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基于维纳过程的锂离子电池剩余寿命预测 被引量:12
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作者 李玥锌 刘淑杰 +2 位作者 高斯博 胡娅维 张洪潮 《大连理工大学学报》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2017年第2期126-132,共7页
锂离子电池内部结构复杂,受外界影响大,使其容量退化过程具有不确定性因素而呈现随机性.对电池容量退化服从非线性维纳过程建立状态空间模型,并认为参数是服从共轭分布的随机变量,增加了模型不确定性使之更加符合锂离子电池容量的退化过... 锂离子电池内部结构复杂,受外界影响大,使其容量退化过程具有不确定性因素而呈现随机性.对电池容量退化服从非线性维纳过程建立状态空间模型,并认为参数是服从共轭分布的随机变量,增加了模型不确定性使之更加符合锂离子电池容量的退化过程.利用自助法获得先验分布参数初始值,由共轭分布的性质可以得到后验分布的类型,由此得到简便的参数估计方法.粒子滤波可对每一时刻的参数及退化状态进行估计和更新,根据提前设定的状态阈值可以预测电池的剩余寿命.具体实例验证了方法的准确性,该方法对可靠性高、样本量少的电池的剩余寿命预测有借鉴意义. 展开更多
关键词 锂离子电池 剩余寿命 维纳过程 参数估计 粒子滤波
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Machinery Condition Prediction Based on Support Vector Machine Model with Wavelet Transform
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作者 刘淑杰 陆惠天 +2 位作者 李超 胡娅维 张洪潮 《Journal of Donghua University(English Edition)》 EI CAS 2014年第6期831-834,共4页
Soft failure of mechanical equipment makes its performance drop gradually,which occupies a large proportion and has certain regularity. The performance can be evaluated and predicted through early state monitoring and... Soft failure of mechanical equipment makes its performance drop gradually,which occupies a large proportion and has certain regularity. The performance can be evaluated and predicted through early state monitoring and data analysis. The vibration signal was modeled from the double row bearing,and wavelet transform and support vector machine model( WT-SVM model) was constructed and trained for bearing degradation process prediction. Besides Hazen plotting position relationships was applied to describing the degradation trend distribution and a 95%confidence level based on t-distribution was given. The single SVM model and neural network( NN) approach were also investigated as a comparison. Results indicate that the WT-SVM model outperforms the NN and single SVM models,and is feasible and effective in machinery condition prediction. 展开更多
关键词 support vector machine(SVM) wavelet transform(WT) vibration intensity probabilistic forecasting
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