我国人口老龄化对东北地区旅游业发展的影响实证分析与预测

在人口老龄化程度日益加剧的今天,中国人口老龄化不是面临“高峰”,而是将面对“高原”。寻求人口老龄化与发展之间的平衡已经成为如今最该解决的问题。在振兴东北的大背景下,旅游业作为东北地区发展的重要产业,越来越受到政府的关注。本文从全国人口老龄化对东北地区的旅游业发展的影响的角度出发,首先确认分析的解释变量,其中全国人口老龄化水平为核心解释变量,城镇化率、经济增长率、产业结构和政府干预程度为控制变量;然后对数据进行平稳性检验,通过Spearman相关性分析和建立基准回归模型对全国人口老龄化对东北地区旅游业发展水平的影响进行分析并建立预测模型。最后得到较为合理的结果。In today’s increasing population aging, China’s population aging is not facing a “peak”, but will face a “plateau”. Seeking a balance between population aging and development has become the most urgent problem that needs to be solved. Under the background of the revitalization of Northeast China, tourism, as an important industry in the development of Northeast China, has been paid more and more attention by the government. From the perspective of the impact of national population aging on tourism development in Northeast China, firstly this paper confirms the explanatory variables of the analysis, in which the national population aging level is the core explanatory variable, and the urbanization rate, economic growth rate, industrial structure and government intervention degree are the control variables. Then, the data is subjected to stability testing, and the impact of national population aging on the development level of tourism in Northeast China is analyzed through Spearman correlation analysis and the establishment of a benchmark regression model, resulting in a predictive model. Ultimately, this leads to reasonably satisfactory results.

耳穴压豆对腹腔镜胆囊切除术后患者胃肠功能的影响

目的:探讨耳穴压豆对腹腔镜胆囊切除术后患者胃肠功能的影响。方法:将68例行腹腔镜胆囊切除手术患者随机分为观察组和对照组各34例,对照组给予常规治疗及护理,观察组在此基础上给予耳穴压豆,比较两组患者术后胃肠功能恢复情况。结果:本研究68例患者术后均恢复顺利,未发生手术并发症。两组均无脱落病例。观察组耳穴压豆局部无不良反应,皮肤略有红肿,酸、麻、胀属正常得气感。观察组术后24 h内恶心、呕吐发生率低于对照组(P <0. 05),排气时间、排便时间、肠鸣音恢复时间短于对照组(P <0. 05)。结论:耳穴压豆可促进腹腔镜胆囊切除手术患者术后胃肠功能恢复,降低恶心、呕吐发生率。