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由树坪滑坡自动监测曲线分析滑坡诱因与预警判据 被引量:12
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作者 苑谊 马霄汉 +2 位作者 李庆岳 杜琦 吕家华 《水文地质工程地质》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2015年第5期115-122,128,共9页
以三峡库区秭归县树坪滑坡为研究对象,通过远程全自动变形监测系统获取的滑坡监测曲线,结合历年专业监测和库水位、降雨等资料,分析了该滑坡的变形特征,找出了滑坡变形的主要诱发因素,并通过分析滑坡位移曲线、计算实测数据,得出了以变... 以三峡库区秭归县树坪滑坡为研究对象,通过远程全自动变形监测系统获取的滑坡监测曲线,结合历年专业监测和库水位、降雨等资料,分析了该滑坡的变形特征,找出了滑坡变形的主要诱发因素,并通过分析滑坡位移曲线、计算实测数据,得出了以变形位移速率和切线角为预警阀值的该滑坡四级预警定量划分标准。研究结果表明:库水位下降是诱发树坪滑坡变形的主要因素,降雨等仅起到雪上加霜的辅助作用;库水位下降速率大,树坪滑坡的变形速率也相应增大;引起树坪滑坡变形加速的关键因素实际上是地下水与库水位间的水位差形成向外的动水压力引起;切线角和变形位移速率的预警阀值仅为定量判定树坪滑坡的预警级别提供了依据,滑坡发展演化阶段的判定还应结合其宏观变形破坏迹象等综合判断。 展开更多
关键词 树坪滑坡 自动监测 滑坡诱因 预警判据
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考虑诱发因素影响滞后性的库岸滑坡位移预测 被引量:15
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作者 陈亮青 邹宗兴 +1 位作者 苑谊 王艳昆 《人民长江》 北大核心 2018年第10期60-65,共6页
针对诱发因素对于滑坡位移变形的滞后影响,采用平均影响值法(MIV)对不同滞后期诱发因素进行筛选,然后结合广义回归神经网络(GRNN)建立了MIV-GRNN滑坡位移混合预测模型。以三峡库区具有代表性的树坪滑坡为例,将滑坡位移时间序列分解为趋... 针对诱发因素对于滑坡位移变形的滞后影响,采用平均影响值法(MIV)对不同滞后期诱发因素进行筛选,然后结合广义回归神经网络(GRNN)建立了MIV-GRNN滑坡位移混合预测模型。以三峡库区具有代表性的树坪滑坡为例,将滑坡位移时间序列分解为趋势项和周期项,运用多项式和MIV-GRNN模型分别预测趋势项和周期项位移。分析结果表明:MIV-GRNN模型可以较好地反映诱发因素对滑坡位移滞后性的影响,与传统预测模型相比最大相对误差减少了11.2%。 展开更多
关键词 位移预测 滞后性 诱发因素 树坪滑坡 三峡库区
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Study on Estimation Method of Rock Mass Discontinuity Shear Strength Based on Three-Dimensional Laser Scanning and Image Technique 被引量:22
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作者 唐辉明 葛云峰 +3 位作者 王亮清 苑谊 黄磊 孙淼军 《Journal of Earth Science》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2012年第6期908-913,共6页
The estimation of shear strength of rock mass discontinuity is always a focal, but difficult, problem in the field of geotechnical engineering. Considering the disadvantages and limitation of exist- ing estimation met... The estimation of shear strength of rock mass discontinuity is always a focal, but difficult, problem in the field of geotechnical engineering. Considering the disadvantages and limitation of exist- ing estimation methods, a new approach based on the shadow area percentage (SAP) that can be used to quantify surface roughness is proposed in this article. Firstly, by the help of laser scanning technique, the three-dimensional model of the surface of rock discontinuity was established. Secondly, a light source was simulated, and there would be some shadows produced on the model surface. Thirdly, to obtain the value of SAP of each specimen, the shadow detection technique was introduced for use. Fourthly, compared with the result from direct shear testing and based on statistics, an empirical for- mula was found among SAP, normal stress, and shear strength. Data of Yujian (~ River were used as an example, and the following conclusions have been made. (1) In the case of equal normal stress, the peak shear stress is positively proportional to the SAP. (2) The formula for estimating was derived, and the predictions of peak-shear strength made with this equation well agreed with the experimental re- suits obtained in laboratory tests. 展开更多
关键词 rock mechanics rock mass discontinuity shear strength estimation method three-dimensional laser scanning technique image recognition technique.
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