance unit allocation decisions in the future battlefield.展开更多
Aiming at the actual demand for the maintenance support of new general equipments, this paper analyzes the structure and circulation of maintenance support system, builds the simulation model of running process by ent...Aiming at the actual demand for the maintenance support of new general equipments, this paper analyzes the structure and circulation of maintenance support system, builds the simulation model of running process by entity flow chart method, and constructs the basic frame of the simulation model. The generating method of random variables and the advancing process of the simulation clock are described, and the accurate prediction of maintenance equipment is realized. Moreover, the material readiness rate is analyzed in statistics objective to evaluate the simulation result. The research is of significance for improving the efficiency of equipment maintenance and the promotion of material readiness rate.展开更多
Aiming at the problem that the consumption data of new ammunition is less and the demand is difficult to predict,combined with the law of ammunition consumption under different damage grades,a Bayesian inference metho...Aiming at the problem that the consumption data of new ammunition is less and the demand is difficult to predict,combined with the law of ammunition consumption under different damage grades,a Bayesian inference method for ammunition demand based on Gompertz distribution is proposed.The Bayesian inference model based on Gompertz distribution is constructed,and the system contribution degree is introduced to determine the weight of the multi-source information.In the case where the prior distribution is known and the distribution of the field data is unknown,the consistency test is performed on the prior information,and the consistency test problem is transformed into the goodness of the fit test problem.Then the Bayesian inference is solved by the Markov chain-Monte Carlo(MCMC)method,and the ammunition demand under different damage grades is gained.The example verifies the accuracy of this method and solves the problem of ammunition demand prediction in the case of insufficient samples.展开更多
Phased array radar is the main sensor in a battlefield.Phased array antenna is the main execution unit of the phased array radar,and it greatly affects the reliability of the phased array radar. As a result,the fragme...Phased array radar is the main sensor in a battlefield.Phased array antenna is the main execution unit of the phased array radar,and it greatly affects the reliability of the phased array radar. As a result,the fragment damaged antenna test is important.As the materials of phased array antenna are not easy to get,the fragment damaged antenna test is difficult to carry out. Then we present a study on this problem and introduce the principles of dimensional analysis to solve it. Firstly, the fragments damage antenna target dimensionless model is constructed. Secondly,the finite element analysis software ANSYS / LS-DYNA are used to carry out a large number of different materials simulation test for dimensional analysis. Finally,based on dimensional test analysis,the materials equivalent empirical model between different antennas target is presented in the same damage. The results of this study provide a feasible and valuable solution for different materials' target damaged test.展开更多
For the failures of two-dimensional product affected by the calendar time and usage time,traditional one-dimensional preventive maintenance can't meet the actual demand. Therefore,the concept of two-dimensional pr...For the failures of two-dimensional product affected by the calendar time and usage time,traditional one-dimensional preventive maintenance can't meet the actual demand. Therefore,the concept of two-dimensional preventive maintenance innovatively is proposed,in order to make decision for two-dimensional product through calendar time and usage time. Firstly, failure rate function expression of two-dimensional product is established and the process of two-dimensional preventive maintenance is analyzed in detail.Then a model of two-dimensional preventive maintenance to minimize the consumer's cost per unit of time is proposed. And examples are given to analyze the model's applicability and validity.Furthermore,the optimal two-dimensional preventive maintenance interval is derived. Finally,a brief discussion on future research area about two-dimensional maintenance is given.展开更多
During maintainability demonstration,the maintenance time for complex systems consisting of mixed technologies generally conforms to a mixture distribution.However existing maintainability standards and guidance do no...During maintainability demonstration,the maintenance time for complex systems consisting of mixed technologies generally conforms to a mixture distribution.However existing maintainability standards and guidance do not explain explicitly how to deal with this situation.This paper develops a comprehensive maintainability demonstration method for complex systems with a mixed maintenance time distribution.First of all,a K-means algorithm and an expectation-maximization(EM)algorithm are used to partition the maintenance time data for all possible clusters.The Bayesian information criterion(BIC)is then used to choose the optimal model.After this,the clustering results for equipment are obtained according to their degree of membership.The degree of similarity for the maintainability of different kinds of equipment is then determined using the projection method.By using a Bootstrap method,the prior distribution is obtained from the maintenance time data for the most similar equipment.Then,a test method based on Bayesian theory is outlined for the maintainability demonstration.Finally,the viability of the proposed approach is illustrated by means of an example.展开更多
Because performance parameters of gear have degradation,a method is proposed to recognize and analyze its faults using the hidden Markov model( HMM). In this method,firstly,the delayed correlation-envelope method is u...Because performance parameters of gear have degradation,a method is proposed to recognize and analyze its faults using the hidden Markov model( HMM). In this method,firstly,the delayed correlation-envelope method is used to extract features from vibration signals. Then,HMMs are trained respectively using data under normal condition,gear root crack condition and gear root breaking condition. Further,the trained HMMs are used in pattern recognition and model assessment. Finally,the results from standard HMM and the proposed method are compared, which shows that the proposed methodology is feasible and effective.展开更多
The numerical simulations of different head shape semi-armor-piercing warheads penetrating thin steel target are done using the finite element software ANSYS/LS-DYNA, and the whole process of different nose shape semi...The numerical simulations of different head shape semi-armor-piercing warheads penetrating thin steel target are done using the finite element software ANSYS/LS-DYNA, and the whole process of different nose shape semi-armor-piercing warheads vertically penetrating the thin steel plate is compared. Besides, the influence of impact angle on penetration performance of three different nose shape projectiles is researched. The analysis results indicate that the nose shape has a significant influence on semi-armor-piercing warhead penetration performance.The effect of impact angle on the three kinds of projectiles' residual kinetic energy and deflection is different. The research results provide references for designing of warhead and battlefield damage assessment.展开更多
The damage effect assessment of anti-ship missiles combines system science and weapon science,which can provide reference for the assessment of battlefield damage situation.In order to solve the difficulty of heteroge...The damage effect assessment of anti-ship missiles combines system science and weapon science,which can provide reference for the assessment of battlefield damage situation.In order to solve the difficulty of heterogeneous data aggregation and the difficulty in constructing the mapping between factors and damage effect,this paper analyzes the specific damage process of the anti-ship missile to the ship,and proposes a synthetic Evidential Reasoning(ER)–Adaptive Neural Fuzzy Inference System(ANFIS)to assess the damage effect.To solve the problem of fuzziness and uncertainty of criteria in the assessment process,the belief structure model is used to transform qualitative and quantitative information into a unified mathematical structure,and ER algorithm is used to fuse the information of lower-level criteria.In order to solve the problem of fuzziness and uncertainty of the information contained in the first-level variables,and the strong non-linear characteristics of the mapping between first-level variables and damage effect,the ANFIS with selfadaptation and self-learning is constructed.The map between the three first-level variables and damage effect is established,and the interaction process of the various factors in the damage effect assessment are clear.Sensitivity analysis shows that assessment model has good stability.The result analysis and comparative analysis show that the process proposed in this paper can effectively assess the damage effect of anti-ship missiles,and all criteria data are objective and comparable.展开更多
Warhead power assessment of the anti-ship missile plays a vital role in determining the optimal design of missile, thus having important strategic research significance. However, in the assessment process, expert’s j...Warhead power assessment of the anti-ship missile plays a vital role in determining the optimal design of missile, thus having important strategic research significance. However, in the assessment process, expert’s judgement will directly affect the assessment accuracy. In addition,there are many criteria involved in the missile design alternatives. Some criteria with poor performance may be compensated by other criteria with excellent performance, and then it is impossible to find the truly optimal alternative. Aimed at solving these problems, this paper proposes a synthetical assessment process based on fuzzy hesitant linguistic term set and the Gained and Lost Dominance Score(GLDS) method. In order to improve the assessment accuracy of experts and solve the problem that experts generate different opinions, combined with the advantages of fuzzy hesitant sets and linguistic term sets, the double hierarchy hesitant fuzzy linguistic term sets are used in this paper to improve the accuracy of expert’s judgement. In order to effectively combine expert’s experience with the data of criteria, the evidence theory and entropy weight method are used to transfer the expert’s judgement to the weight. In order to avoid selecting defective alternative of missile design, the GLDS is used to fuse expert information and criteria information. Sensitivity analysis shows that the assessment process has sensitivity to some extent. However, when the fluctuation of expert’s assessment makes the fluctuation of θ in the range of-5% to 5%, the impact on the results is not quite conspicuous. The analysis of calculation result and comparative analysis show that the assessment process proposed in this paper is accurate enough, has great advantage in selecting the current and potential optimal alternative of missile design, and avoids the alternatives with low criteria performance that cannot be compensated by other criteria being selected.展开更多
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.61271152)Natural Science Foundation of Hebei Province,China(No.F2012506008)the Original Innovation Foundation of Ordnance Engineering College,China(No.YSCX0903)
文摘Considering the secure authentication problem for equipment support information network,a clustering method based on the business information flow is proposed. Based on the proposed method,a cluster-based distributed authentication mechanism and an optimal design method for distributed certificate authority( CA)are designed. Compared with some conventional clustering methods for network,the proposed clustering method considers the business information flow of the network and the task of the network nodes,which can decrease the communication spending between the clusters and improve the network efficiency effectively. The identity authentication protocols between the nodes in the same cluster and in different clusters are designed. From the perspective of the security of network and the availability of distributed authentication service,the definition of the secure service success rate of distributed CA is given and it is taken as the aim of the optimal design for distributed CA. The efficiency of providing the distributed certificate service successfully by the distributed CA is taken as the constraint condition of the optimal design for distributed CA. The determination method for the optimal value of the threshold is investigated. The proposed method can provide references for the optimal design for distributed CA.
文摘Selecting the optimal one from similar schemes is a paramount work in equipment design.In consideration of similarity of schemes and repetition of characteristic indices,the theory of set pair analysis(SPA)is proposed,and then an optimal selection model is established.In order to improve the accuracy and flexibility,the model is modified by the contribution degree.At last,this model has been validated by an example,and the result demonstrates the method is feasible and valuable for practical usage.
文摘Fault diagnosis for helicopter's main gearbox based on vibration signals by experiments always requires high costs. To solve this problem,a helicopter's planetary gear system is taken as an example. Firstly,a simulation model is established by McFadden,and analyzed under ideal condition. Then this model is developed and improved as the delay-time model of the vibration signal which determines the phase-change of sidebands when the system is running. The cause and change-rules of planetary gear system's vibration signal are analyzed to establish the fault diagnosis model.At the same time,the vibration signal of fault condition is simulated and analyzed. This simulation method can provide a reference for fault monitoring and diagnosis for planetary gear system.
基金supported by the Naitonal Natural Science Foundation of China(71701038)China Ministry of Education Humanities and Social Sciences Research Youth Fund Project(16YJC630174)+2 种基金the Natural Science Foundation of Hebei Province(G2019501074)the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities(N2123019)the Postgraduate Funding Project of PLA(JY2020B085).
文摘This paper presents a joint optimization policy of preventive maintenance(PM)and spare ordering for single-unit systems,which deteriorate subject to the delay-time concept with three deterioration stages.PM activities that combine a non-periodic inspection scheme with age-replacement are implemented.When the system is detected to be in the minor defective stage by an inspection for the first time,place an order and shorten the inspection interval.If the system has deteriorated to a severe defective stage,it is either repaired imperfectly or replaced by a new spare.However,an immediate replacement is required once the system fails,the maximal number of imperfect maintenance(IPM)is satisfied or its age reaches to a pre-specified threshold.In consideration of the spare’s availability as needed,there are three types of decisions,i.e.,an immediate or a delayed replacement by a regular ordered spare,an immediate replacement by an expedited ordered spare with a relative higher cost.Then,some mutually independent and exclusive renewal events at the end of a renewal cycle are discussed,and the optimization model of such a joint policy is further developed by minimizing the long-run expected cost rate to find the optimal inspection and age-replacement intervals,and the maximum number of IPM.A Monte-Carlo based integration method is also designed to solve the proposed model.Finally,a numerical example is given to illustrate the proposed joint optimization policy and the performance of the Monte-Carlo based integration method.
文摘Aimed at the actuality of Peoplep's Liberation Army(PLA) army equipment maintenance, this paper develops equipment maintenance mode based on network,and focuses on the design of maintenance decision-making system. Analyzing maintenance weight is applied to making decision of repair level.The purpose of the research is introducing basic concept and setting up an equipment maintenance mode using military network.Maintenance mode based on network can reduce the costs,enhance the maintenance efficiency, and save the human resource and finance.
文摘In order to research the effects of built-in test(BIT) on the system and select BITand test strategy,the complex repairable systems with BITequipment are modeled and simulated by using Simulink.Based on the model,the influences of different built-in test equipments,maintenance time and error probabilities on the system usability are evaluated.The simulation results showthat they effect on the system differently.The simulation method of complex system based on Simulink provides a technique approach to research the effects of BITon the system and select BITand test strategy.
文摘The influence of the flexible body for the motion of gear transmission system is analyzed and the foundation for a more accurate assessment of gear transmission system is established when it has battle damage faults. By using Pro / E software,the virtual prototype model of gear transmission system in the speed reducer is established,and the rigid model and rigid-flexible coupling model are simulated respectively in ADAMS to obtain the data of gear meshing force. It can be concluded that rigid-flexible coupling model can reflect the real motion better than rigid model by comparing the simulation data of two models.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.61271152)
文摘In order to guide the construction of maintenance support system,the theory of complex network to maintenance support area is introduced,and a construction idea of maintenance support system based on complex network is put forward.Firstly,from the perspective of the similarity,maintenance support system is abstracted into complex network to form maintenance support network.Secondly,the basic concepts and parameters of maintenance support network are also introduced.Thirdly,the maintenance support system in certain period is abstracted into a maintenance support network,and the network makes some changes.Finally,the correlative parameters of the network are calculated.The results show that the changed network is more conducive to the maintenance support.This provides a new thought and method to construct maintenance support system.
文摘Outcome-based contract( OBC) is a kind of contracting mechanism,which allows the customer to pay only when the firm has delivered outcomes,rather than activities and tasks involved. To achieve the higher demand of the delivering outcome of the contract,the evaluation of contractor's performance was focused on. A reasonable and objective contractor performance evaluation system is constructed by considering various uncertainties. The set pair theory is used to analyze the four-element connection of quality of service contractors. It aims to provide a theoretical basis for the decisionmaker to make confirmation of the equipment contractor who has a better performance and development trend.
文摘The lifetime data of products with multiple failure modes which are collected from life testing are often fitted by the mixed Weibull distributions. Since the mixed Weibull distributions contain no less than five parameters,the parameter estimation is difficult and inaccurate. In order to enhance the accuracy,a new method of parameter estimation based on Cuckoo search( CS) is proposed. An optimization model for the mixed Weibull distribution is formulated by minimizing the residual sum of squares. The optimal parameters are searched via CS algorithm. In the case study,the lifetime data come from the life testing of diesel injectors and are fitted by the twocomponent Weibull mixture. Regarding the maximum absolute error and the accumulative absolute error between estimated and observed values as the accuracy index of parameter estimation,the results of four parameter estimation methods that the graphic estimation method,the nonlinear least square method,the optimization method based on particle swarm optimization( PSO) and the proposed method are compared. The result shows that the proposed method is more efficient and more accurate than the other three methods.
文摘In order to solve the problems of scheduling the maintenance units in the battlefield, the dynamic programming method in model construction is used; the composition of dynamic planning process is explained; and the maintenance unit allocation model is established. By the solved dynamic programming model,the best allocation strategy for maintenance unit obtained in the battlefield will provide a basis for making maintenance unit allocation decisions in the future battlefield.
基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.71401173)
文摘Aiming at the actual demand for the maintenance support of new general equipments, this paper analyzes the structure and circulation of maintenance support system, builds the simulation model of running process by entity flow chart method, and constructs the basic frame of the simulation model. The generating method of random variables and the advancing process of the simulation clock are described, and the accurate prediction of maintenance equipment is realized. Moreover, the material readiness rate is analyzed in statistics objective to evaluate the simulation result. The research is of significance for improving the efficiency of equipment maintenance and the promotion of material readiness rate.
基金the Army Scientific Research(KYSZJWJK1744,012016012600B11403).
文摘Aiming at the problem that the consumption data of new ammunition is less and the demand is difficult to predict,combined with the law of ammunition consumption under different damage grades,a Bayesian inference method for ammunition demand based on Gompertz distribution is proposed.The Bayesian inference model based on Gompertz distribution is constructed,and the system contribution degree is introduced to determine the weight of the multi-source information.In the case where the prior distribution is known and the distribution of the field data is unknown,the consistency test is performed on the prior information,and the consistency test problem is transformed into the goodness of the fit test problem.Then the Bayesian inference is solved by the Markov chain-Monte Carlo(MCMC)method,and the ammunition demand under different damage grades is gained.The example verifies the accuracy of this method and solves the problem of ammunition demand prediction in the case of insufficient samples.
文摘Phased array radar is the main sensor in a battlefield.Phased array antenna is the main execution unit of the phased array radar,and it greatly affects the reliability of the phased array radar. As a result,the fragment damaged antenna test is important.As the materials of phased array antenna are not easy to get,the fragment damaged antenna test is difficult to carry out. Then we present a study on this problem and introduce the principles of dimensional analysis to solve it. Firstly, the fragments damage antenna target dimensionless model is constructed. Secondly,the finite element analysis software ANSYS / LS-DYNA are used to carry out a large number of different materials simulation test for dimensional analysis. Finally,based on dimensional test analysis,the materials equivalent empirical model between different antennas target is presented in the same damage. The results of this study provide a feasible and valuable solution for different materials' target damaged test.
基金Mechanical Engineering College Research Foundation,Chian(No.13038)
文摘For the failures of two-dimensional product affected by the calendar time and usage time,traditional one-dimensional preventive maintenance can't meet the actual demand. Therefore,the concept of two-dimensional preventive maintenance innovatively is proposed,in order to make decision for two-dimensional product through calendar time and usage time. Firstly, failure rate function expression of two-dimensional product is established and the process of two-dimensional preventive maintenance is analyzed in detail.Then a model of two-dimensional preventive maintenance to minimize the consumer's cost per unit of time is proposed. And examples are given to analyze the model's applicability and validity.Furthermore,the optimal two-dimensional preventive maintenance interval is derived. Finally,a brief discussion on future research area about two-dimensional maintenance is given.
基金supported by the National Defense Pre-research Funds(9140A27010215JB34422)
文摘During maintainability demonstration,the maintenance time for complex systems consisting of mixed technologies generally conforms to a mixture distribution.However existing maintainability standards and guidance do not explain explicitly how to deal with this situation.This paper develops a comprehensive maintainability demonstration method for complex systems with a mixed maintenance time distribution.First of all,a K-means algorithm and an expectation-maximization(EM)algorithm are used to partition the maintenance time data for all possible clusters.The Bayesian information criterion(BIC)is then used to choose the optimal model.After this,the clustering results for equipment are obtained according to their degree of membership.The degree of similarity for the maintainability of different kinds of equipment is then determined using the projection method.By using a Bootstrap method,the prior distribution is obtained from the maintenance time data for the most similar equipment.Then,a test method based on Bayesian theory is outlined for the maintainability demonstration.Finally,the viability of the proposed approach is illustrated by means of an example.
文摘Because performance parameters of gear have degradation,a method is proposed to recognize and analyze its faults using the hidden Markov model( HMM). In this method,firstly,the delayed correlation-envelope method is used to extract features from vibration signals. Then,HMMs are trained respectively using data under normal condition,gear root crack condition and gear root breaking condition. Further,the trained HMMs are used in pattern recognition and model assessment. Finally,the results from standard HMM and the proposed method are compared, which shows that the proposed methodology is feasible and effective.
文摘The numerical simulations of different head shape semi-armor-piercing warheads penetrating thin steel target are done using the finite element software ANSYS/LS-DYNA, and the whole process of different nose shape semi-armor-piercing warheads vertically penetrating the thin steel plate is compared. Besides, the influence of impact angle on penetration performance of three different nose shape projectiles is researched. The analysis results indicate that the nose shape has a significant influence on semi-armor-piercing warhead penetration performance.The effect of impact angle on the three kinds of projectiles' residual kinetic energy and deflection is different. The research results provide references for designing of warhead and battlefield damage assessment.
文摘The damage effect assessment of anti-ship missiles combines system science and weapon science,which can provide reference for the assessment of battlefield damage situation.In order to solve the difficulty of heterogeneous data aggregation and the difficulty in constructing the mapping between factors and damage effect,this paper analyzes the specific damage process of the anti-ship missile to the ship,and proposes a synthetic Evidential Reasoning(ER)–Adaptive Neural Fuzzy Inference System(ANFIS)to assess the damage effect.To solve the problem of fuzziness and uncertainty of criteria in the assessment process,the belief structure model is used to transform qualitative and quantitative information into a unified mathematical structure,and ER algorithm is used to fuse the information of lower-level criteria.In order to solve the problem of fuzziness and uncertainty of the information contained in the first-level variables,and the strong non-linear characteristics of the mapping between first-level variables and damage effect,the ANFIS with selfadaptation and self-learning is constructed.The map between the three first-level variables and damage effect is established,and the interaction process of the various factors in the damage effect assessment are clear.Sensitivity analysis shows that assessment model has good stability.The result analysis and comparative analysis show that the process proposed in this paper can effectively assess the damage effect of anti-ship missiles,and all criteria data are objective and comparable.
文摘Warhead power assessment of the anti-ship missile plays a vital role in determining the optimal design of missile, thus having important strategic research significance. However, in the assessment process, expert’s judgement will directly affect the assessment accuracy. In addition,there are many criteria involved in the missile design alternatives. Some criteria with poor performance may be compensated by other criteria with excellent performance, and then it is impossible to find the truly optimal alternative. Aimed at solving these problems, this paper proposes a synthetical assessment process based on fuzzy hesitant linguistic term set and the Gained and Lost Dominance Score(GLDS) method. In order to improve the assessment accuracy of experts and solve the problem that experts generate different opinions, combined with the advantages of fuzzy hesitant sets and linguistic term sets, the double hierarchy hesitant fuzzy linguistic term sets are used in this paper to improve the accuracy of expert’s judgement. In order to effectively combine expert’s experience with the data of criteria, the evidence theory and entropy weight method are used to transfer the expert’s judgement to the weight. In order to avoid selecting defective alternative of missile design, the GLDS is used to fuse expert information and criteria information. Sensitivity analysis shows that the assessment process has sensitivity to some extent. However, when the fluctuation of expert’s assessment makes the fluctuation of θ in the range of-5% to 5%, the impact on the results is not quite conspicuous. The analysis of calculation result and comparative analysis show that the assessment process proposed in this paper is accurate enough, has great advantage in selecting the current and potential optimal alternative of missile design, and avoids the alternatives with low criteria performance that cannot be compensated by other criteria being selected.