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广东省2035年土地利用空间分布的模拟预测 被引量:1
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作者 许贤炯 龚建周 陈晓越 《广州大学学报(自然科学版)》 CAS 2022年第3期81-88,共8页
明确区域未来土地利用空间分布,是解决土地资源短缺和优化土地利用布局的前提。文章以我国GDP排名连续第一的广东省为研究区域,基于地理探测器剖析土地利用变化的主控因素,采用马尔科夫模型模拟未来2035年各土地利用类型数量,最后用FLU... 明确区域未来土地利用空间分布,是解决土地资源短缺和优化土地利用布局的前提。文章以我国GDP排名连续第一的广东省为研究区域,基于地理探测器剖析土地利用变化的主控因素,采用马尔科夫模型模拟未来2035年各土地利用类型数量,最后用FLUS模型模拟预测未来广东省土地利用的空间分布。模拟结果表明,2035年广东省建设用地增长最快,林地减少最多,这与珠三角地区建设用地持续侵占耕地、林地密切相关。耕地和林地的保护仍然是未来解决人地矛盾的重点与难点。 展开更多
关键词 土地利用空间分布 FLUS模型 地理探测器 模拟预测 广东省
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Exploring diurnal and seasonal variabilities in surface urban heat island intensity in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area
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作者 XU Xianjiong WU Yaowei +2 位作者 LIN Gangte GONG Jianzhou CHEN Kanglin 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 SCIE 2024年第8期1472-1492,共21页
The urban heat island(UHI) is an environmental problem of wide concern because it poses a threat to both the human living environment and the sustainable development of cities. Knowledge of the spatiotemporal characte... The urban heat island(UHI) is an environmental problem of wide concern because it poses a threat to both the human living environment and the sustainable development of cities. Knowledge of the spatiotemporal characteristics and the driving factors of UHI is essential for mitigating their impact. However, current understanding of the UHI in the Guangdong–Hong Kong–Macao Greater Bay Area(GBA) is inadequate. Combined with data(e.g., land surface temperature and land use.) acquired from the Google Earth Engine and other sources for the period 2001–2020, this study examined the diurnal and seasonal variabilities, spatial heterogeneities, temporal trends, and drivers of surface UHI intensity(SUHII) in the GBA. The SUHII was calculated based on the urban–rural dichotomy, which has been proven an effective method. The average SUHII was generally 0–2°C, and the SUHII in daytime was generally greater than that at night. The maximum(minimum) SUHII was found in summer(winter);similarly, the largest(smallest) diurnal difference in SUHII was during summer(winter). Generally, the Mann–Kendall trend test and the Sen's slope estimator revealed a statistically insignificant upward trend in SUHII on all time scales. The influence of driving factors on SUHII was examined using the Geo-Detector model. It was found that the number of continuous impervious pixels had the greatest impact, and that the urban–rural difference in the enhanced vegetation index had the smallest impact, suggesting that anthropogenic heat emissions and urban size are the main influencing factors. Thus, controlling urban expansion and reducing anthropogenic heat generation are effective approaches for alleviating surface UHI. 展开更多
关键词 surface urban heat island spatiotemporal pattern driving forces urban size anthropogenic heat emissions Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area
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