采用均一性较好的逐日温度资料、NCEP/NCAR再分析资料和DMSP/OLS卫星夜晚灯光数据,基于Gis工具及Observe Minus Reanalysis(OMR)方法,定量分析了1961—2010年的大气环流背景下城市化对长江中下游地区温度变化趋势的影响。结果表明:长江...采用均一性较好的逐日温度资料、NCEP/NCAR再分析资料和DMSP/OLS卫星夜晚灯光数据,基于Gis工具及Observe Minus Reanalysis(OMR)方法,定量分析了1961—2010年的大气环流背景下城市化对长江中下游地区温度变化趋势的影响。结果表明:长江中下游地区夏季温度总体呈上升趋势,上升幅度以最低温度>平均温度>最高温度,从而导致日较差呈下降趋势,其变化与城市发展水平相吻合。另外,城市化对温度趋势的贡献以日较差>最低温度>平均温度>最高温度,其中大都市的贡献率最大。强(弱)副高年城市化使长江中下游地区夏季温度升高(降低),强副高年大城市对温度的响应较大,而弱副高年中等城市对温度的响应较大。展开更多
With temperatures increasing as a result of global warming,extreme high temperatures are becoming more intense and more frequent on larger scale during summer in China.In recent years,a variety of researches have exam...With temperatures increasing as a result of global warming,extreme high temperatures are becoming more intense and more frequent on larger scale during summer in China.In recent years,a variety of researches have examined the high temperature distribution in China.However,it hardly considers the variation of temperature data and systems when defining the threshold of extreme high temperature.In order to discern the spatio-temporal distribution of extreme heat in China,we examined the daily maximum temperature data of 83 observation stations in China from 1950 to 2008.The objective of this study was to understand the distribution characteristics of extreme high temperature events defined by Detrended Fluctuation Analysis(DFA).The statistical methods of Permutation Entropy(PE)were also used in this study to analyze the temporal distribution.The results showed that the frequency of extreme high temperature events in China presented 3 periods of 7,10—13 and 16—20 years,respectively.The abrupt changes generally happened in the 1960s,the end of 1970s and early 1980s.It was also found that the maximum frequency occurred in the early 1950s,and the frequency decreased sharply until the late 1980s when an evidently increasing trend emerged.Furthermore,the annual averaged frequency of extreme high temperature events reveals a decreasing-increasing-decreasing trend from southwest to northeast China,but an increasing-decreasing trend from southeast to northwest China.And the frequency was higher in southern region than that in northern region.Besides,the maximum and minimum of frequencies were relatively concentrated spatially.Our results also shed light on the reasons for the periods and abrupt changes of the frequency of extreme high temperature events in China.展开更多
文摘采用均一性较好的逐日温度资料、NCEP/NCAR再分析资料和DMSP/OLS卫星夜晚灯光数据,基于Gis工具及Observe Minus Reanalysis(OMR)方法,定量分析了1961—2010年的大气环流背景下城市化对长江中下游地区温度变化趋势的影响。结果表明:长江中下游地区夏季温度总体呈上升趋势,上升幅度以最低温度>平均温度>最高温度,从而导致日较差呈下降趋势,其变化与城市发展水平相吻合。另外,城市化对温度趋势的贡献以日较差>最低温度>平均温度>最高温度,其中大都市的贡献率最大。强(弱)副高年城市化使长江中下游地区夏季温度升高(降低),强副高年大城市对温度的响应较大,而弱副高年中等城市对温度的响应较大。
基金Key Projects in the National Science & Technology Pillar Program during the Eleventh Five-Year Plan Period(2007BAC29B05)Jiangsu Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster(KLME05005)
文摘With temperatures increasing as a result of global warming,extreme high temperatures are becoming more intense and more frequent on larger scale during summer in China.In recent years,a variety of researches have examined the high temperature distribution in China.However,it hardly considers the variation of temperature data and systems when defining the threshold of extreme high temperature.In order to discern the spatio-temporal distribution of extreme heat in China,we examined the daily maximum temperature data of 83 observation stations in China from 1950 to 2008.The objective of this study was to understand the distribution characteristics of extreme high temperature events defined by Detrended Fluctuation Analysis(DFA).The statistical methods of Permutation Entropy(PE)were also used in this study to analyze the temporal distribution.The results showed that the frequency of extreme high temperature events in China presented 3 periods of 7,10—13 and 16—20 years,respectively.The abrupt changes generally happened in the 1960s,the end of 1970s and early 1980s.It was also found that the maximum frequency occurred in the early 1950s,and the frequency decreased sharply until the late 1980s when an evidently increasing trend emerged.Furthermore,the annual averaged frequency of extreme high temperature events reveals a decreasing-increasing-decreasing trend from southwest to northeast China,but an increasing-decreasing trend from southeast to northwest China.And the frequency was higher in southern region than that in northern region.Besides,the maximum and minimum of frequencies were relatively concentrated spatially.Our results also shed light on the reasons for the periods and abrupt changes of the frequency of extreme high temperature events in China.
